查看本次中期选举中哪些众议院选区的政治立场变动最大
发布时间：美国东部时间2026年11月3日 凌晨4:00
今年美国众议院的所有席位都将接受选举考验，这些结果将是对唐纳德·特朗普总统第二任期近两年来选民态度的一次重大检验。
为了衡量这种变化，CNN将对每个选区的众议院选举结果与其2024年总统选举投票情况进行对比。例如，如果特朗普在某选区以10个百分点的优势获胜，而本次选举中共和党众议院候选人仅以4个百分点的优势拿下该选区，这就代表该选区朝向民主党阵营发生了6个百分点的变动。
这种对比并非完美无缺。众议院选举与总统选举有所不同，现任议员身份、地方议题以及候选人本身都至关重要，而且中期选举的投票人数通常较少。不过在数百个选区中，这类政治立场变动仍是判断国家发展方向的最明确信号之一。
下方内容将自动更新并同步最新结果。初步计票结果可能存在误导性，随着计票工作持续推进，选区支持率可能出现大幅波动。因此，本地图仅展示那些已统计了至少30%预计票数的选区。
选举夜计票结果陆续出炉期间，欢迎持续关注本页面——相关图表会随着票数统计同步更新。
选民的党派立场变动也可能影响众议院的政治权力分配，各选区将逐渐向民主党或共和党阵营靠拢。
随着更多选区计票完成，这张图表会逐步填充数据，展示2024年总统选举中各选区的共和党或民主党支持幅度与本次选举的对比情况。例如，如果民主党当晚表现出色，更多原本支持共和党的选区可能会转向民主党。
数据说明：立场变动指的是各选区2026年众议院选举中共和党得票率与民主党得票率的差值，与该选区2024年总统选举投票结果中相同差值的对比，两者均以有效总票数的百分比计算。2024年总统选举数据来自美联社，并已根据当前选区划分进行重新核算。若某选区选票中没有同时出现民主党和共和党候选人，则不纳入统计。
See which House districts have the biggest shifts this midterm election
PUBLISHED Nov 3, 2026, 4:00 AM ET
Every seat in the US House is on the ballot this year, and the results are a major test of how voters feel almost two years into President Donald Trump’s second term.
To measure that, CNN is comparing each district’s House result with how it voted for president in 2024. If Trump won a district by 10 points, and the Republican House candidate carried it by 4 this time, that would represent a 6-point shift toward Democrats, for example.
It’s not a perfect comparison. A House contest isn’t a presidential race. Incumbency, local issues and the candidates themselves all matter — and fewer people generally vote in midterms. But across hundreds of districts, these shifts are among the clearest signals of which direction the country is moving.
The results will update and reflect automatically below. Early returns can be misleading, and districts can swing sharply as the counting continues. That’s why the map shows only districts with at least 30% of the expected vote in.
Check back and follow along as results start coming in on election night — these graphics will update as votes are counted.
The partisan shifts by voters will also likely affect the distribution of political power in the House, as districts either move toward Democrats or Republicans.
This chart, which will fill in as more races are counted, shows the numbers of districts that voted with a Republican or Democratic margin in 2024 compared with now. If the Democrats have a good night, for example, more red districts will shift blue.
About the data: Shift compares the Republican-minus-Democratic margin in each district’s 2026 House race with the 2024 presidential margin in the same district, both as a share of all votes cast. The 2024 presidential results are from the Associated Press and have been recalculated for current district lines. Districts without both a Democrat and a Republican on the ballot are not included.
发表回复