2026-10-04T20:58:00-0400 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻
更新时间:2026年10月4日 / 美国东部时间晚上11:00 / 美联社(AP)
巴西前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗之子、参议员弗拉维奥·博索纳罗与巴西资深总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦,将于10月25日展开第二轮对决,角逐这个拉美经济大国的最高领导人职位。
巴西利亚的联邦最高法院选举法院表示,现年80岁的现任总统(正寻求其第四个非连续任期),以及45岁的前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗之子,均未获得胜选所需的超过50%的总选票。
巴西利亚的联邦最高法院选举法院公布,在99.8%的选票完成计票后,弗拉维奥·博索纳罗获得了超过5600万张选票,卢拉获得5370万张。
博索纳罗在其位于巴西利亚的住宅外向媒体和一小群支持者发表讲话,其中一些人身穿巴西绿黄色国家队球衣,还有一名女性身披以色列国旗。
“巴西想要改变,这是我们从今日选举中得出的结论,”博索纳罗说道。他补充称:“劳工党的时代已经结束”,此处指代卢拉所在的政党。
卢拉原本以为自己可以在首轮投票中胜出,因此对于选举结果感到“意外”,但他仍在为接下来这场击败博索纳罗的艰难战役打气。
“明天我们就开启新一轮竞选,”卢拉表示,“我在淘汰赛阶段表现向来出色。我们拭目以待,看看谁的方案更优。”
特朗普的盟友近期在拉美多国选举中表现不俗,包括阿根廷、哥伦比亚、洪都拉斯和秘鲁。卢拉曾指责美国政府试图通过征收关税、撤销巴西驻华盛顿大使的签证,以及对巴西政府官员和一名最高法院大法官实施制裁,来干预巴西大选以帮助博索纳罗。
美国特朗普政府未就其是否试图干预巴西大选的置评请求作出回应。
下一届巴西总统任期将于2027年1月5日开始。获胜者将掌管拉美最大经济体,统领2.14亿人口。如果博索纳罗获胜,美国在拉美的影响力将进一步增强。若卢拉胜出,巴西将与美国保持距离,并继续深化与中国的合作关系。
卢拉面临艰巨挑战
卢拉与博索纳罗都将拥有三周时间,争取首轮选举中未支持他们的温和派选民。在周日的选举中获得一定温和派支持的两位候选人罗纳尔多·卡亚多和雷南·桑托斯此前曾表示,不会在第二轮选举中支持任何一方。
接下来还有21天的竞选活动,卢拉预计将借助其社会政策的受欢迎程度,以及对手的诸多法律困境展开竞选。
曾经广受支持的卢拉在其第三个总统任期内支持率大幅下滑,但他敢于对抗美国的立场为其提振了声望。他仍拥有庞大的支持者基础,民众称赞其社会政策改善了数百万巴西民众的生活。
但现任总统博索纳罗也面临一场硬仗:巴西当前出现民生负担危机,且一场腐败丑闻牵扯出了牵头调查博索纳罗的同一法官。
参议员博索纳罗可能会主打民生负担议题,并将卢拉与腐败丑闻联系起来。
他承诺打击巴西犯罪集团,并坚称巴西需要与特朗普政府达成更有利的协议,包括在仅次于中国的稀有矿产经济领域达成更好的合作。博索纳罗还在竞选期间提出将释放其父,并推动其重返政坛。
“巴西需要改变,巴西再也经受不起如此多的苦难了,”他周日在里约热内卢的投票中心投票时对记者说道。
两位候选人都面临形象问题:多项民调显示,约有一半巴西民众不认可博索纳罗家族,约一半民众不认可卢拉所在的劳工党。
四年前,卢拉以约210万票的优势击败了时任总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗。
选民在现任总统与回归右翼之间做出选择
“我感到平静,但对选举结果非常难过,”65岁的阿尔瓦罗·森拉说道,他是里约热内卢的一名历史学教授,也是卢拉的支持者,当时正和朋友在酒吧观看计票结果。“我认为这是保守派暗中运作的结果,包括新五旬节派教会。但我认为卢拉仍有获胜的可能。”
当天早些时候,来自巴西利亚的50岁手机商贩玛丽亚·里贝罗表示,她投票给了博索纳罗的长子,因为她希望能够自由表达自己的福音派宗教信仰。她希望他能继承父亲的政治路线。
“我之前投了他父亲的票,从未后悔过,”她说道。
40岁的摄影师洛雷娜·扎沙贝尔的担忧点在于博索纳罗与父亲的密切关系,当时她正在里约热内卢市中心一家对LGBTQ+群体友好的酒吧观看计票结果。在其父担任总统期间,“人们更肆无忌惮地实施歧视,”她说道。
“我是一名LGBTQ+女性,再也没有比弗拉维奥·博索纳罗当选更糟糕的事情了,”她补充道。
现年69岁的罗桑杰拉·雷斯登德·达罗查此前是一名全职家庭主妇,她支持卢拉的社会政策,这些政策帮助了“弱势群体”,也认可卢拉敢于对抗特朗普的立场。
“那个疯子想要来这里买下我们的国家,让我们的国家变成他那边那样,”她在巴西利亚的一个投票中心说道,“如果卢拉获胜,他就不会得逞。”
民众对巴西电子投票系统充满信心
自上世纪90年代巴西采用电子投票系统以来,从未被检测出存在重大舞弊行为。
美洲国家组织的选举观察团周日报告称,“投票进展顺利,安全条件充足”。选举当局也一再保证,电子投票系统安全且可核查。
