2026-10-15T16:47:37.473Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/15/politics/trump-unpopular-ideas-republicans-distancing
很明显,许多参加2026年中期选举的共和党候选人都希望与唐纳德·特朗普总统保持距离。
而特朗普也一直在用行动印证他们的顾虑。
这位总统在中期选举前的支持率已创下历史新低,而他和团队却还在不断强化那些把他们拖入困境的糟糕政治本能。
特朗普做出令人费解的政治举动并非新鲜事,但在2026年竞选活动的最后阶段,他提出了一些最不受欢迎的主张。
这看起来就像是他在刻意挑选最不得人心的做法,随后还会在集会上详细阐述这些主张。
两个最典型的例子是政府现已放弃的两项策略:动用数百万纳税人资金投放宣传特朗普的广告,以及直播胡德堡枪击案枪手尼达尔·哈桑的处决过程。特朗普后来表示将改用竞选资金投放广告,并于周四宣布不会再直播处决。
就在他宣布这一决定的数小时前,《华盛顿邮报》和美国广播公司刚刚发布的一项民调显示,登记选民以压倒性的80%比19%反对直播哈桑的处决。
而路透社和益普索上周的民调显示,89%的受访者认为用纳税人资金投放政治广告不妥,仅9%的人持支持态度。
即便在特朗普众多不受欢迎的政策中,这两项民调结果也堪称极端。与之最接近的大概是赦免1月6日事件中的暴力参与者,另一项《华盛顿邮报》民调显示,83%的登记选民反对这一做法,仅16%的人支持。
居然有人认为这两项已被放弃的计划是可行的——更何况是在选举年的10月——这充分说明了共和党如今的处境。直播哈桑处决不仅是一个令人毛骨悚然的想法,就连许多共和党人都曾对此提出警告,此举还会让哈桑成为公开的殉道者,成为伊斯兰极端分子的宣传利器。
但显然没有人愿意向特朗普或国防部长皮特·赫格斯塞斯提出质疑,或是他们的质疑被轻易驳回了。
如果你认为这只是孤立事件,不妨看看特朗普周三在集会上的发言。
在亚利桑那州,特朗普大肆宣扬他最近发起的对加拿大贸易战,以及此前提出的将加拿大或格陵兰岛变为美国第51个州的提案。
“他们(加拿大)的做法很野蛮,我们再也不会忍气吞声了,”特朗普在谈及加拿大对美国的贸易政策时说道。
“他们最终会成为美国的第51个州,因为这是唯一可行的办法,”特朗普补充道,“就像格陵兰岛一样。”随后他又谈及格陵兰岛,声称自己从未真正打算入侵该领地——尽管他此前曾公开表态过这一选项。
这简直是三重不得人心的政策叠加。
特朗普对格陵兰岛的处理方式?2月的一项民调显示,72%的受访者对此表示不认可。
将加拿大变为美国第51个州?去年的民调结果显示,75%或80%的受访者反对这一提议,具体比例取决于不同的民调机构。
特朗普近期对加拿大加征关税?在他推出这项政策时,近三分之二的美国人表示反对,支持率仅20%,反对率达57%。
即便只是提及关税,在政治上也是失策之举。福克斯新闻、美联社-NORC和美国有线电视新闻网近期的民调均显示,约七成美国人或登记选民对特朗普在这一问题上的表现持不认可态度,这也是他就任第二任期以来在该议题上的最差支持率。
有人或许会辩称,应该解释关税政策的逻辑,但这与伊朗战争等议题有着关键区别:在竞选仅剩不到三周的当下,加征关税完全是特朗普主动选择推行的政策。
周三在亚利桑那州和蒙大拿州,特朗普仍坚称美国经济表现良好。他称“关税不会引发通胀”,并声称关税和高油价让美国变得更加富裕。
“我们国家赚到的钱比以往任何时候都多,这都得益于油价居高不下,”特朗普在亚利桑那州布尔黑德城说道。他还补充道,“我更关心普通民众,而非大企业”,但在产油州,“我们赚得盆满钵满”。
一年多来,特朗普一直持这一论调——基本是在告诉民众不存在通胀,美国经济正处于“黄金时代”。
尽管这一说法显然无法说服选民,他仍在继续鼓吹。甚至可以说,这一做法适得其反。
皮尤研究中心上月的民调显示,42%的美国人认为美国经济“糟糕”,八成受访者认为经济“一般”或“糟糕”。这两项数据均创下特朗普第二任期的新高。
更糟糕的是,这种乐观表态只会让美国人觉得特朗普脱离群众,忽视了民众对经济负担的担忧。毕竟就在本周,他接连收到两条通胀方面的坏消息,包括周四发布的数据显示,美国9月批发通胀跃升至四年多来的最高水平。
这一切都令人颇为错愕。政治评论人士常常试图从特朗普的所作所为中挖掘隐秘的政治算计,但在他的第二任期内,越来越多的行动似乎并无真正的政治战略指引。一切似乎都源于冲动和傲慢,几乎不受选举和政治考量的约束。
而他只会在民调证实八成民众都认为某个想法极其糟糕之后,才会改变立场。
Trump’s worst political instincts are on full display
2026-10-15T16:47:37.473Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/15/politics/trump-unpopular-ideas-republicans-distancing
It’s clear that many Republicans running for office in the 2026 midterm elections would prefer to keep President Donald Trump at arm’s length.
