共和党中期选举困境的最新迹象:顶级超级政治行动委员会将在密西西比州投放广告


2026-10-22T20:05:47.428Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/22/politics/gop-midterm-problems-mississippi-ads

致力于保住参议院席位的共和党人,如今对守住密西西比州的参议院席位愈发焦虑——该州是美国南部腹地的共和党传统票仓。他们正在竞选最后几周投入资金,以巩固现任参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯的选情。

据广告影响监测机构AdImpact的数据,聚焦参议院选举的共和党顶级超级政治行动委员会“参议院领导基金”已于周四在密西西比州预留了约16万美元的广告投放额度,预计还将投入更多资金。

这一举措出台之际,参议院民主党人宣布将为该席位竞选投入约100万美元广告费。但据一位知情人士透露,早在民主党公布广告投放计划之前,共和党官员就已经在考虑采取类似行动。

共和党官员告诉CNN,他们不认为会在密西西比州失利——就在两年前,唐纳德·特朗普总统曾以23个百分点的优势赢得该州。尽管共和党相较于民主党拥有显著的资金优势,但他们正密切关注斯科特·科洛姆的崛起。这位43岁的地区检察官得到了包括前总统贝拉克·奥巴马、前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯以及佐治亚州参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克在内的民主党高层的支持。哈里斯于周四与科洛姆共同开展了竞选活动。

不久前,共和党参议院相关团体做出此类举动还是难以想象的。这反映出共和党在中期选举前愈发严峻的全国政治环境,以及科洛姆能够借助海德-史密斯竞选期间的负面争议时刻——这些时刻已开始凝聚起支持他的力量,尽管他的参选胜算渺茫。海德-史密斯疲软的筹款表现以及中期选举历来不利于执政党的逆风,进一步加剧了这种压力。

对于一个已经在深红州堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州捍卫现任议员席位,同时在得克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、艾奥瓦州和阿拉斯加州投入数亿美元开展竞选的政党而言,此举实属非同寻常。

共和党人还指出,自2018年被任命以来,海德-史密斯的选举表现历来不如特朗普。(2020年海德-史密斯以10个百分点的优势赢得首个完整任期,而当年特朗普在该州的胜选优势超过16个百分点。)

2026年初至9月底,密西西比州参议院竞选的广告总支出不足500万美元。但从10月初到选举日,广告支出将接近800万美元,目前民主党人的广告开支约为500万美元,领先共和党约270万美元。

据多位知情人士透露,参议院共和党竞选委员会负责人、南卡罗来纳州参议员蒂姆·斯科特曾多次表示,如果现任议员未能为艰难的竞选周期做好充分准备,共和党不会为其提供资金支持。就在上个月,他还表示不会向密西西比州和堪萨斯州投入资金——在堪萨斯州,参议员罗杰·马歇尔正努力击退民主党候选人亚当·汉密尔顿。

但共和党工作人员也承认,他们正面临20年来最糟糕的政治环境,可能需要考虑所有选项,以遏制民主党在全国范围内的势头。此外,在密西西比州这样的农村州,民调结果也存在不确定性。

海德-史密斯的竞选团队官员上周告诉CNN,她并未向本党申请更多资源。

“我们有信心海德-史密斯参议员将在11月3日赢得选举。密西西比州民众了解她的政绩:为基础设施和农村医疗保障带回数十亿美元资金;确认保守派法官、否决自由派法官提名;为工薪家庭和小企业减税;维护边境安全;投票反对让男性进入女子体育赛事和更衣室的提案,”海德-史密斯的竞选经理杰克·蒙森在一份声明中说道。

科洛姆多次向本党高层指出,密西西比州正处于成为竞争州的临界点。他指出,该州的选民结构——非裔美国人占总人口的38%——与南部腹地其他州相比,更接近战场州佐治亚州。

“密西西比州就是下一个,这一点毋庸置疑,”科洛姆说道。

据多位知情人士透露,参议院的四位黑人民主党议员——包括新泽西州参议员科里·布克——近几周都为科洛姆开展了竞选活动,并直接向党内高层呼吁为该州提供更多资源。

“他开展了一场强有力的竞选活动,专注于直接接触选民,回应他们对汽油和食品价格上涨的担忧。这也是他能取得当前竞选态势的原因,也让共和党人感到紧张。他们终于意识到我从一开始就说过的话:密西西比州就是下一个佐治亚州,”特拉华州参议员丽莎·布朗特·罗切斯特在一份声明中告诉CNN。

