2026年11月3日 美国东部时间晚上11:33 / CBS新闻
据CBS新闻预测，温和派民主党人大卫·克劳利赢得威斯康星州州长选举，在该国最具摇摆性的州之一击败了特朗普的核心盟友、共和党众议员汤姆·蒂凡尼。
现任民主党州长托尼·埃弗斯已担任两届，因任期限制无法再次参选。
据马凯特大学法学院9月民调显示，克劳利作为密尔沃基县县长，成功将蒂凡尼与特朗普总统绑定在一起——特朗普在威斯康星州的支持反对率达60%。克劳利还批评蒂凡尼在国会投票反对确认2020年选举结果，以及他在《一个伟大、美丽的法案》、关税和伊朗战争问题上与特朗普的结盟行为。
蒂凡尼自2020年以来一直代表威斯康星州北部一个安全的共和党选区，曾试图将克劳利描绘成社会主义者，尤其是在民主党初选陷入争议之后。尽管蒂凡尼长期以来是特朗普的盟友，但他试图将竞选重点放在更具地方性的问题上。特朗普最后一次前往该州造势是在6月。
克劳利在8月11日的初选中仅以4000票的优势击败民主社会主义者弗朗西斯卡·洪，赢得初选。这场民主党初选一度有四位主要候选人：克劳利、洪、前副州长曼德拉·巴恩斯和副州长萨拉·罗德里格斯。
这场竞选在7月开始出现不同态势，当时克劳利退出竞选并转而支持罗德里格斯，而罗德里格斯被认为更偏向建制派候选人。
但罗德里格斯几天后就退出了竞选，原因是她发现自己的竞选资金比预期的少。
尽管巴恩斯作为进步派候选人在2022年参议院初选中爆冷胜出，并在2018年以该州首位黑人副州长的身份赢得全州选举，但洪当时似乎是领跑者。面对威斯康星州选民将在选票上看到这些极左选项的局面，克劳利宣布将以温和派民主党人的身份重返竞选之路。
克劳利在7月的一场辩论中表示，他最初决定退出竞选是因为认为自己落后了，但后来又说“我们依据的是错误数据”，于是重返竞选。
随后，巴恩斯在7月30日——距离初选不到两周——宣布退出，称“民主党候选人显然已经确定”，并指出了洪。巴恩斯宣布之际，《密尔沃基哨兵报》正在调查有关他利用党内职权与年轻成年女性发生性关系的指控。巴恩斯否认这些指控，且未被指控任何犯罪行为。
蒂凡尼在共和党初选中没有遇到强劲对手，这让他有更多时间为大选开展竞选活动。
威斯康星州是一个摇摆州——特朗普在2024年以不到1个百分点的优势赢得该州。它是全国仅有的两个拥有一名民主党参议员和一名共和党参议员的州之一（第三个州是缅因州，该州有一名共和党参议员和一名与民主党党团合作的独立参议员）。
Democrat David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor’s race, defeating Trump ally Tom Tiffany
November 3, 2026 / 11:33 PM EST / CBS News
Moderate Democrat David Crowley won the Wisconsin governor’s race, CBS News projects, defeating top Trump ally Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany in one of the most purple states in the country.
Two-term incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers was prevented from running again due to term limits.
Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, successfully tied Tiffany to President Trump, who has a 60% disapproval rating in Wisconsin, a September poll from Marquette University Law School found. Crowley also criticized Tiffany’s House vote against certifying the 2020 election, as well as his alliance with Mr. Trump on the One Big, Beautiful Bill, tariffs and the Iran war.
Tiffany, who has represented a safely Republican Northern Wisconsin district since 2020, tried to paint Crowley as a socialist, especially after the contentious Democratic primary. Though Tiffany has been a longtime Trump ally, he tried to focus his campaign on more local issues. Mr. Trump last visited the state to campaign in June.
Crowley won the August 11 primary by just 4,000 votes over democratic socialist Francesca Hong. The Democratic race had at one time four major candidates: Crowley, Hong, former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez.
The race started to take a different shape in July, when Crowley dropped his bid and threw his support behind Rodriguez, who was considered more of an establishment candidate.
But Rodriguez dropped out days later, after discovering her campaign funds were lower than she thought.
Though Barnes had pulled off a surprise victory in the 2022 Senate primary as a progressive candidate and won statewide as the state’s first Black lieutenant governor in 2018, Hong appeared to be the frontrunner. With Wisconsin voters facing those far-left choices on the ballot, Crowley announced he would return to the campaign trail as a centrist Democrat.
Crowley said in a debate in July that he had initially decided to drop his bid because he believed he was behind, but then said that “we were going off false data” and returned to the race.
Barnes then announced on July 30 — less than two weeks before the primary — that he would drop out, saying, “it’s becoming very clear who the Democratic nominee is going to be,” pointing to Hong. Barnes’ announcement came as theMilwaukee Journal Sentinel was investigating allegations that he was taking advantage of his role in the party to have sexual encounters with young adult women. Barnes denies the allegations and has not been accused of any crimes.
Tiffany did not face serious opposition in the Republican primary, giving him more time to campaign for the general election.
Wisconsin is a battleground state — Mr. Trump won the state by less than one point in 2024. It is one of only two states in the country with one Democratic senator and one Republican senator (a third state, Maine, has one Republican senator and an independent who caucuses with Democrats).
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