秘鲁恢复两院制后首次大选 选民将选出新总统与议员

2026年4月12日 20:54 / 联合早报

秘鲁恢复两院制后首次大选 选民将选出新总统与议员

秘鲁选举法规定，在第一轮投票中得票率过半的候选人将赢得总统选举。 （法新社）

秘鲁星期天举行总统和议会选举，选出新一届总统、副总统、参众两院议员和安第斯议会议员，任期至2031年。

新华社报道，当地时间星期天（4月12日）7时，秘鲁大选投票正式开始，超过2700万选民将从35个总统、副总统竞选组合中选出意向人选，同时选出60名参议员、130名众议员和5名在安第斯议会中代表秘鲁的议员。全国各投票站将于当天17时关闭。总统选举初步结果预计于当晚公布。

秘鲁选举法规定，在第一轮投票中得票率过半的候选人将赢得总统选举。如果没有候选人在第一轮投票中获得超过50%的选票，得票数居前的两名候选人将进行第二轮角逐。第二轮投票将于6月7日举行，得票多者当选总统。

2024年3月，秘鲁国会表决通过关于恢复两院制的宪法改革法案；同月，这项法案经总统签署后在官方报纸《秘鲁人报》公布生效，将自2026年大选起实施。这是秘鲁自1993年改行一院制以来，30多年来首次恢复两院制。

近年来，秘鲁政坛经历剧烈变动。

2021年7月，卡斯蒂略就任秘鲁总统，2022年12月，卡斯蒂略因宣布解散国会被国会以“违宪”为由弹劾，时任副总统博鲁阿尔特随即依法接任。2025年10月，秘鲁国会通过对博鲁阿尔特的弹劾动议，解除其总统职务，由时任国会主席赫里接任总统一职。今年2月，赫里被国会弹劾，新任国会主席巴尔卡萨尔接任总统，领导过渡政府直至新总统于今年7月就职。

Nationwide boom in AI data centers stirs resistance

April 12, 2026 / 10:15 AM EDT / CBS News

Archbald is a little corner of northeastern Pennsylvania where coal used to be big business. But now, there is a new boom: data centers.

Kayleigh Cornell, a teacher, and Sarah Gabriel, an ICU nurse, run a neighborhood association in this community of 7,000, where a half-dozen data centers have been proposed. “It is a really nice small town,” said Gabriel. “It feels like home.”

Cornell said, “I just really love it, and I can’t imagine being anywhere else.”

But they, and others, are alarmed about the possible impact of data centers on the environment, their electric bills, and the town’s character.

Gabriel said, “It’s gonna just completely change the landscape. Anywhere there’s trees, there’s probably not going to be any any longer.”

Cornell says they are determined: “We’ll stop it if we could help it.”

Correspondent Robert Costa with Kayleigh Cornell and Sarah Gabriel, of the Archbald Neighborhood Association, at the site of proposed data centers in their small Pennsylvania community. CBS News

Stopping it won’t be easy. Demand is huge: tech companies say they need these massive structures, full of computing power, to fuel the AI revolution. So, developers are rushing to build them in places like Archbald – rich in land, water and power. But there is an intensifying debate over the scope of jobs and revenue they bring. And many communities are on edge over rising electric utility bills.

A March 10 community meeting, at Valley View High School in Archbald, Pa., was not welcoming to those proposing the construction of data centers. CBS News

In Archbald, the push to slow things down has upended local politics. At a March 10 borough meeting, where many held up signs reading “No data centers,” residents yelled at representatives of the proposed centers to “get out of here.”

“We made up our minds: go home!” One woman shouted.

One project, an application for a campus of 18 data centers, has hit a roadblock.

Data center concerns prompt regime change in Archbald

Sarah Gabriel says fighting AI superpowers wasn’t part of her plan: “We’re not against AI data centers. But because the industry is so new and unregulated, it is concerning that if we just keep moving forward, we’re gonna get to, like, a point of no return.”

Elsewhere, data centers are already a way of life, with more than 4,000 (and counting) in operation across the country, and many more going up around the world.

There are currently more than 4,000 data centers in the U.S. CBS News/datacentermap.com

In Loudoun County, Virginia, known as “Data Center Alley,” anonymous, sci-fi-looking buildings seem to be everywhere. One is slightly more than one-million square feet – big enough to park two aircraft carriers.

