2026-09-27T10:30:30.698Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)
十年前的这个月,当时我还是《多伦多星报》的华盛顿分社记者,我开启了一个本以为只是短暂的副业:核查当时名不见经传的总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普的言论,当时他撒了数量惊人的谎,却几乎没人指正。和很多人一样,我当时认为特朗普会在2016年大选中落败。
我大错特错。而在接下来的十年里,特朗普在数不胜数的议题上持续发表错误言论。
他一贯的撒谎行为已经成为美国乃至全球政治的核心特征。选民和国会议员、盟友与对手、企业高管与投资者都不得不尝试解读一个言行经常与事实不符的人。
这种情况有多频繁?2020年大选前两个月,我不得不放弃了耗时四年、逐条核查特朗普言论的项目。他当时抛出的竞选谎言多到我无法在维持基本健康生活的同时,逐一核实它们。到那时为止,我自2016年9月以来已经记录了超过8500条虚假声明。
2021年特朗普卸任后,我短暂暂停了对他的言论核查,当时接任的民主党总统也有自己的准确性问题,但远不及特朗普谎言的数量和种类。而不到两年后,特朗普再次成为新闻头条。我统计过,他在2022年宣布第三次参选总统的演讲中,就有超过20条虚假或误导性言论。从那以后,他的言论也没有变得更符合事实。
自2019年加入CNN担任事实核查记者以来,我大部分报道时间都投入在区分事实与虚构的具体工作中。但数百小时沉浸在特朗普的言论中,让我对他撒谎的本质、公众对其谎言的反应以及媒体如何报道这些谎言形成了一些见解和个人看法。
十年过去了,以下是我的15点思考。
乔·拜登有时会撒谎,JD·万斯有时会撒谎,国会两党议员有时会撒谎,包括小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪在内的内阁部长有时也会撒谎;华盛顿并非全美最诚实的政治中心。但显而易见的是,华盛顿没有哪位公职人员能像特朗普这样撒谎——频率之高、手段之直白、涉及议题之广,无人能及。我听过人们以“大家都在撒谎”来搪塞特朗普的谎言,但我们正在见证一位罕见的、很可能是千载难逢的政治撒谎者。
特朗普最集中的撒谎行为,往往是在应对政治困境时:2018年中期选举期间他的政党处境艰难,2019年引发首次弹劾的乌克兰丑闻,2020年损害其政治前景的新冠疫情,以及他输掉的2020年大选。每当特朗普陷入麻烦,他就会加大撒谎力度——即便有些麻烦本身就是由他的谎言造成的。
很多人都认为政客会试图用谎言摆脱危及职业生涯的困境,或是用谎言美化自己标志性政策的效果。但特朗普撒谎的对象包括:他声称接到过童子军的电话(实则根本不存在)、他声称多年前获得过密歇根州“年度人物”奖(同样子虚乌有),以及明明场馆座位明显空置却谎称座无虚席。这些事情本身都毫无意义,但特朗普的思维却硬是为它们编造了故事。这是他独有的特质。
人们有时会问我,怎么能在特朗普刚说完谎言就立刻进行辟谣。我并没有什么秘诀。我的(不算秘密的)秘诀是,他会一遍又一遍地重复同样的不实言论。第一次辟谣可能需要花不少时间研究;但到第十次甚至第一百次重复时,我闭着眼睛都能说出辟谣内容——有些谎言确实被他重复了上百次。
和蹩脚的扑克玩家一样,特朗普有一些标志性的“破绽”,表明他很可能在撒谎。如果他讲述的故事里有一个不知名的人称呼他为“先生”,那往往是虚构的。他讲述的很多关于强壮的工人阶级男性在他面前落泪的故事,以及他大部分涉及某位批评者 supposedly 前来向他恳求的故事,也都属于此类。这些色彩斑斓但可疑的故事有什么共同点?它们都将特朗普塑造成一个他人——哪怕是大块头男性——都对其顶礼膜拜的主导者形象。
民调数据、通胀数据、投资数据、油价数据、外交政策数据、到场人数数据——几乎所有类型的数据,特朗普使用的数字中都有极高比例是错误的。即便准确的数据已经能让他看起来不错,这位曾经夸大自己真人秀收视率和豪宅面积的商人,还是会选择能让自己显得更出色的不准确数据。如果说“先生”是表明他没说真话的最佳线索之一,那么他随便使用一个数字也是如此。
特朗普为了自身利益编造了数百个谎言。但他推动的很多可笑的阴谋论都是从别人那里借来的,而且他似乎真的相信这些说法。这可能更糟糕,而非更好。这位拥有无限专业咨询渠道的全球最有权势的人,不仅是个荒诞的说谎者,还经常成为其他说谎者的愚弄对象。
除非算上2017年他在推特上拉黑我这件事,特朗普从未公开承认过我的存在。但他有时会承认自己知道有事实核查——同时又继续重复那些被核查纠正过的谎言,显然对被人指出错误毫不在意。
例如,特朗普多次提到有人指出他所谓的拜登执政期间美国通胀率创下历史新高的说法是错误的。但紧接着他就会再次重复“史上最高”的说法,坚称自己仍然相信这一点。“有些人会纠正我,因为他们总喜欢纠正我,尽管我在所有事情上都是对的,”他在12月重演这套说辞时说道,在最初的谎言之上又叠加了另一个谎言。
