“蓝色浪潮”过后,四分之三美国人将由民主党人管辖


2026-11-10T18:00:15.968Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

今年当选者一旦宣誓就职,大约75%的美国人将迎来民主党籍州长——这一权力变动反映出该党在全美人口最多的几个州占据主导地位,可能对从选区重划、选举人团制度到医疗保健、税收政策、教育经费等诸多领域产生深远影响。

总体来看,目前至少有28个州由民主党人担任州长。如果民主党州参议员辛迪·霍尔舍在堪萨斯州仍未决出的竞选当中胜出,这一数字将升至29个——这意味着该党将连续第三年掌控这个在总统选举中向来可靠的红州的州长职位。计票工作仍在进行的阿拉斯加州,有可能成为民主党获胜的第30个州。此外,民主党还拿下了多个关键的全州级下议院席位,并在全国各州议会中赢得了数百个席位。

民主党州长协会是该党聚焦州长竞选的竞选机构,其主席、肯塔基州州长安迪·贝谢上周在接受采访时告诉CNN:“我们刚刚在每个 battleground state都拿下了民主党州长,还向人们证明了一件事:合适的候选人在俄亥俄州、艾奥瓦州这类地方也能胜选。”

他表示:“我认为,民主党2028年的胜选机会就算没有呈指数级增长,也已大幅提升。”

民主党将在人口最多的14个州中的13个州担任州长,其中包括得克萨斯州——这是2026年中期选举中最大的争夺目标。除了“孤星之州”,民主党还拿下了由共和党控制的佐治亚州、俄亥俄州、艾奥瓦州和内华达州的州长职位——阿拉斯加州可能很快也会加入这一行列。

共和党仅在一个大州保住了州长职位:佛罗里达州。在此之后,按人口计算拥有共和党州长的最大州依次是田纳西州、印第安纳州和密苏里州。

贝谢表示,他预计那些没有根据《平价医疗法案》扩大医疗补助计划的州如今会寻求这样做。他指出,肯塔基州实施该计划后,已有60万肯塔基人获得了医保,因此他称此举将“拯救农村医疗保健”。

贝谢说:“我认为你会看到,数百万美国人将首次能够去看医生,而此前在共和党州长主政的州,他们是没有这个机会的。”

他还表示,与那些曾成功起诉唐纳德·特朗普政府试图削减各州可获得的资金的民主党州不同,共和党主导的州并未受益于法院下令分配的、原本用于资助美国志愿队(AmeriCorps)或“建设有韧性的基础设施和社区”灾前缓解项目的资金。

贝谢说:“这些州即将看到的一个直接变化,就是数百万美元将流入本州,而此前因为前任州长没有勇气对抗唐纳德·特朗普,这些资金本来是拿不到的。”

民主党在全州级别的收获远不止州长职位。

领导该党州级立法竞选全国战略的民主党立法竞选委员会表示,民主党在各州议会中赢得了500多个席位。

民主党将控制全国大多数州议会,并且在23个州掌控参众两院的多数席位。

该党将“三党共治”(即民主党控制州长职位及参众两院)的州增加了6个——这些州全都是总统选举的 battleground state:亚利桑那州、密歇根州、明尼苏达州、内华达州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康星州。

此外,该党还在13个州的议会中打破了共和党占有的超级多数席位——这是一个关键变化,意味着在这些深度红州,民主党现在拥有足够的席位来暂停会议,阻碍立法进程。

“我们在许多重大问题上几乎被忽视,”佛罗里达州州众议员克里斯汀·亨肖夫斯基说。她是在民主党打破共和党超级多数席位的其中一个议会中,即将上任的众议院民主党领袖。她在上周由中左翼组织“新协议”(NewDEAL)组织的一次电话会议中表示:“没人需要邀请我们参与讨论,没人愿意倾听我们的声音。而现在,情况已经改变了。”

共和党州立法竞选机构——共和党州领导委员会的主席伊迪丝·豪尔赫-图农表示,今年选举的结果反映出“共和党面临的历史性艰难政治环境,以及捍卫我们州多数席位日益严峻的挑战”,并且实际上,该党在进入本周二的选举时,其所占席位和议会的数量很可能已达到峰值。

