2026-09-23T09:00:29.640Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/23/politics/cnn-poll-donald-trump-economy-midterms-vis
唐纳德·特朗普总统支持率处于历史低位，一项由SSRS开展的最新CNN民调显示，共和党面临的中期选举政治环境比八年前还要黯淡。
在全国范围内，选民以8个百分点的优势支持民主党候选人而非共和党候选人——这一差距略小于2018年中期选举前CNN民调中民主党12个百分点的领先优势，当时特朗普正处于第一任期。
但特朗普的支持率比2018年时更低，经济背景也大幅恶化。在第一任期内，特朗普在经济问题上的支持率为净正面，美国人普遍认为经济繁荣。如今，仅有27%的美国人认可特朗普在经济问题上的表现，较2018年下降了22个百分点。另有28%的人认为经济状况良好，较此前下降了41个百分点。
经济问题的重要性有所上升：三分之二的登记选民表示，经济对他们的投票“极为重要”，这一比例高于过去两次中期选举前的秋季。同时，与近期趋势不同的是，美国人在经济问题上更认同民主党而非共和党。
这使得中期选举的选民群体呈现出这样的格局：总统的支持者大多态度冷淡，而反对者则极为愤怒。44%的登记选民表示，他们的国会投票是为了表达对特朗普的反对，这是自乔治·W·布什时代以来现任总统面临的最高比例。相比之下，仅有19%的人表示他们的投票将是为了表达对总统的支持。
与此同时，公众对于民主党掌控国会可能对美国生活成本或自身财务状况带来何种影响仍存在分歧。
总体而言，目前仅有三分之一的美国人认可特朗普的工作表现，这是其第二任任期内支持率持续下滑的延续。这一比例与7月份的34%持平，但创下其两届总统任期内的数值新低。
仅有13%的人表示“非常认可”他的表现，这是另一项职业生涯新低。仅有24%的人认为他的施政重点正确，仅有20%的人认可他应对通胀的表现。
三分之二的美国人认为特朗普加剧了美国的经济状况，多数人表示，伊朗战争以及新关税对他们自身的财务产生了负面影响。相比之下，几乎没有人表示从特朗普的政策中获益，比如税法改革，或是为其第二任期内出生的儿童设立的特朗普账户。大多数美国人还认为油价上涨给家庭带来了经济困难——尽管仅有约四分之一的人认为这一困难十分严重，但公众仍怀疑特朗普是否有解决方案来应对这一问题。
57%的多数美国人表示对自己的财务状况感到不确定，近一半人对未来的财务前景感到焦虑——这一情绪在年轻人中尤为强烈。仅有31%的美国人表示感到充满希望，23%的人表示感到有保障，较春季分别下降了8个和7个百分点。超过三分之一的人对维持当前生活水平没有信心，这一数据比大衰退末期的情况还要糟糕。
尽管共和党人没有抛弃特朗普，但仍有相当一部分人对他目前的总统任期并不热心。仅有35%的人“非常认可”他，较2018年9月的66%大幅下降。在最新的民调中，50%的共和党人不认可特朗普应对通胀的表现，59%的人表示伊朗战争损害了他们的财务状况，近一半的人表示他要么恶化了经济状况，要么对经济状况没有产生任何影响。
总体而言，选民以49%比41%的比例表示，他们会支持所在国会选区的民主党候选人而非共和党候选人。民主党及倾向民主党的登记选民表示自己今年极有可能投票的比例，比共和党及倾向共和党的选民高出16个百分点。
在全体公众中，对特朗普的愤怒和对现状的极度不满，与对民主党掌控国会前景的真实怀疑并存。
国会民主党人和国会共和党人都极不受欢迎，且支持率大致相当，约四分之一的美国人认可他们的表现。
尽管美国人以10个百分点的优势表示，民主党掌控的国会将对医疗政策产生积极影响，但在权力更迭是否会对美国的生活成本、自身财务状况、腐败问题或外交政策产生更积极还是更消极的影响方面，公众意见几乎持平。
但在一个关键问题上，民主党仍被视为两害相权取其轻的一方：在经济问题上，民主党比共和党领先7个百分点，被认为最贴合选民自身观点。在过去四年里，这是民主党在该议题上迄今为止的最佳表现，也是共和党最糟糕的表现。
68%的多数选民表示，经济对他们的投票“极为重要”，在十多个议题中位居榜首。这一比例远高于2022年秋季的59%和2018年秋季的44%，当时也有同样比例的选民认为该议题极为重要。
民调发现，选举本身、选举诚信和投票权也成为许多党派选民心中的首要议题，因为特朗普仍在努力重塑或质疑部分投票体系，61%的人认为这一议题极为重要。多数人还表示通胀和医疗保健也极为重要，而其他热点议题——包括数据中心和人工智能、堕胎、以及性别认同和跨性别者相关政策——则未引起如此强烈的关注。
不过，选民的决定并不总是取决于他们认为最重要的议题——超过一半的选民表示，其他因素在他们今年的国会投票中将更为重要。在今年华盛顿不满情绪高涨的背景下，约三分之一的人表示，他们的投票主要取决于哪个政党控制众议院，其中近40%积极性最高的选民持这一观点。
CNN的珍妮弗·阿吉埃斯塔、爱德华·吴和伊莎贝尔·拉比安科为本报告撰稿。
本次CNN民调由SSRS于9月16日至17日通过线上和电话方式开展，随机采访了1206名美国成年人，其中包括867名登记选民。全样本的抽样误差为正负3.5个百分点；在登记选民中的抽样误差为4.1个百分点。
Trump’s midterm woes deepen amid worsened economic backdrop: CNN poll
2026-09-23T09:00:29.640Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/23/politics/cnn-poll-donald-trump-economy-midterms-vis
With President Donald Trump at record unpopularity, Republicans are facing an even bleaker midterm political landscape than they did eight years ago, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds.