巴西高等选举法院院长卡西奥·努内斯·马克斯周日下午表示:“距离投票结束还有近三个小时,一切进展正常,透明度也达到了最高水平”,并补充称“没有具体迹象表明存在国际干预”。
选民总体上对该国的投票系统不会被篡改充满信心。
里约热内卢46岁的律师何塞马尔·劳里亚诺·佩雷拉表示,计票结果快速出炉有助于打击舞弊指控和不确定性。
“如果计票结果迟迟不公布,就会给人们质疑选举结果、声称存在问题留下空间,”他说道。
Brazil presidential election heads to runoff after Bolsonaro and Lula fail to win majority vote
2026-10-04T20:58:00-0400 / CBS News
Updated on: October 4, 2026 / 11:00 PM EDT / AP
Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, an ally of President Trump, and Brazil’s veteran President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will face off in a runoff on Oct. 25 for the top job of Latin America’s powerhouse economy.
The country’s electoral court in Brasilia said neither the 80-year-old incumbent, seeking his fourth non-consecutive term, nor the 45-year-old son of former President Jair Bolsonaro would garner the more than 50% of the total vote needed for an outright win.
Brazil’s electoral court in Brasilia had Bolsonaro with just over 56 million votes to Lula’s 53.7 million, with 99.8% of the vote reported.
Bolsonaro addressed the press and a small group of supporters, including some wearing green and yellow Brazil jerseys and one woman wrapped in the Israeli flag, outside his Brasilia house.
“Brazil wants change, that’s the reading of what happened today,” Bolsonaro said. “It’s the end of the Workers’ Party era,” he added, in a reference to Lula’s party.
Lula, seeking to be encouraging ahead of an uphill battle to beat Bolsonaro in the runoff, said the result was “unexpected” as he had thought he could win in the first round.
“Tomorrow we start a new campaign,” Lula said. “I am very good in the knockout stage. We will see who has the best plan.”
Trump allies have fared well in recent elections in Latin America, including in Argentina, Colombia, Honduras and Peru. Lula has accused the U.S. administration of trying to sway his country’s election to Bolsonaro by imposing tariffs, revoking the visa of the country’s ambassador to Washington, and imposing sanctions on government officials and one Supreme Court justice.
The Trump administration did not respond to a request for comment on whether it is seeking to interfere in the vote.