And Trump keeps reinforcing exactly why.
Not only is he a historically unpopular president heading into the midterms, but he and his team keep doubling down on the terrible political instincts that landed them in this mess.
Trump making puzzling political moves isn’t exactly new. But he’s reserved some of his most overwhelmingly unpopular ideas for late in the 2026 campaign.
It’s almost as if he’s trying to do the most unpopular things possible. And then he keeps citing them at his rallies, sometimes at length.
Two of the most telling examples are a pair of gambits that the administration now appears to have backed off of: using millions of dollars in taxpayer funds to run ads promoting Trump and live streaming the execution of Fort Hood shooter Nidal Hasan. Trump has since indicated that he would use campaign money to pay for the ads and said Thursday that the live stream will no longer happen.
The latter announcement came just hours after a new Washington Post-ABC News poll Thursday showed registered voters opposed live streaming Hasan’s execution by a stunning margin, 80%-19%.
A Reuters-Ipsos poll last week, meanwhile, showed they said the taxpayer-funded political ads were inappropriate by an 89%-9% margin.
Even in the pantheon of Trump’s many unpopular policies, there are few comparisons to those numbers. About the best analog appears to be pardoning violent January 6 defendants, which another Washington Post poll showed registered voters opposed, 83%-16%.
That anyone thought either of these now-abandoned plans were solid ideas — let alone in October of an election year — says a lot about how the GOP got to where it is right now. Not only is live-streaming Hasan’s death a gruesome idea that even many Republicans cautioned against, it would be a propaganda win for Islamic extremists by turning Hasan into a very public martyr.
But apparently nobody was willing to air doubts to Trump or Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth — or those doubts were too readily dismissed.
Lest you think these are isolated instances, take a look at what Trump was talking about at his rallies on Wednesday.
In Arizona, Trump played up his recently launched Canada trade war and his past proposals to make either Canada or Greenland the 51st US state.
“They are brutal, and we don’t take that crap anymore,” Trump said of Canadian trade policies towards the United States.
“They’ll end up being the 51st state, because it’s the only way it works,” Trump said, later adding: “Just like Greenland.” Then he riffed on Greenland, asserting he never actually intended to invade the territory — despite publicly reserving that option.
It was like a triple-decker sandwich of hugely unpopular initiatives.
Trump’s handling of Greenland? 72% disapproved of that in a February poll.
Making Canada the 51st state? Either 75% or 80% opposed that last year, depending on which poll you prefer.
Trump’s recent tariffs on Canada? Americans opposed that by a nearly 3-to-1 margin, 57%-20%, when Trump launched them.
Even alluding to tariffs right now is political malpractice. Polling from Fox News, AP-NORC and CNN in recent weeks all show about 7 in 10 Americans or registered voters disapproved of Trump on that issue. Each showed his worst numbers to date on the subject.
One could argue it’s better to explain the logic of the tariffs, but there’s a critical difference here from topics like the Iran war: The tariffs are a completely elective idea to pursue and promote with less than three weeks left in the campaign.
In both Arizona and Montana on Wednesday, Trump continued to argue that the economy is doing great. He said “tariffs don’t cause inflation” and claimed the US was getting richer because of both the tariffs and high oil prices.
“Our country is making more money than it’s ever made because of the fact that oil is so high,” Trump said in Bullhead City, Arizona. He added, “I care more about the little person than I care about the big person” but that, in oil-producing states, “we’re making a fortune.”
Trump has been barking up this tree for more than a year — basically telling people there is no inflation and that the economy is in a “golden age.”
And he keeps doing so even though the argument clearly doesn’t convince voters. One could even argue that it’s backfired.
A Pew Research Center poll last month showed 42% of Americans rated the economy “poor,” and 8 in 10 rated it either “fair” or “poor.” Both are new highs for Trump’s second term.
If anything, this happy talk appears to have only made Americans view Trump as out of touch and neglecting their affordability concerns. After all, just this week he’s gotten two straight days of bad inflation indicators, including data released Thursday that shows US wholesale inflation in September jumped to its highest level in more than four years.
It’s all rather stunning. Pundits often look for the secret political calculation in the things Trump does. But increasingly in his second term, there doesn’t seem to be a real political strategy guiding his actions. It’s seemingly all impulse and hubris, largely unchecked by electoral and political concerns.
And he only reverses course after polling comes out confirming that 8 in 10 people think a terrible idea is, in fact, a terrible idea.
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