Andy Power, president and CEO of Digital Realty, which owns and operates hundreds of data centers globally, says the data center sector is valued at hundreds of billions of dollars, and represents “the breakthroughs that cure new diseases, that’ll, say, essentially improve quality of life.”

Asked to respond to those who don’t want data centers in their communities, Power replied, “I would say, ‘I completely understand it. Let me tell you why this location makes the most sense for the data centers. And this infrastructure’s gonna help change the world you’re living in today and for years to come.’”

One of the world’s largest concentrations of data centers is in Loudon County, Virginia, with more than 53 million square feet of data centers in operation or under development. CBS News

In Washington, there are fierce critics calling for a moratorium on data center construction until tougher AI regulations are enacted by Congress. Last month, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, an Independent, and New York Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduced the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Data Center Moratorium Act.

“I fear that Congress is totally unprepared for the magnitude of the changes that are already taking place,” Sanders said.

But President Trump and many Republicans say data centers are vital for our future economy.

Senator Dave McCormick, a Pennsylvania Republican, has worked to bring data-center investments to his home state. He calls American leadership in AI “the most important question facing our country.

“I think the net benefit for Pennsylvania is enormous,” he said.

McCormick adds that data centers need to work with – not against – communities, but wants companies building in his state. “There’s got to be a covenant,” he said. “There’s got to be a promise that goes from the community to those that are developing in the community of what kind of job creation; how they’re going to protect the environment; how they’re going to protect water supply; how they’re going to protect energy costs. When a community looks at the totality of the jobs, the tax revenue, the new roads, the libraries, the schools, the opportunity of jobs for their kids, I think these are pretty compelling.”

Back in Archbald, the data centers continue to move forward, and for Kayleigh Cornell and Sarah Gabriel, it’s a reality they’re grappling with every day

“People live here ’cause of the quality of life,” Cornell said. “Yes, obviously you need jobs. But, again, this would be intrinsically changing the character of Archbald Borough.”

Asked if they feel they have a fighting chance to stop it, Gabriel replied, “Yeah, absolutely.”

“We have no other alternative,” Cornell said. “I mean, it’s our home. We have to fight.”

WEB EXCLUSIVE: Watch an extended interview with Sen. Dave McCormick about AI, China and nuclear power:

Extended interview: Sen. Dave McCormick on AI 15:10

热带气旋“麦拉”在巴布亚新几内亚引发暴雨与洪灾。图为4月12日，当地一辆卡车被洪水冲毁。 （法新社）

热带气旋“麦拉”（Maila）在太平洋地区造成毁灭性灾害，引发洪水和山体滑坡，导致11人死亡。澳大利亚政府星期天承诺，将向受灾邻国巴布亚新几内亚和所罗门群岛提供总计250万澳元（约225万新元）的援助。

法新社报道，巴布亚新几内亚总理马拉佩星期天（4月12日）表明，目前与受灾社区的沟通面临挑战，但救援工作已全面动员，旨在为灾民提供食物、饮用水和临时住所。

在巴布亚新几内亚寻求独立的自治区域布干维尔，地方政府周六发表声明称，气旋摧毁了包括道路和桥梁在内的关键基础设施，并严重扰乱了食品供应链，导致本周学校停课。当地共有11人在这场灾害中丧生，其中八人死于山体滑坡。

气旋系统已于周六（11日）开始减弱，并已降级为热带低压。

澳大利亚外交部长黄英贤表明，将向巴布亚新几内亚提供100万澳元，以应对气旋在布干维尔和米尔恩湾造成的影响。另外150万澳元将拨付给所罗门群岛，当地西部省和乔伊索尔省的偏远社区也遭受了严重打击。

热带气旋“麦拉”在巴布亚新几内亚引发暴雨与洪灾。图为4月12日，当地一辆卡车被洪水冲毁。 （法新社）

热带气旋“麦拉”（Maila）在太平洋地区造成毁灭性灾害，引发洪水和山体滑坡，导致11人死亡。澳大利亚政府星期天承诺，将向受灾邻国巴布亚新几内亚和所罗门群岛提供总计250万澳元（约225万新元）的援助。

