这位76岁的大法官发表上述声明之际，分析人士指出共和党可能长达六年无法赢回参议院
安德斯·哈格斯特罗姆 | 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年11月5日 美国东部时间11:34
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罗恩·德桑蒂斯警告即将上任的民主党参议院多数党将阻止特朗普的内阁提名人选
佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯警告称，即将上任的民主党参议院多数党意味着最高法院大法官或主要内阁官员的提名将无法获得确认。
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最高法院大法官塞缪尔·阿利托向福克斯新闻证实，他没有退休计划，至少将留任至当前任期，该任期定于6月下旬结束。
阿利托周四发表上述声明，正值中期选举中共和党表现糟糕之际，外界开始揣测最高法院的未来走向。
1月新一届国会任期开始后，民主党将牢牢掌控参议院，包括佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯在内的预测显示，这种情况至少六年都不会改变。这意味着在今年之后，唐纳德·特朗普总统极难（甚至不可能）为最高法院任何可能出现的空缺任命保守派人士。
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【消息人士：阿利托预计本任期不会退休，缓解最高法院空缺猜测】
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2022年10月7日，美国华盛顿特区，美国最高法院联席大法官塞缪尔·阿利托（Alex Wong/Getty Images）
在78岁的克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官之后，76岁的阿利托是最高法院年龄最大的大法官。
“在特朗普总统任期内，确认托马斯大法官和/或阿利托大法官的合适继任者的概率：为零。在假设的2029-2033年共和党政府任期内，确认合适继任者的概率也基本为零（共和党无法在2028年夺回足够的参议院席位），”德桑蒂斯周二晚间在X平台上发文称。
【共和党就隐藏的中期选举赌注发出警告，这可能重塑最高法院数十年格局】
“假设共和党失去预测市场显示民主党有90%以上胜率的席位，这将使民主党获得55个参议院席位，”德桑蒂斯补充道。
乔纳森·图利：谢罗德·布朗的承诺将“建议与同意”变成了笑料
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2025年1月20日，华盛顿特区美国国会大厦圆形大厅内，最高法院联席大法官塞缪尔·阿利托和克拉伦斯·托马斯在就职典礼结束后等待离开舞台。(Chip Somodevilla/法新社 via Getty Images)
【民主党占领参议院，蓝色浪潮深度冲击“特朗普票仓”，颠覆共和党大本营】
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曾为已故最高法院大法官安东宁·斯卡利亚担任 clerk（法官助理）的保守派法律专家埃德·惠兰在X平台上发文称，特朗普现在实际上已无法在其总统任期最后两年任命联邦法官或最高法院大法官。
“如果2028年有共和党人当选总统，该总统在共和党赢回参议院之前将无法任命任何大法官或法官，”惠兰写道，“考虑到当前的巨大劣势，这可能要到2033年才能实现。”
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2026年2月20日星期五拍摄的最高法院外景。(Annabelle Gordon/彭博社 via Getty Images)
惠兰还解释称，大法官在即将到来的“跛脚鸭”国会会期（指美国国会大选后、新国会任期开始前的时期）辞职的可能性极低，共和党也难以确保获得51票支持。
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“如果谢罗德·布朗赢得俄亥俄州席位，他将在12月初宣誓就职，届时参议院将变为52名共和党人、48名民主党人，”惠兰写道，“柯林斯和穆尔科斯基不太可能支持特朗普提名的任何人。约翰·科尼、汤姆·蒂利斯和比尔·卡西迪也不会急于帮特朗普的忙。此外还有其他参议员——比如犹他州的约翰·柯蒂斯——也会对任何特朗普急于推动通过的人选持谨慎态度。”
福克斯新闻的安德鲁·马克·米勒为本报道提供了协助。
安德斯·哈格斯特罗姆是福克斯新闻数字频道的记者，负责报道全国政治及重大突发新闻事件。
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407927287112
Alito reiterates he’s not retiring, is committed through end of current Supreme Court term
The 76-year-old justice’s statement comes as analysts say the GOP may not win back the Senate for six years
By Anders Hagstrom | Fox News
Published November 5, 2026 11:34am EST
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Ron DeSantis warns incoming Democratic Senate majority will block Trump Cabinet picks
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis warns that an incoming Democratic Senate majority means no Supreme Court Justice or major cabinet officials will be confirmed.
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Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito confirmed to Fox News that he has no plans to retire and is committed through at least the current term, which is set to end in late June.
Alito made the statement Thursday amid speculation about the future of the Supreme Court after a disastrous GOP performance in the midterm elections.
When the new congressional term begins in January, Democrats will be in firm control of the Senate, with predictions, including from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, that this will not change for at least six years. That would make it extremely difficult, if not impossible, for President Donald Trump to fill any potential vacancy with a conservative after this year.
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ALITO NOT EXPECTED TO RETIRE THIS TERM, COOLING SUPREME COURT VACANCY SPECULATION: SOURCES
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United States Supreme Court Associate Justice Samuel Alito on October 7, 2022, in Washington, D.C.(Alex Wong/Getty Images)
After Justice Clarence Thomas, 78, Alito is the oldest member of the Supreme Court at 76 years old.
“Chance of confirming a worthy successor to Justice Thomas and/or Alito during President Trump’s term: Zero. Chance of confirming a worthy successor during a hypothetical GOP admin 2029-2033: probably zero (GOP won’t be able to recapture enough seats in 28),” DeSantis posted to X on Tuesday night.
REPUBLICANS SOUND ALARM OVER HIDDEN MIDTERM STAKES THAT COULD RESHAPE SUPREME COURT FOR DECADES
“Assuming Republicans lose the seats where prediction markets have the Democrats at 90+% to win, that would produce 55 Democrat Senate seats,” DeSantis added.
JONATHAN TURLEY: SHERROD BROWN’S PLEDGE TURNS ADVICE AND CONSENT INTO A PUNCHLINE
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Supreme Court Associate Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas wait to leave the stage after the inauguration ceremonies in the Rotunda of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 20, 2025.(Chip Somodevilla/AFP via Getty Images)
DEMS SEIZE THE SENATE AS BLUE TIDAL WAVE CRASHES DEEP INTO TRUMP COUNTRY, TOPPLES GOP STRONGHOLDS
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Ed Whelan, a conservative legal expert who clerked for the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia, wrote on X that Trump is now effectively blocked from appointing federal judges or Supreme Court justices during the final two years of his term.
“If a Republican is elected president in 2028, that president will not be able to appoint any justices or judges until Republicans regain the Senate,” Whelan wrote. “Given the deep hole, that might not happen until 2033. “
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The Supreme Court is seen on Friday, Feb. 20, 2026.(Annabelle Gordon/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Whelan also explained that a justice resigning during the upcoming “lame duck” session is highly unlikely and Republicans would have a hard time securing 51 votes.
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“If Sherrod Brown wins Ohio seat, he gets sworn into Senate in early December, so Senate becomes 52R-48D,” Whelan wrote. “Collins and Murkowski would be unlikely to support anyone Trump would nominate. John Cornyn, Thom Tillis, and Bill Cassidy aren’t going to be eager to do Trump any favors. And there are other senators—e.g., John Curtis of Utah—who would be leery of anyone Trump would be eager to push through.”
Fox News’ Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this report.
Anders Hagstrom is a reporter with Fox News Digital covering national politics and major breaking news events.
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6407927287112
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