特朗普时代结束后,民主党将何去何从?不过眼下先办一场真正的庆祝派对


2026-11-15T11:00:15.174Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

丹佛讯——

与会的民主党人被告知:这次中期选举的大胜,功劳可不算在你们头上。

但聚集在这里的数百名党务人员、战略顾问,以及2028年总统候选人的潜在热门人选,他们想要弄清在近十年受唐纳德·特朗普总统压制后接下来的方向时,现场的氛围又是怎样的?

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可以说,自《韦恩的世界》热播的时代以来,民主党还从未有过如此开阔的总统竞选局面。1992年,才华横溢的南方州长比尔·克林顿横空出世,赢得白宫宝座。

如今,民主党摆脱了特朗普强加的政治荒野,拿下了自水门事件以来最具压倒性的中期选举胜利。在这场疯狂的总统竞选宣布、招聘、筹款以及十几位白宫候选人之间激烈博弈注定会到来之前,他们打算先休息一下。

即使是潜在候选人,在慈善晚宴、酒店屋顶招待会,以及丹佛市中心丽思卡尔顿酒店的酒吧里喝上几杯时,也几乎掩饰不住内心的欣喜,许多人在那里一直混到深夜。

但在第一天的主舞台上,与会者收到了一个警告:选民们其实并不怎么支持他们。

“那些脱离我们、远离我们的选民仍然存在,而且他们还没有成为民主党人。”有影响力的民主党数据专家大卫·肖在为期两天的会议开幕时说道,“两年后他们会回来,如果到那时我们还没能说服他们,恐怕就要对结果大失所望了。”

对于如何做到这一点,大家并未达成共识。舞台上提出的方案也预示着即将开始的斗争:周二的胜利是否表明,该党左翼的坚定斗士可以主导提名竞争并最终赢得全国选举?

还是说,要想在所有地方都获胜,该党应该选择能吸引拒绝了新冠时代觉醒派文化战争政治的选民的人?

“美国人民不能等两年才迎来变革。因此,我们必须与特朗普总统合作。”得克萨斯州新任联邦参议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科说道。

“解决这个问题的唯一途径是携手共进。我们无法用把我们带到这一步的那种对抗方式来解决问题。”艾奥瓦州即将上任的民主党州长罗布·桑德说道。

将这两位年轻的红州新人与民主党众议员罗·坎纳对比一下。坎纳来自深蓝州加利福尼亚州,曾在2020年共同担任伯尼·桑德斯总统竞选的联合主席,外界普遍预计他会作为一名毫不掩饰的进步派参选2028年总统。

“现在不是1990年代了。我们不能通过不断的三角策略、摇摆不定和精打细算来拼凑出一个短暂的大帐篷。”坎纳在舞台上说道。这里提到“三角策略”是对克林顿时代一个热门术语的明确抨击。

这次聚会也让人想起了该党基层的愤怒情绪。马里兰州参议员克里斯·范霍伦宣布将挑战查克·舒默竞选参议院多数党领袖后发表了讲话。

可能即将上任的众议院议长哈基姆·杰弗里斯遭到了听众的嘘声,有人大喊杰弗里斯是“该死的骗子!”随后被护送离场。

抗议者聚集在安全围栏外,举着写有“废除亿万富翁”“禁止舒默加冕”和“再也不要无所作为的民主党人”的标语。一辆丹佛特警车辆停在他们与网约车下车区之间。

但在围栏内、舞台下,所有分歧都消散在近乎欣喜的庆祝氛围中。啤酒厂外停着餐车,供应当地精酿啤酒;两场演讲之间,户外广场上有乐队表演。这两天气温约为65华氏度(约18摄氏度),天气晴朗,足以看到山脉。

夜晚在丽思卡尔顿酒吧里则非常舒适惬意。周四晚上酒水开始供应,正考虑参选总统的亚利桑那州联邦参议员鲁本·加列戈在那里应酬。周四晚上,皮特·布蒂吉格和宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗也出现在那里。

到了周五晚上,美国联邦航空管理局在全国范围实施的地面停航至少让所有人在丹佛滞留了几个小时。密歇根州联邦参议员伊丽莎·斯洛克姆与弗吉尼亚州州长阿比盖尔·斯潘伯格、新泽西州州长米基·谢里尔坐在一起,直到停航解除。佐治亚州联邦参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克与记者进行了私下交谈。布蒂吉格也再次出现,被拍到拍了一两张自拍。伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克未能出席会议,但其团队也在丽思卡尔顿酒吧里。与亚利桑那州联邦参议员马克·凯利有联系的党务人员以及其他一些人也在那里。