法新社报道，巴布亚新几内亚总理马拉佩星期天（4月12日）表明，目前与受灾社区的沟通面临挑战，但救援工作已全面动员，旨在为灾民提供食物、饮用水和临时住所。

在巴布亚新几内亚寻求独立的自治区域布干维尔，地方政府周六发表声明称，气旋摧毁了包括道路和桥梁在内的关键基础设施，并严重扰乱了食品供应链，导致本周学校停课。当地共有11人在这场灾害中丧生，其中八人死于山体滑坡。

气旋系统已于周六（11日）开始减弱，并已降级为热带低压。

澳大利亚外交部长黄英贤表明，将向巴布亚新几内亚提供100万澳元，以应对气旋在布干维尔和米尔恩湾造成的影响。另外150万澳元将拨付给所罗门群岛，当地西部省和乔伊索尔省的偏远社区也遭受了严重打击。

Trump orders a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz as tensions with Iran soar

April 12, 2026 11:24am EDT / Fox News

Trump warns any Iranian who fires at U.S. forces ‘will be BLOWN TO HELL’ as mine-clearing operations begin

By Amanda Macias, Fox News

Shervin Pishevar, advisor to HRH Reza Pahlavi, analyzes President Trump’s ultimatum to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Pishevar praises Trump’s “doctrine of preemption,” arguing decisive action today prevents future threats from Iran’s developing nuclear, drone, and ICBM programs. He criticizes past US administrations for “Chamberlaining” the Iranian regime.

NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

President Donald Trump said the U.S. Navy will begin a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and interdict vessels that have paid a toll to Iran, after U.S. peace talks with Tehran ended in a stalemate.

“Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz,” Trump posted on Truth Social. “At some point, we will reach an ‘ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO IN, ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO OUT’ basis, but Iran has not allowed that to happen… THIS IS WORLD EXTORTION.”

He said the U.S. would deny safe passage to vessels that paid the toll and begin clearing mines.

“I have also instructed our Navy to seek and interdict every vessel in international waters that has paid a toll to Iran,” he wrote. “No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage… We will also begin destroying the mines… Any Iranian who fires at us… will be BLOWN TO HELL!”

WHY THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ MATTERS AS TRUMP ISSUES FRESH ULTIMATUM TO IRAN

Iran’s closure of the strait has triggered global economic turmoil, and reopening it was a key condition in U.S. efforts to reach a deal.

In a second post, Trump reiterated the demand: “They better begin… getting this INTERNATIONAL WATERWAY OPEN AND FAST!”

节点运行失败

A satellite image shows the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime passage connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, vital for global energy supply.(Amanda Macias/Fox News Digital)

Trump’s warning raises the stakes in the narrow but vital waterway, a critical artery for global energy supplies.

The strait, which lies between Iran, Oman and the United Arab Emirates, is one of the world’s most critical energy choke points, carrying roughly 20 million barrels of oil a day along with about one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas.

The strait is also a vital artery for refined fuels, including products like jet fuel.

The latest threat builds on a pattern of deadlines Trump has imposed on Tehran over the strait. Here is a timeline of those demands:

March 21

In a Truth Social post, Trump declared that if Iran did not “FULLY OPEN” the strait within 48 hours, the United States would “obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!”

Ali Mousavi, Iran’s permanent representative to the International Maritime Organization, responded by saying that the Strait of Hormuz was “open to everyone” except Tehran’s enemies.Meanwhile, other Iranian officials warned that attacks on energy infrastructure would amount to an attack on the Iranian people and would be met with retaliation.

SAN FRANCISCO BECOMES FIRST US CITY WHERE DIESEL PRICES TOP $8 A GALLON

March 23

Two days later, Trump wrote in a Truth Social post that the U.S. had had “productive” conversations with Iran and that he had ordered the Pentagon to delay any strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days.

Iranian officials publicly denied that any talks were taking place.

March 26

Trump again extended his deadline — this time by 10 days, to April 6 at 8 p.m. Eastern — saying in a social media post that he was “pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction” at the Iranian government’s request.