在特朗普的第一任期内,白宫助手很少会回应记者关于他撒谎的问题;毕竟,为无法辩护的事情辩护太难了。但现在他身边围满了愿意尝试的人。在他的第二任期里,官方发言人会定期宣称他在那些被证实错误的事情上是“正确的”。在当前由特朗普亲信主导的共和党生态系统中,为了老板而破坏主流媒体的公信力,远算不上职业生涯的终结。
主流媒体对特朗普的谎言应对不足
支持特朗普的媒体机构对纠正他的谎言几乎毫无兴趣,这令人尴尬。但更中立的媒体也经常做得不够。2021年特朗普第一任期的最后完整一天,我曾写道:“对公然不诚实的特朗普演讲的报道,往往只是顺带提及甚至完全不提其不实之处。很多报道仍然会直接引用总统的谎言,却不解释它们是错误的。”五年多过去了,这些问题依然存在。
造成这种情况的原因有很多,包括对旧习惯的习惯性依赖、特朗普引发的突发新闻洪流,以及在职记者数量的减少。(CNN是少数几家拥有全职政治事实核查员的媒体机构之一。)但其中一个关键解释,是我早在2017年就写过的:“特朗普就像是电脑黑客的拒绝服务攻击,用远超系统处理能力的虚假信息淹没它们。”如果一位政客只说一个公然的谎言,很可能会得到大量报道;但如果一位政客多年来每周都在公然撒谎,大多数媒体就会不再将其视为新闻,大部分谎言也会被当作背景噪音处理。
换句话说,特朗普前白宫幕僚史蒂夫·班农在2018年 memorable 地描述的媒体策略——“用垃圾淹没整个领域”——已经被证明是有效的,让大量虚假言论几乎不受质疑地进入公共话语。
当我就报道特朗普谎言的工作发表演讲时,观众最常问的问题之一是:“谢谢你的分享,但显然没人在乎,对吧?”我认为这种看法也是错误的。显然有数百万美国人要么不相信主流媒体的辟谣,要么对此不感兴趣,但同样有数百万美国人想知道总统何时以及如何试图欺骗他们。
覆盖特朗普整个政治生涯的民调显示,认为他不诚实、不可信的美国人数量大约是认为他诚实可信的两倍。当然,他赢过两次总统选举,但这并不意味着他曾说服全体民众不再关心他是否说实话。
即便只有少数人在寻求真相,事实也依然重要。幸运的是,关注真相的人远不止少数。
我最令人大开眼界的新闻从业经历之一,是2017年前往俄亥俄州两个支持特朗普的社区的报道之旅。我一次又一次听到总统的支持者表示,他们不仅不介意特朗普撒谎,反而很喜欢——因为这激怒了他们所鄙视的精英阶层。(“多年来华盛顿充斥着这么多垃圾,现在终于有人好好撼动他们了,”一名男子得意地告诉我。)我知道很多特朗普支持者往往不知道他在撒谎,或是认为他的政策立场比不诚实更重要。但我也逐渐意识到,在他的支持者群体中,存在一个支持不诚实的群体——至少当这种不诚实被认为是针对“正确”的对象时。
我在报道第一位频繁撒谎的政客——好斗的前多伦多市长罗布·福特时,就观察到了这种现象。一个给人留下真实直言印象的政客,即便其实际言论中有很高比例并非事实,也可能被很多人视为诚实的人。特朗普在诚实度民调中一直表现糟糕,但他那种充满辱骂、无需提词器的风格,也帮助说服了一部分民众,认为他不仅相当诚实,而且尤其诚实。
当特朗普撒谎说美韩军事协议、加拿大农业政策,或是某位民主党人的所作所为时,普通选民可能不知道,也不太在意他的说法严重失实。但当他撒谎说所有商品价格都比他就职时更低,或是几乎所有商品都在“快速降价”时,哪怕是他最狂热的支持者也能亲眼看到他在试图欺骗他们。我认为,他目前在生活成本问题上糟糕的民调表现,以及总体不佳的支持率,不仅与通胀本身有关,也与他竭力否认通胀存在的做法有关。
特朗普的有些谎言太过离奇或琐碎,让我忍不住发笑。但总体而言,他的谎言对国家造成了深重伤害。他关于2020年大选的谎言引发了国会山骚乱,导致人员死亡。他淡化新冠疫情的谎言也很可能造成了死亡。被他的谎言针对的特定人群,包括记者、法官和选举工作人员,都面临着威胁和骚扰。他的谎言加剧了围绕关键政策问题的无数公共辩论。而整个美国民主制度,也因为这些谎言而变得更糟。
I started fact-checking Trump 10 years ago. Here are 15 things I’ve learned
2026-09-27T10:30:30.698Z / CNN
Ten years ago this month, in my old job as Washington correspondent for the Toronto Star, I started what I believed would be a quick little side project: fact-checking underdog presidential candidate Donald Trump, who was telling a remarkable number of lies but was rarely being corrected. Like a lot of people, I thought Trump would lose the 2016 election.