在全国共和党陷入困境的时刻,该党在特朗普传统票仓日益处于守势,此时决定向密西西比州投入资金可谓意义重大。

据一位知情人士透露,斯科特曾不止一次警告 fellow 参议员:“要么心怀敬畏地参选,要么干脆不参选。”

与此同时,民主党此前并未计划在该州投入资金,因为党内官员此前告诉CNN,资金短缺使他们无法进入深红州竞选。但本周情况发生了变化,民主党预留了120万美元的广告额度。

据多位知情人士透露,密西西比州参议院席位已成为参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默及其竞选团队多届选举以来关注的焦点,他们认为这是民主党在南部腹地拿下席位的最佳机会。民主党长期以来一直认为,如果能找到合适的候选人并动员传统上支持民主党的非裔选民投票,该州将具备竞争力,这将帮助他们克服本党在该州长期缺乏资源和竞选基础设施的短板。

据一位知情人士透露,舒默本人也曾为科洛姆的竞选活动站台,今年早些时候在华盛顿为他举办了筹款活动,并在最近的一次活动中告诉捐赠者:“密西西比州也需要关注。”

https://www.cnn.com/

民主党参议院候选人谈为何认为能在特朗普票仓获胜:“密西西比民众遭到了背叛”

2:26 • 来源:CNN

民主党参议院候选人谈为何认为能在特朗普票仓获胜:“密西西比民众遭到了背叛”
2:26

民主党捐赠者对支持科洛姆的密西西比州竞选活动表现出越来越浓厚的兴趣。民主党关联组织“美国桥超级政治行动委员会”最近宣布计划在该州投入210万美元。

其中许多活动都聚焦于选民动员工作,尤其是在非裔社区,这从一开始就是科洛姆竞选活动的重点。

科洛姆告诉CNN,在15年里,他是该州仅有的四位能够筹集到足够资金开展全州范围电视广告宣传的民主党人之一。

从上个月开始,科洛姆和他的团队驾驶一辆餐车在大学校园、保障性住房项目、音乐节和其他当地聚会场所穿梭,与选民见面、播放音乐并分发免费玉米卷。最近几天,科洛姆还提供“自选蛋白质”的玉米卷——这是对海德-史密斯近期言论的回击,后者曾称鉴于牛肉价格飙升,“有这么多蛋白质可供选择”。

“我们现任的参议员从不开展竞选活动,她已经六年没举办过市政厅会议了,”科洛姆告诉CNN。“你不能用谎言支付汽油费,也不能用谎言购买食品杂货。”

The latest sign of Republican midterm problems: A top super PAC is buying ads in Mississippi

2026-10-22T20:05:47.428Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/22/politics/gop-midterm-problems-mississippi-ads

Republicans working to keep the Senate are increasingly anxious about holding onto a seat in Mississippi — a GOP stronghold in the deep South — and are investing money in the final weeks to shore up incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Senate Leadership Fund, the leading GOP super PAC focused on Senate races, made an initial reservation of about $160,000 in Mississippi on Thursday, according to AdImpact data, with more cash expected.

That move comes as Senate Democrats’ announced they’ll spend roughly $1 million on ads for the race — but it’s something that GOP officials had been considering even before the Democratic buy, according to one person familiar with the discussions.

Party officials have told CNN they do not believe they will lose in Mississippi, a state President Donald Trump won by 23 points just two years ago. But Republicans — who have a major cash advantage over Democrats — are closely watching the rise of Scott Colom, a 43-year-old district attorney who’s been backed by top Democrats, including former President Barack Obama, former Vice President Kamala Harris and Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock. Harris campaigned with Colom Thursday.

Such a move by a Senate GOP group would have been unthinkable not long ago. It reflects the worsening national political landscape facing Republicans ahead of the midterms, as well as Colom’s ability to capitalize on Hyde-Smith’s uneven campaign performance with viral moments that have started to galvanize the party behind his long-shot bid. Hyde-Smith’s anemic fundraising and historic midterm headwinds have added to the pressure.

And it’s an extraordinary step for a party that’s already defending incumbents in deep-red Kansas and South Carolina, while spending hundreds of millions battling in Texas, Ohio, Iowa and Alaska.