WHERE GAS PRICES ARE RISING FASTEST AS TRUMP ISSUES FRESH WARNING TO IRAN

March 30

President Donald Trump called on the nations of the world to summon some “delayed courage” and “just take” the Strait of Hormuz.(Alex Brandon/Pool via REUTERS; Benoit Tessier / Reuters)

Trump wrote in a Truth Social post that “great progress” had been made in negotiations to end the conflict. At the same time, he warned that if a deal was not reached and the Strait of Hormuz was not “immediately” opened, the United States would destroy Iran’s power plants, oil wells, Kharg Island — the country’s main oil export hub — and “possibly all” desalination plants.

April 1

Trump said Iran requested a ceasefire, a claim Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson called “false and baseless,” according to the state news agency IRIB.

In a social media post, Trump said the United States would consider a ceasefire only once the strait was “open, free and clear,” adding: “Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!!”

WHERE GAS PRICES ARE RISING FASTEST AS TRUMP ISSUES FRESH WARNING TO IRAN

April 4

Trump warned in a Truth Social post that “time is running out — 48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them.”

The post followed several conflicting statements in previous days, in which he alternately criticized allies for not acting to reopen the strait and suggested it would reopen on its own.

April 5

Cargo ships in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from northern Ras al-Khaimah, near the border with Oman’s Musandam governance, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in United Arab Emirates, March 11, 2026.(REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo/File Photo)

In a profanity-laced post on Truth Social on Sunday, Trump wrote: “Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran.

“There will be nothing like it!!! Open the F—–’ Strait, you crazy b——-, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah.”

“Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!” he wrote in a second post.

April 7

President Donald Trump speaks about the Iran war from the Cross Hall of the White House on Wednesday, April 1, 2026, in Washington.(Alex Brandon/AP)

Two days later, Trump issued a fresh ultimatum to Iran, demanding that it allow all vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz or face strikes on critical infrastructure. The warning came after weeks of escalating threats and missed deadlines.

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“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post. “We will find out tonight — one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world,” he added, referencing his 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to agree to a ceasefire and reopen the strait.

A ceasefire was called a few hours before the 8 p.m. deadline.

Amanda covers the intersection of business and politics for Fox News Digital.

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6391445671112

看中反应敏捷 美民航局招揽电玩高手填补空管缺口

2026年4月12日 22:25 / 联合早报

根据美国政府发布的报告，由于冠病疫情、政府停摆等因素，过去10年美航空管制员人数减少了约6%。 （法新社）

面对长期的人手短缺及设备老化问题，美国联邦航空管理局（FAA）将目光投向了“电玩世代”，希望通过招募具备快速反应和多任务处理能力的电玩高手，填补数以千计的航空管制员职位。

美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，美国运输部和联邦航空管理局宣布，将从4月17日起开放新一轮招聘。目前全美虽有1万1000名在职管制员和4000名受训人员，但距离满员仍有数千人的缺口。

美国运输部长达菲指出，为了接触下一代人才，政府必须做出改变。“这次招募活动聚焦电玩玩家，是看中了这群年轻人所具备的‘硬技能’，这些技能是成为一名成功管制员的关键。”

在名为“职业升级”的招聘网站上，当局将任职要求比作“任务需求”，并列出了极具吸引力的“高分奖励”：除了有薪培训和政府福利外，入职三年的管制员平均年薪可超过15万5000美元（约20万新元）。

据美国政府问责局（GAO）报告，由于冠病疫情、政府停摆等因素，过去10年美国航空管制员人数减少了约6%。

当局认为，电玩玩家具备思维敏捷、注意力集中及管理复杂情境等认知优势。数据显示，约65%的美国人经常玩电玩，而管制员岗位并不强制要求大学学位，仅约25%的现任管制员持有学位。

Hungarians vote in key election that could unseat populist and MAGA darling Prime Minister Viktor Orbán

April 12, 2026 / 8:51 AM EDT / CBS/AP

Hungarians are casting ballots Sunday in what is widely seen as Europe’s most consequential election this year, a vote that could unseat the European Union’s longest-serving leader and one of its biggest antagonists.

It is a key moment for populist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, an ally of President Trump, who has traveled a long road from his early days as a liberal, anti-Soviet firebrand to a Russian-friendly nationalist admired today by the global far-right.