这就是这次会议真正业务展开的地方。根据与十几位与总统候选人有联系的战略顾问和党务人员的交谈,首要任务是招聘人员并为最早可能在明年1月、甚至更早启动的总统竞选建立人脉。

许多闲聊和猜测都集中在不在场的可能候选人身上,其中最主要的是卡玛拉·哈里斯和亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯。他们是否参选2028年总统的决定将从根本上改变整个竞选格局。

南部的胜利突显了黑人选民的力量,他们或许已经是民主党初选中最重要的单一群体,而哈里斯在那里拥有巨大优势,尤其是在黑人女性中。

还有进步派阵营,他们因工人阶级候选人以及密歇根州阿卜杜勒·赛义德等人的胜利而士气大振。

“人们认为左翼的人还有更多空间,并在想是否意味着AOC要参选了。”一位与可能参选2028年民主党总统的候选人关系密切的高级党务人员说道。

外界也普遍猜测宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗,他被广泛认为是2028年的顶级热门人选。他的吸引力核心一直是他能在全国最重要的摇摆州之一大胜的论点。现在,该党有了更多新面孔带来的竞争。

“我很自豪能担任我认为是美国最摇摆的州的州长,但我们现在有很多竞争者。”夏皮罗在接受采访时告诉我,“看看得克萨斯州、南卡罗来纳州、艾奥瓦州以及很多其他地方。但我认为这给了民主党一个机会,不要考虑如何在选举团中获得270张选举人票,而是按照奥巴马和克林顿的胜选方式去争取370张选举人票。”

其他潜在竞争者,包括加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽森和佐治亚州联邦参议员乔恩·奥索夫,也没有出现在这里。纽森在过去一年抨击特朗普时,在非正式初选中曾处于领先地位,但至少在这些会议的讨论中,他似乎已从核心话题中淡出。

(不过对特朗普来说,纽森并未淡出。特朗普周末的一部分时间用来攻击纽森,指责他将加利福尼亚州所有死刑犯的死刑判决减刑为终身监禁不得假释。)

当聚集在这里的数百名民主党人试图离开丹佛时,机场的混乱几乎预示着这个虽欣喜若狂但注定要在“接下来何去何从”的问题上经历一场残酷内部斗争的政党,可能会在特朗普时代结束后遭遇大规模宿醉。

“如果你问美国人民,他们反对谁毫无疑问。”马萨诸塞州众议员杰克·奥金克洛斯说道,“但他们对我们的信仰是什么也没有共识。这就是我们现在必须回答的问题。”

CNN的阿比·巴吉尼和吉米·卡尔参与了本次报道。

Democrats look to what’s next after Trump. But first, an actual party

2026-11-15T11:00:15.174Z / CNN

Denver—

The Democrats here were told: The big midterm win wasn’t about you.

But the vibes among the hundreds of party operatives, strategists and would-be 2028 presidential candidates who gathered to ask what’s next after nearly a decade of living in President Donald Trump’s shadow?

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Democrats arguably haven’t had such a wide-open presidential field since the “Wayne’s World” era, when a preternaturally talented Southern state governor named Bill Clinton came almost out of nowhere to win the White House in 1992.

Now, Democrats have exploded out of a Trump-imposed political wilderness to their most sweeping midterm win since Watergate. And they were ready to take a beat before they begin what’s sure to be a frenzied season of presidential campaign announcements, hiring, fundraising and knife-fighting among a dozen or more White House hopefuls.

Even the would-be candidates could barely hide their elation during donor dinners, at hotel rooftop receptions, and over drinks at the bar at the Ritz-Carlton in downtown Denver, where many mingled late into the night.

But on the main stage, on the first day, those gathered here were warned: Voters still aren’t all that into them.

“These voters that we lost and that we have turned away are still out there and they have not become Democrats yet,” influential Democratic data guru David Shor said as the two-day gathering kicked off. “They will be here in two years, and if we have not persuaded them by then, we might not be happy with how things turn out.”

There was no agreement about how to do that. The prescriptions coming from the stage previewed the struggle that’s beginning to emerge: Did Tuesday’s wins signal an uncompromising fighter from the party’s left wing can dominate the nominating contest and go on to win a national election?