I was very wrong. And Trump continued to be very wrong, about a dizzying variety of subjects, for the next decade.
His relentless dishonesty has become a central feature of US and world politics. Voters and members of Congress, allies and adversaries, CEOs and investors alike have had to try to figure out how to read a man whose words are so frequently not true.
How frequently? Two months before Election Day in 2020, I had to abandon my four-year-old project of fact-checking each and every Trump statement. He was telling so many campaign lies that I’d become physically unable to look into all of them while living something loosely resembling a healthy life. By then, I’d recorded more than 8,500 false claims since September 2016.
I took a brief break from Trump-checking when he left office in 2021, replaced by a Democratic president with his own accuracy problems but nowhere near the volume or variety of Trump’s falsehoods. And then, less than two years later, Trump was back at the top of the news. I counted more than 20 false or misleading claims in his 2022 speech launching his third presidential campaign. He has not gotten any more factual since.
Since I joined CNN as a fact-check reporter in 2019, I’ve devoted most of my reporting time to the nuts-and-bolts work of separating fact from fiction. But spending hundreds of hours immersed in Trump’s rhetoric has given me some insights and personal opinions about the nature of his lying, how it is received by the public and how it is covered by the media.
Ten years in, here are 15 thoughts.
Joe Biden sometimes lied, JD Vance sometimes lies, Republicans and Democrats in Congress sometimes lie, Cabinet secretaries notably including Robert F. Kennedy Jr. sometimes lie; Washington is not the nation’s capital of straight shooting. But it’s abundantly clear that there is no public official in Washington who lies like Trump – not as constantly, not as obviously, not about as many topics. I’ve heard people dismiss Trump’s mendacity with a shrugging “they all lie,” but we are witnessing a rare, very possibly once-in-a-lifetime political liar.
Trump’s most concerted lying sprees have come in response to political difficulties: the 2018 midterms in which his party was flailing, the 2019 Ukraine scandal that led to his first impeachment, the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic that was harming his political prospects and the 2020 election he lost. When Trump gets in trouble, he ramps up the dishonesty – even in the cases where dishonesty created some of the trouble in the first place.
A lot of people expect politicians to try to lie their way out of a career-threatening jam or lie to make their signature policies look better. The subjects Trump has lied about include a nonexistent phone call he claimed to have received from the Boy Scouts, a nonexistent Michigan “Man of the Year” award he claimed to have received years ago, and whether there were any empty seats in venues in which seats were visibly empty. None of these things are important in the slightest, but Trump’s brain has seen fit to make up a story about them. It’s a special trait.
People sometimes ask how I can debunk Trump lies immediately after he utters them. I don’t have any magic tricks. My (non-)secret is that he says the same untrue things again and again. The first time, it might take a while to research; by the 10th or 100th time, I can recite the debunking half-asleep – and there actually is a 100th time for some of the lies.
Like a bad poker player, Trump has tells that indicate he is likely lying. If he delivers a story featuring an unnamed person calling him “sir,” it’s often fiction. So are many of his stories about burly working-class men crying in his presence and a good portion of his stories involving one of his critics supposedly having come to him begging. What do these colorful but dubious tales have in common? They position him as a dominant figure to whom others – even large dudes – genuflect.
Poll numbers, inflation numbers, investment numbers, gas-price numbers, foreign policy numbers, crowd-size numbers, virtually every other kind of number – a staggering percentage of the figures Trump uses are incorrect. Even when an accurate statistic would make him look good, the businessman who used to inflate his reality show ratings and the size of his buildings tends to choose an inaccurate statistic that would make him look a little better. If “sir” is one of the best indications he is not telling the truth, so is him simply using a figure, any figure.
Trump has concocted hundreds of lies for his own advantage. But many of the laughable conspiracy theories he has promoted were borrowed from other people, and he often appears to truly believe them. That might be worse, not better. The most powerful person in the world, with access to endless expertise upon request, is not only a fabulist but a frequent dupe for other fabulists.