Polls opened at 6 a.m. and were scheduled to close at 7 p.m. Orbán and his top challenger, Péter Magyar, arrived at separate polling stations in Budapest at nearly the same time to cast their votes.

Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orbán votes for the general election at a polling station in Budapest on April 12, 2026. Salih Okuroglu/Anadolu via Getty Images

Speaking to reporters outside, Orbán, 62, said the campaign had been “a great national moment on our side” and thanked activists and supporters for their work. “I’m here to win,” he said.

Independent watchdogs and European Union officials have accused Orbán’s government of launching a sustained assault on the country’s democratic institutions and rule of law since. In the 16 years since he took office in 2010, the country has descended to the rank of the most corrupt country in the European Union, according to the U.K.-based anti-corruption group Transparency International.

After casting his vote on Sunday, Magyar told reporters that the election was “a choice between East or West, propaganda or honest public discourse, corruption or clean public life.”

“I urge all Hungarian citizens to exercise their right to vote,” he said.

Casting his ballot in Budapest on Sunday, Marcell Mehringer, 21, said he was voting “primarily so that Hungary will finally be a so-called European country, and so that young people, and really everyone, will do their fundamental civic duty to unite this nation a bit and to break down these boundaries borne of hatred.”

Peter Magyar, leader of the Tisza party, prepares to vote at a polling station during parliamentary elections in Budapest, Hungary, on Sunday, April 12, 2026. Akos Stiller / Bloomberg via Getty Images

Orbán has been one of Mr. Trump’s closest global allies since the U.S. president was first elected in 2016. The relationship has deepened between the two men over the past decade. The partnership between the Trump administration and Orbán was on full display when Vice President JD Vance publicly campaigned alongside the Hungarian leader in Budapest last week.

Turnout after the first five hours of voting was 54.14%, according to the National Election Office. That is a record in Hungary’s post-communist history, with around 997,000 more voters having cast their ballot by 11 a.m. than during the 2022 elections.

Emmet Lyons contributed to this report.

看中反应敏捷 美民航局招揽电玩高手填补空管缺口

2026年4月12日 22:25 / 联合早报

根据美国政府发布的报告，由于冠病疫情、政府停摆等因素，过去10年美航空管制员人数减少了约6%。 （法新社）

面对长期的人手短缺及设备老化问题，美国联邦航空管理局（FAA）将目光投向了“电玩世代”，希望通过招募具备快速反应和多任务处理能力的电玩高手，填补数以千计的航空管制员职位。

美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，美国运输部和联邦航空管理局宣布，将从4月17日起开放新一轮招聘。目前全美虽有1万1000名在职管制员和4000名受训人员，但距离满员仍有数千人的缺口。

美国运输部长达菲指出，为了接触下一代人才，政府必须做出改变。“这次招募活动聚焦电玩玩家，是看中了这群年轻人所具备的‘硬技能’，这些技能是成为一名成功管制员的关键。”

在名为“职业升级”的招聘网站上，当局将任职要求比作“任务需求”，并列出了极具吸引力的“高分奖励”：除了有薪培训和政府福利外，入职三年的管制员平均年薪可超过15万5000美元（约20万新元）。

据美国政府问责局（GAO）报告，由于冠病疫情、政府停摆等因素，过去10年美国航空管制员人数减少了约6%。

当局认为，电玩玩家具备思维敏捷、注意力集中及管理复杂情境等认知优势。数据显示，约65%的美国人经常玩电玩，而管制员岗位并不强制要求大学学位，仅约25%的现任管制员持有学位。

美国副总统万斯（右）星期天在伊斯兰堡召开记者会，宣布美伊谈判未能达成协议。一旁是特朗普总统的女婿库什纳（左）和美国中东特使威特科夫。 （法新社）

（伊斯兰堡综合电）美国和伊朗在伊斯兰堡举行的谈判无果而终，分析认为，伊朗显然不急于做出让步，因为它比美国手握更多筹码。美国总统特朗普现在面临严峻选择：升级冲突还是继续谈判。

经过21小时马拉松谈判，美国副总统万斯星期天（4月12日）宣布美伊未能达成协议，他指伊朗选择不接受美国的条件，包括承诺不发展核武器。伊朗官方媒体则说，谈判失败是因为美国提出“不合理的要求”。