Or is the message that to win everywhere, the party should choose someone who can appeal to the voters who rejected the woke culture-war politics of the Covid era?

“The American people cannot wait two years for change. So we must work with President Trump,” said Texas Sen.-elect James Talarico.

“The only way we’re going to fix that is by fixing it together. We can’t do it with the same warfare that brought us here,” said Rob Sand, the incoming Democratic governor of Iowa.

Contrast those two millennial red-state newcomers with Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna, who hails from deep-blue California, co-chaired Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign in 2020, and is widely expected to run for president in 2028 as an unapologetic progressive.

“This is not the 1990s. We cannot cobble together a fleeting big tent through perpetual triangulating, straddling, and calculating,” Khanna said onstage. The reference to “triangulating” was an unmistakable jab at a buzzword of the Clinton era.

The gathering offered a few reminders of the anger emanating from the party’s base. Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen spoke after announcing he would challenge Chuck Schumer to be the next Senate majority leader.

Likely incoming House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries was heckled by the audience, with one person yelling Jeffries was “a f**king liar!” before being escorted from the hall.

And protesters gathered outside the security perimeter, holding signs that read, “Abolish billionaires,” “No Schumer coronation,” and “No more do-nothing Democrats.” A Denver SWAT vehicle was parked between them and the rideshare dropoff line.

But inside that perimeter and off the stage, all the divisions evaporated into an atmosphere of celebration bordering on elation. There were food trucks parked outside the brewery serving local craft beers on draft. There were musical acts performing in the outdoor plaza in between speeches. Both days were about 65 degrees and sunny, with the weather clear enough to see the mountains.

And it was very cozy and comfortable after hours at at the Ritz bar. The drinks started flowing Thursday night, with Arizona Sen. Ruben Gallego, who’s considering a presidential run, holding court. Pete Buttigieg was also spotted there Thursday night, as was Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro.

And Friday evening, the nationwide FAA ground stop stranded everyone in Denver at least for a few hours. Michigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin sat with Govs. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Mikie Sherill of New Jersey until the stop was lifted. Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock huddled off the record with reporters. Buttigieg was back too, spotted snapping a selfie or two. Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker couldn’t attend the conference, but his team was at the Ritz bar too. So were operatives with ties to Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly and a handful of others.

This was where the conference’s real business unfolded. A top priority was recruiting staff and making connections for presidential campaigns that are set to start kicking off as soon as January, if not earlier, according to conversations with over a dozen strategists and operatives with ties to presidential hopefuls.

Much of the chatter and speculation focused on possible candidates who weren’t in the room, Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez chief among them. Their decisions to run or not to run for president in 2028 will fundamentally shape the rest of the field.

Wins across the South underscore the power of Black voters, already perhaps the most important single constituency in any Democratic primary, and Harris starts with an enormous advantage there, especially among Black women.

And then there’s the progressive wing, energized by victories from working-class candidates and people like Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.

“People are thinking there’s more room for someone on the left, and wondering if it means AOC is going to run,” said one top operative with close ties to a likely 2028 Democratic presidential candidate.

There was also widespread speculation about Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, whose been widely considered a top-tier likely 2028 contender. At the heart of his appeal had been the argument he can win big in one of the most important swing states on the map. Now, he’s got a lot of competition from newer faces in the party.

“I’m proud to be the governor of what I think is the swingiest state in America, but we got a lot of company now,” Shapiro told me in an interview. “Look at Texas, look at South Carolina, Iowa, and a whole lot more. But I think that presents an opportunity for Democrats not to be thinking about how to get to 270 on an electoral map, but get to 370 back how Obama won and Clinton won.”

Other potential contenders, including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, also didn’t appear here. Newsom, who had occupied something of frontrunner status in the invisible primary as he jabbed at Trump over the past year, seemed to have faded somewhat from the main conversation, at least in these halls.

(Newsom hasn’t faded, apparently, for Trump, who spent part of his weekend attacking Newsom for commuting the death sentences of all California inmates on death row and changing them to life without parole.)

As the hundreds of Democrats who gathered here struggled to find a way out of Denver, the airport chaos almost presaged what could be a massive post-Trump hangover for a party that’s elated but set for a bruising internal struggle over what’s next.

“If you ask the American people, there is no question about who we oppose,” said Massachusetts Rep. Jake Auchincloss. “But also no sense of what we believe. That is the question we have to answer right now.”

CNN’s Abby Baggini and Jimmy Carr contributed to this report.

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