她在一份声明中表示:“在许多关键 battleground state,全国政治环境和顶席级竞选的影响,大大削弱了我们的候选人打破历史趋势的能力。随着2028年选举和下一轮国会选区重划的临近,共和党必须应对眼前的挑战,坚定致力于赢回并捍卫我们的多数席位。”

After blue wave, three-quarters of Americans will be governed by Democrats

2026-11-10T18:00:15.968Z / CNN

As soon as this year’s winners are sworn in, roughly 75% of all Americans will have Democratic governors — a shakeup that reflects the party’s dominance in the nation’s most populous states and could have a seismic impact on everything from redistricting and the Electoral College to health care and tax policies, education funding and more.

In total, at least 28 states will now have Democratic governors. It will be 29 if Democratic state Sen. Cindy Holscher wins the still-uncalled race in Kansas — extending for a third term the party’s governorship of a state that votes reliably red in presidential races. Alaska, where votes are still being counted, could become the 30th Democratic win. Democrats also won several key downballot statewide offices and gained hundreds of seats in state legislative chambers across the country.

“We just delivered a Democratic governor in every battleground state, and we showed people the way — that the right candidate could win in places like Ohio and Iowa,” Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, the party’s campaign arm focused on governor’s races, told CNN in an interview last week.

“I believe that Democrats’ 2028 chances just became significantly, if not exponentially, better,” he said.

Democrats will hold the governor’s offices in 13 of the 14 most populated states — including Texas, the biggest prize of all in the 2026 midterm elections. In addition to the Lone Star State, Democrats also flipped the GOP-held governorships in Georgia, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada — and could soon add Alaska to that list.

Republicans retain the job in just one big state: Florida. After that, the next-largest states with Republican governors, by population, are Tennessee, Indiana and Missouri.

Beshear said he expects to see some states that had not expanded their Medicaid programs under the Affordable Care Act seek to do so now, a move that he said would “save rural health care,” as he pointed to 600,000 Kentuckians who gained coverage when he did so there.

“I think what you’ll see is millions of Americans will be able to now go see a doctor when previously in their red-governed state, they couldn’t,” Beshear said.

He also said that unlike Democratic states that successfully sued President Donald Trump’s administration when it sought to cut funding intended to flow to states, Republican-led states did not benefit from court rulings ordering the distribution of money intended to fund AmeriCorps or the Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities pre-disaster mitigation program.

“One immediate thing that these states will see is millions of dollars flowing into the state that weren’t because their previous governor didn’t have the courage to stand up to Donald Trump,” Beshear said.

The Democratic gains on the statewide level go far beyond governors’ offices.

Democrats picked up more than 500 seats in state legislatures, according to the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, the group that leads the party’s national strategy for state-level legislative races.

Democrats will control a majority of state legislative chambers across the country, and in 23 states will hold the majority in both chambers.

The party added six states to its list of “trifectas” — places where Democrats control the governor’s office and both chambers of the state legislature. And all six are presidential battleground states: Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

It also ended Republican supermajorities in 13 legislative bodies — a critical distinction that means Democrats now have enough seats in those deep-red states to break quorums and grind legislative progress to a halt.

“We’ve been virtually ignored on many of the big issues,” Florida state Rep. Christine Hunschofsky, the incoming House Democratic leader in one of the chambers where the party ended the GOP’s supermajority, said on a call last week organized by the center-left group NewDEAL.

“Nobody needed to bring us to the table. Nobody needed to listen to us,” Hunschofsky said. “And so now, things have changed.”

Edith Jorge-Tuñón, the president of the Republican State Leadership Committee, the party’s state legislative campaign arm, said the outcomes of this year’s elections reflect “the historically difficult political environment Republicans faced and the growing challenge of defending our majorities in the states” — and the reality that the party was likely at its high water mark entering Tuesday in terms of seats and chambers it held.

“In many key battleground states, the national political environment and the impact of top-of-the-ticket races significantly affected our candidates’ ability to defy historical trends,” she said in a statement. “With the 2028 elections and the next round of congressional redistricting approaching, Republicans must confront the challenges ahead and make a sustained commitment to winning back and defending our majorities.”

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