《纽约时报》分析，这次谈判清楚表明，美伊双方都认为自己是第一轮的赢家：美国靠对伊朗投放大量弹药取胜，伊朗则凭生存下来获胜。双方似乎都没有妥协的意愿。

英国广播公司（BBC）指出，美伊未能达成协议并不令人意外，因为美国代表团抵达巴基斯坦时认为，伊朗在战争中遭受惨重的损失，因此有可能迅速达成妥协。但伊朗参与谈判时认为自己占据优势，尽管军事能力遭受重创，但仍有能力且愿意继续战斗，最重要的是，它还控制着具有战略意义的霍尔木兹海峡。

美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）也认为，双方的立场差异实在太大，不仅体现在实质内容上，也体现在风格和态度上。美国似乎希望尽快找到解决方案，而德黑兰则更为谨慎，倾向于进行长期谈判。

延伸阅读

美军称启动霍尔木兹扫雷工作 伊朗否认美军船开入海峡
美伊如期展开停火谈判 但双方互不信任

前美国国务院中东谈判代表米勒（Aaron David Miller）告诉CNN：“伊朗显然不急于做出让步。在我看来，他们仍然拥有高浓缩铀；证明自己能够利用地理优势，控制并管理着霍尔木兹海峡；伊朗政权依然屹立不倒，他们展现出破坏安全与稳定的可怕能力。所有这些都是他们的筹码。”

纽时：特朗普最大筹码是威胁恢复战斗

纽时说，谈判失败使特朗普政府面临棘手选项：就伊核计划的未来，与德黑兰进行漫长谈判，或者重启这场已经造成现代史上最大能源中断的战争，以及就霍尔木兹海峡的控制权展开旷日持久的争夺。

白宫官员说，他们将听从总统的指示，由他来宣布政府的下一步行动。

美伊谈判破裂的消息传回美国时，特朗普（右）和国务卿鲁比奥（中）正在佛罗里达州迈阿密观看一场综合格斗比赛。特朗普离开白宫前往迈阿密时告诉记者，他并不关心谈判结果，因为美国已经打赢与伊朗的战争。（路透社）

纽时说，特朗普目前最大的筹码在于他能够威胁恢复大规模作战行动，但这对特朗普来说并非特别可行的政治选择，伊朗也心知肚明。

特朗普周二（7日）宣布停火，主要目的是为了缓解全球石油供应减少20%所带来的冲击。石油供应减少导致汽油价格飙升，并造成化肥和其他关键物资短缺。如果战火重燃，物资短缺将加剧，物价也几乎不可避免地会进一步上升。

至于霍尔木兹海峡，英广说，通过谈判重新开放似乎不可能。两艘美国军舰出现在波斯湾表明，美国正在考虑其他途径。

美国把伊朗未能承诺永不拥有核武器视为症结所在。英广指出，伊朗一直否认想要拥有终极威慑力量，但一年内发生两次战争，无疑会助长那些呼吁发展核武器的人的气焰。

分析：伊朗准备好打持久战

另据新加坡《海峡时报》星期天引述分析员和官员说，如果和平谈判破裂、冲突再起，伊朗已做好准备打一场旷日持久的战争。

常驻德黑兰的地缘政治分析师兼战略师阿里·艾哈迈迪曾担任伊朗外交部顾问。他说：“伊朗建立了非常庞大的工业基地，专门用于持续生产作战所需的军事装备。伊朗担心不是战争旷日持久，而是战争结束六个月后，美国重新调整策略，制定新的军事战略，战争又会再次爆发。”

报道也引述一名常驻德黑兰的国际官员说，他从伊朗内部消息人士处获悉，伊朗已做好应对冲突至少持续到9月的准备。“伊朗物资供应充足，没有任何短缺。伊朗已做好长期战争的准备。它预料到这种情况，并已储备足够民众食用长达六个月的粮食。”

美国副总统万斯（右）星期天在伊斯兰堡召开记者会，宣布美伊谈判未能达成协议。一旁是特朗普总统的女婿库什纳（左）和美国中东特使威特科夫。 （法新社）

（伊斯兰堡综合电）美国和伊朗在伊斯兰堡举行的谈判无果而终，分析认为，伊朗显然不急于做出让步，因为它比美国手握更多筹码。美国总统特朗普现在面临严峻选择：升级冲突还是继续谈判。