The next presidential term begins on Jan. 5, 2027. The winner will be in charge of Latin America’s biggest economy and a population of 214 million. A win for Bolsonaro would increase U.S. influence in Latin America. If Lula wins, Brazil will keep its distance from Washington and continue to deepen its relationship with China.
Lula faces a tough battle
Both Lula and Bolsonaro will have three weeks to reach moderate voters who did not support them in the first round. Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos, two candidates who found moderate support in Sunday’s election, have previously said they will not endorse either bidder in the runoff.
With another 21 days of campaign ahead, Lula is expected to try to capitalize on the popularity of his social policies and his rival’s many legal woes.
While the once widely popular Lula saw his approval ratings plummet during his third term, standing up to the U.S. gave him a boost. And he still enjoys a strong base of supporters who credit his social policies for improving millions of Brazilians’ lives.
But the incumbent faces a tough battle because of an affordability crisis and a corruption scandal that ensnared the same justice who led the investigation into Bolsonaro.
Sen. Bolsonaro will likely lean into his messaging on affordability and link the president to corruption scandals.
He has promised to crack down on Brazilian criminal groups and insisted that Brazil needs to strike better deals with the Trump administration, including in the rare minerals economy, second only to China. Bolsonaro also has campaigned on releasing his father and bringing him back to politics.
“Brazil needs change. Brazil can’t stand so much suffering,” he told reporters at the Rio de Janeiro voting center, where he cast his vote Sunday.
Both candidates face image problems: Roughly half of Brazil’s population disapproves of the Bolsonaro family, and roughly half disapprove of Lula’s Workers Party, according to multiple polls.
Four years ago, Lula beat the then-incumbent Jair Bolsonaro by about 2.1 million votes.
Voters choose between incumbent or return to right
“I’m feeling calm but very sad with the result,” said Alvaro Senra, 65, a history professor and Lula supporter in Rio de Janeiro who watched the count with friends at a bar. “I think this is the result of conservatives working under the radar, including by neo-Pentecostal churches. But I think Lula can still win.”
Earlier in the day, Maria Ribeiro, a 50-year-old cellphone vendor from Brasilia, said she voted for Bolsonaro’s eldest son because she wants freedom to express her evangelical religion. She hopes he follows in his father’s footsteps.
“I voted for his father, and I don’t regret it,” she said.
The proximity to his father was what worried Lorena Zschaber, a 40-year-old photographer, who watched the results roll in at an LGBTQ+-friendly bar in downtown Rio de Janeiro. During his father’s presidency, “people felt more at ease to discriminate,” she said.
“I’m an LGBTQ+ woman, I can’t think of anything worse happening than Flávio Bolsonaro being elected,” she added.
Rosângela Resende da Rocha, a 69-year-old who was previously a stay-at-home mom, said she supported Lula’s social policies that help the “less fortunate” and how he stands up to Mr. Trump.
“That crazy guy wants to come in here to buy our country, so that our country will be like it is over there,” she said at a voting center in Brasilia. “He won’t succeed if Lula wins.”
Confidence in Brazil’s electronic voting system
No significant fraud has ever been detected since Brazil adopted its electronic voting system in the 1990s.
The Organization of American States’ electoral observation mission reported Sunday that “the voting has been going smoothly and under adequate safety conditions.” Electoral authorities have assured that electronic votes are secure and verifiable.
“We are almost three hours away from the end of the voting and everything is proceeding normally and with the greatest possible transparency,” the president of the Superior Electoral Court, Kassio Nunes Marques, said Sunday afternoon, adding that there was “no concrete indication of international interference.”
Voters appeared largely confident that the country’s voting system can’t be tampered with.
Josemar Lauriano Pereira, a 46-year-old lawyer in Rio de Janeiro, said that the rapid availability of results helped combat fraud and uncertainty.
“When results take a lot of time, it creates an opening for people to cast doubt on the results, to say there’s been a problem,” he said.
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