Unless you count blocking me on Twitter in 2017, Trump has never publicly acknowledged my existence. But he has sometimes acknowledged he’s aware of fact checks – while simultaneously sticking with the lies those fact checks corrected, evidently shameless about having had to be corrected.
For example, Trump has repeatedly noted that people have pointed out his claim that Biden presided over the very highest inflation in US history as incorrect. But then Trump has immediately gone on to repeat the very-highest-ever claim once more, insisting he still believes it. “Some people will correct me because they always love to correct me, even though I’m right about everything,” he said, piling another lie on top of the initial one, during a December rendition of the routine.
During Trump’s first term, White House aides would rarely respond to reporters’ questions about his lies; after all, it’s hard to defend the indefensible. But now he has surrounded himself with people willing to try. During his second term, official spokespeople regularly declare him “right” about things he is demonstrably wrong about. In a Republican ecosystem currently dominated by Trump loyalists, it’s far from career-ending to shred your credibility with the mainstream media in service of the boss.
The mainstream media doesn’t handle Trump’s lying well enough
Pro-Trump media entities have shown embarrassingly little interest in addressing his lies. But more neutral outlets have regularly failed, too. On the last full day of Trump’s first presidency in 2021, I wrote, “Too often, coverage of flagrantly dishonest Trump speeches still mentioned the dishonesty in passing or not at all. Too often, coverage still quoted the president’s lies without explaining that they were wrong.” More than five years later, these problems persist.
There are various reasons for that, including reflexive adherence to old habits, a Trump-driven deluge of breaking news and the diminished number of employed reporters. (CNN is one of very few outlets that has a full-time political fact-checker.) One of the key explanations, though, is one I wrote about back in 2017: “Trump is a human version of computer hackers’ denial-of-service attacks, flooding systems with more disinformation than they are designed to handle.” If a politician tells one blatant lie, it’s likely to get heavy coverage; if a politician tells blatant lies every week for years, it’s likely that most outlets will cease viewing them as news and that the majority will be treated as background noise.
In other words, the media strategy that former Trump White House official Steve Bannon memorably described in 2018 – “flood the zone with sh*t” – has proved effective in getting lots of falsehoods into the public discourse virtually unchallenged.
When I give speeches about my work reporting on Trump’s lies, one of the most common questions I get from the audience is some variation of, “Thank you, but it’s clear that nobody cares, right?” I argue that this is false, too. It’s clear that millions of Americans either don’t believe debunkings from mainstream outlets or aren’t interested in them, but it’s also clear that millions of Americans want to know when and how the president is trying to deceive them.
Polls spanning Trump’s entire career have found that somewhere around twice as many Americans do not think he is honest and trustworthy as think he is honest and trustworthy. He’s won two presidential elections, of course, but it’s not like he’s ever convinced the entire population to stop caring about whether he is telling the truth.
Facts would matter even if only a few people were seeking them out. Fortunately, it’s far more than a few.
One of my most eye-opening journalistic experiences was a 2017 reporting trip to two Trump-friendly communities in Ohio. Over and over, I heard the president’s supporters say not merely that they didn’t mind his lying but that they actively liked it – because it agitated the establishment they had come to despise. (“We’ve had so much crap in Washington for years, and now we have someone shaking ’em up really good,” one man told me with delight.) I know that many Trump supporters often don’t know he’s lying or believe his policy stances outweigh the dishonesty. But I’ve also come to understand that there is a pro-dishonesty constituency within his base, at least when that dishonesty is perceived to target the “right” people.
I observed this phenomenon with the first frequent political liar I covered, the bellicose former Toronto mayor Rob Ford. A politician who gives the impression that they authentically speak their mind is likely to be seen by many as honest even if a high proportion of their actual words are not true. Trump has always done badly in honesty polling, but his insult-heavy, damn-the-teleprompters style has also helped convince a segment of the populace that he is not only reasonably truthful but especially truthful.
When Trump lies about a military deal with South Korea or Canada’s agricultural policies or the actions of some Democrat somewhere, the average voter may not know or much care that he is wildly inaccurate. When he lies that every price is lower than when he took office, or that almost every price is falling “rapidly,” even his most fervent supporters can see with their own eyes that he’s trying to trick them. I suspect that his disastrous present polling on the cost of living, and generally poor approval ratings, are connected not only to inflation itself but also his decision to aggressively deny it exists.
Some of Trump’s lies are so bizarre or trivial that I can’t help but laugh. On the whole, though, his lies have been deeply harmful to the country. People died because of the Capitol riot prompted by his lies about the 2020 election. His lies downplaying Covid-19 almost certainly led to deaths, too. Specific people targeted by his lies, including journalists, judges and election workers, have faced threats and harassment. His lies have worsened innumerable public debates around critical policy issues. And American democracy itself is worse off for all the lying, too.
发表回复