经过21小时马拉松谈判，美国副总统万斯星期天（4月12日）宣布美伊未能达成协议，他指伊朗选择不接受美国的条件，包括承诺不发展核武器。伊朗官方媒体则说，谈判失败是因为美国提出“不合理的要求”。

《纽约时报》分析，这次谈判清楚表明，美伊双方都认为自己是第一轮的赢家：美国靠对伊朗投放大量弹药取胜，伊朗则凭生存下来获胜。双方似乎都没有妥协的意愿。

英国广播公司（BBC）指出，美伊未能达成协议并不令人意外，因为美国代表团抵达巴基斯坦时认为，伊朗在战争中遭受惨重的损失，因此有可能迅速达成妥协。但伊朗参与谈判时认为自己占据优势，尽管军事能力遭受重创，但仍有能力且愿意继续战斗，最重要的是，它还控制着具有战略意义的霍尔木兹海峡。

美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）也认为，双方的立场差异实在太大，不仅体现在实质内容上，也体现在风格和态度上。美国似乎希望尽快找到解决方案，而德黑兰则更为谨慎，倾向于进行长期谈判。

延伸阅读

美军称启动霍尔木兹扫雷工作 伊朗否认美军船开入海峡
美伊如期展开停火谈判 但双方互不信任

前美国国务院中东谈判代表米勒（Aaron David Miller）告诉CNN：“伊朗显然不急于做出让步。在我看来，他们仍然拥有高浓缩铀；证明自己能够利用地理优势，控制并管理着霍尔木兹海峡；伊朗政权依然屹立不倒，他们展现出破坏安全与稳定的可怕能力。所有这些都是他们的筹码。”

纽时：特朗普最大筹码是威胁恢复战斗

纽时说，谈判失败使特朗普政府面临棘手选项：就伊核计划的未来，与德黑兰进行漫长谈判，或者重启这场已经造成现代史上最大能源中断的战争，以及就霍尔木兹海峡的控制权展开旷日持久的争夺。

白宫官员说，他们将听从总统的指示，由他来宣布政府的下一步行动。

美伊谈判破裂的消息传回美国时，特朗普（右）和国务卿鲁比奥（中）正在佛罗里达州迈阿密观看一场综合格斗比赛。特朗普离开白宫前往迈阿密时告诉记者，他并不关心谈判结果，因为美国已经打赢与伊朗的战争。（路透社）

纽时说，特朗普目前最大的筹码在于他能够威胁恢复大规模作战行动，但这对特朗普来说并非特别可行的政治选择，伊朗也心知肚明。

特朗普周二（7日）宣布停火，主要目的是为了缓解全球石油供应减少20%所带来的冲击。石油供应减少导致汽油价格飙升，并造成化肥和其他关键物资短缺。如果战火重燃，物资短缺将加剧，物价也几乎不可避免地会进一步上升。

至于霍尔木兹海峡，英广说，通过谈判重新开放似乎不可能。两艘美国军舰出现在波斯湾表明，美国正在考虑其他途径。

美国把伊朗未能承诺永不拥有核武器视为症结所在。英广指出，伊朗一直否认想要拥有终极威慑力量，但一年内发生两次战争，无疑会助长那些呼吁发展核武器的人的气焰。

分析：伊朗准备好打持久战

另据新加坡《海峡时报》星期天引述分析员和官员说，如果和平谈判破裂、冲突再起，伊朗已做好准备打一场旷日持久的战争。

常驻德黑兰的地缘政治分析师兼战略师阿里·艾哈迈迪曾担任伊朗外交部顾问。他说：“伊朗建立了非常庞大的工业基地，专门用于持续生产作战所需的军事装备。伊朗担心的不是战争旷日持久，而是战争结束六个月后，美国重新调整策略，制定新的军事战略，战争又会再次爆发。”

报道也引述一名常驻德黑兰的国际官员说，他从伊朗内部消息人士处获悉，伊朗已做好应对冲突至少持续到9月的准备。“伊朗物资供应充足，没有任何短缺。伊朗已做好长期战争的准备。它预料到这种情况，并已储备足够民众食用长达六个月的粮食。”