Republicans have also noted that Hyde-Smith has historically underperformed Trump after she was appointed in 2018. (Hyde-Smith won her first full term in 2020 by 10 points while Trump won the state by more than 16.)

From the start of 2026 through the end of September, the Senate race in Mississippi saw less than $5 million in ad spending. But from the start of October through Election Day, it will see nearly $8 million, Democrats currently outspending Republicans by about $5 million to $2.7 million.

Senate Republicans’ campaign chief, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, had repeatedly said that the party would not bail out incumbents if they did not adequately prepare for a tough cycle, according to multiple people familiar with the discussions. He said as recently as last month that he did not plan to put money in Mississippi or Kansas, where Sen. Roger Marshall is trying to hold off Democrat Adam Hamilton, according to one of those people.

But party operatives also acknowledge they’re facing their worst political climate in two decades and may need to consider all options to halt the Democratic surge across the map. And polling is uncertain in a rural state like Mississippi.

Hyde-Smith’s campaign official told CNN last week she had not asked her party for more resources.

“We are confident that Senator Hyde-Smith will win on November 3rd. Mississippians know her record: billions brought home for infrastructure and rural health care; conservative judges confirmed and liberal ones blocked; tax relief for working families and small businesses; a secure border; and votes that keep men out of girls’ sports and locker rooms,” Jake Monssen, Hyde-Smith’s campaign manager, said in a statement.

Colom has repeatedly made the case, including to top leaders of his own party, that Mississippi is on the cusp of becoming a competitive state, noting that its voter makeup – with Black Americans making up 38% of the population – is closer to the battleground state of Georgia than any other state in the Deep South.

“Mississippi is next, there’s no doubt about that,” Colom said.

All four of the Senate’s Black Democrats – including Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey – have campaigned for Colom in recent weeks – and have made a direct pitch to party insiders for more resources there, according to multiple people familiar with the conversations.

“He has run a strong campaign focused on reaching out directly to voters and speaking to their concerns about the rising costs of gas and groceries. That’s why he’s in the position he’s in, and that’s why Republicans are nervous. They’re finally realizing what I’ve said from the beginning: Mississippi is the next Georgia,” Delaware Sen. Lisa Blunt Rochester told CNN in a statement.

The decision to pour money into Mississippi comes at a fraught time for the national Republican Party, which is increasingly on the defense in Trump territory.

Scott has cautioned his fellow senators on more than one occasion: “Run afraid or run unopposed,” according to a person familiar with the remarks.

Top Democrats, meanwhile, had not planned to put money into the state, faced with a cash shortage that party officials have previously told CNN is preventing them from going into deeper red territory. But that changed this week with a $1.2 million reservation.

Mississippi has been a seat of interest for several cycles now for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and his campaign team, who consider it Democrats’ best chance for a pickup in the deep South, according to multiple people familiar with the discussions. Democrats have long believed that the state could be competitive if they can find the right candidate and turn out Black voters – who traditionally vote Democratic – arguing that could allow them to overcome the historical lack of resources and infrastructure in the state for their party.

Schumer has personally promoted Colom’s campaign, holding a fundraiser for him in DC earlier this year and telling donors at one recent event that “Mississippi needs attention too,” according to a person familiar with the conversations.

https://www.cnn.com/

Dem Senate candidate on why he thinks he can win in Trump territory: ‘Mississippians have been betrayed’

2:26 • Source: CNN

Dem Senate candidate on why he thinks he can win in Trump territory: ‘Mississippians have been betrayed’

2:26

Democratic donors have expressed growing interest in the Mississippi contest to boost Colom. America Bridge PAC, a Democratic-aligned group, recently announced plans to spend $2.1 million in the state.

Many of those events have focused on get-out-the-vote efforts, especially in Black communities, which have been a major focus of Colom’s campaign from the start.

In 15 years, Colom told CNN he is one of only four Democrats who’s raised enough money to run statewide TV ads in the state.

Starting last month, Colom and his team have driven a food truck around college campuses, housing projects, musical festivals and other local gathering spots to meet voters, blast music and hand out free tacos. In recent days, Colom’s been serving “pick your protein” tacos – a jab at Hyde-Smith’s recent comment that there are “so many proteins to choose from” given soaring beef prices.

“Our current senator does not campaign. She hasn’t done a town hall in six years,” Colom told CNN. “You can’t pay for gas with lies. You can’t buy groceries with lies.”

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