Nationally, voters say they prefer Democratic candidates over Republicans by an eight-point margin – slightly more modest than their 12-point advantage in CNN’s September polling ahead of the 2018 midterms in Trump’s first presidency.
But Trump is even more unpopular than he was in 2018, and the economic backdrop has worsened considerably. In his first term, Trump saw net-positive ratings on the economy, which Americans largely saw as thriving. Now, just 27% of Americans approve of Trump on the economy, down 22 points from 2018. And 28% call economic conditions good – a drop of 41 points.
The issue has risen in prominence: Two-thirds of registered voters call the economy “extremely important” to their vote, higher than in the autumn before either of the past two midterms. And, in a shift from recent trends, Americans say they agree more with Democrats than Republicans when it comes to the issue.
That leaves a midterm electorate in which the president’s supporters are largely tepid, while his opponents are furious. In a midterm high for an incumbent president dating back to the George W. Bush era, 44% of registered voters say they view their congressional vote as a message of opposition to Trump. Just 19%, by contrast, say their vote will be a message of support for the president.
At the same time, the public remains split on what a Democratic congressional victory might mean for the cost of living in the US, or their own financial situation.
Overall, just one-third of Americans now approve of Trump’s job performance, the continuation of a steady decline throughout his second term. That’s on par with the 34% he saw in July, but marks a numeric low in either term of his presidency.
Only 13% now say they strongly approve of his performance, another career low. Just 24% say he has the right priorities, and a scant 20% approve of his handling of inflation.
Two-thirds of Americans say Trump has worsened economic conditions in the country, and majorities say that the war in Iran, as well as new tariffs, have had a negative effect on their own finances. By contrast, few say they’re seeing benefits from Trump policies like changes to the tax law, or the establishment of Trump Accounts for children born during his second term. Most Americans also call increased gas prices a financial hardship for their household – and though only about one-quarter call that hardship severe, the public remains dubious that Trump has any plan to address the issue.
A 57% majority of Americans say they feel uncertain about their own finances, with nearly half expressing stress about their financial future – a sentiment that’s particularly acute among younger adults. Just 31% of Americans say they feel hope and 23% that they feel security, down 8 and 7 points respectively from spring. More than one-third aren’t confident about maintaining their current standard of living, worse than the numbers at the tail end of the Great Recession.
While Republicans haven’t deserted Trump, relatively few remain enthusiastic about the current state of his presidency. Only 35% say they strongly approve of him, down from 66% in September 2018. In the latest poll, 50% of Republicans disapprove of Trump’s handling of inflation, 59% say the Iran war has hurt their finances, and nearly half say he’s worsened or had no effect on economic conditions.
Overall, voters say, 49% to 41%, that they’d support a Democratic candidate over a Republican candidate in their congressional district. Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters are 16 points likelier than GOP-aligned voters to say they’re extremely motivated to vote this year.
Among the full public, anger at Trump and deep dissatisfaction with the status quo are paired with real skepticism about the prospects of a Democratic-controlled Congress.
Both congressional Democrats and congressional Republicans are deeply – and about equally – unpopular, with about one-quarter of Americans approving.
And while Americans say by a 10-point margin that a Democratic-controlled Congress would have a positive effect on health care policy, they’re closely split on whether a change in power would be more positive or negative when it comes to the cost of living in the US, their own finances, corruption, or foreign policy.
But the Democrats are nevertheless seen as the lesser of two evils on a crucial issue: They lead the GOP by 7 points as the party Americans say is closest to their own views on the economy. Over the past four years, this is both by far the best number for Democrats and the worst for Republicans on the topic.
A 68% majority of voters call the economy “extremely important” to their vote, topping a list of more than 10 issues. That’s far higher than the 59% in fall 2022 or 44% in fall 2018 who called the issue extremely important.
The poll finds that elections themselves, election integrity and voting rights are also at the forefront of many partisans’ minds as Trump continues his efforts to reshape or cast doubt on parts of the voting system, with 61% calling the issue extremely important. Majorities also say that inflation and health care are extremely important, while other hot-button issues – including data centers and AI, abortion, and policies around gender identity and trans people – don’t register as deeply.
Voters’ decisions, though, aren’t always down to which issues they find most important – more than half of voters say that other factors will be more important in their vote for Congress this year. And in this year where discontent with Washington is at the forefront of many voters’ minds, about a third say their votes will be primarily driven by which party will control the House of Representatives, including almost 4 in 10 of the most motivated voters.
CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu and Isabelle LaBianco contributed to this report.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS online and by telephone September 16-17 among a random national sample of 1,206 adults, including 867 registered voters. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points; it is 4.1 points among registered voters.
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