2026-09-17T20:44:24.338Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/17/politics/vance-another-chance-comment
副总统JD·万斯本周在一次播客节目中请求选民“再给我们一次机会”——这明显与唐纳德·特朗普总统的中期选举宣传口径相悖——随后他似乎意识到了口误并试图纠正。
“再给我们一次机会——或者，再给我们几年时间，继续推进我们过去两年一直在推进的那些了不起的事业，”万斯在“All In”播客中说道。
在此谈几点思考。
首先，万斯似乎对自己刚说出的话感到不妥，试图修正。事实上，请求“再给一次机会”听起来无疑像是共和党人没能把握住此前获得的执政机会。
他的这番言论也与特朗普的说法截然不同，后者始终在宣扬“黄金时代”，称美国如今一切都好。
正如万斯上周在共和党中期代表大会上的发言所清晰展现的那样，他一直在向可能感到失望的选民传递更为细致、更具和解意味的信息。在那次大会演讲、此次“All In”节目露面，以及本周对众议院共和党议员的闭门讲话中，万斯特意提及了那些可能不满本届政府施政举措的选民的担忧，比如伊朗战事，或是正经历经济困境的民众。
“如今我们的国家正面临民众的不满情绪。你必须坦诚地与他们沟通，”据CNN获取的会议录音显示，他曾这样建议共和党议员。
但“我理解你们的痛苦”或是承认不满情绪，与“再给我们一次机会”之间存在本质区别。
这也再次证明，尽管万斯被普遍视为2028年共和党总统提名的热门人选，但他绝非出色的政治传声筒。所有人都认定他是特朗普政治运动的继承者，但他绝非天生的竞选演说家，而且他能否牢牢稳住特朗普的基本盘仍有待观察。
不过或许最关键的一点在于，无论万斯给出的是哪种版本的宣传口径——“再给一次机会”或是“再给几年时间”——这都几乎与特朗普2024年竞选时的论调完全相悖。
当时特朗普的竞选口号不仅是要解决时任总统拜登政府制造的问题，更是要彻底且迅速地解决这些问题。
我在特朗普就职前一周梳理过他的部分承诺：
- “我们将在12个月内——最多不超过18个月——将能源和电价削减一半。”（实际能源价格反而大幅上涨。）
- “如果我当选，我会立刻降低物价，从就职首日就开始。”（通胀持续走高，如今的通胀率比他就职时更高。）
- 关于结束俄乌冲突：“我会在24小时内解决问题。”（这场战争至今仍在持续，已经过去了20个月。）
- “我们将让美国的汽车产量达到历史最高水平，而且会很快实现。……我会在100天内完成，甚至在就任头两周就能做到。”（汽车制造业的长期下滑趋势仍在持续。）
- 在谈及边境问题、贩毒集团、台海紧张局势、乌克兰战争、选举舞弊、堕胎权和通胀问题后，特朗普称：“在6个月到1年的时间里，我们刚刚讨论过的绝大多数问题，几乎所有问题，都将得到解决。”（边境基本已被封锁，也没有证据表明选举存在舞弊，但保守派认为存在问题的其他事项基本都未得到解决。）
- “我不会发动战争，我会终止战争。”（事实上，他已经发动了针对伊朗的战争。）
2024年竞选并非特朗普首次向选民许下空头支票。这位仁兄在2016年就曾直白地说过：“我会给你们一切。”
但当这些承诺落空的后果遭到选民普遍唾弃时，这些食言之举就更难被忽视。或许特朗普并未像2016年承诺的那样让所有人都变得富有，但新冠疫情爆发前美国经济仍相当强劲。如今，他当初“立刻降低物价”的承诺随着时间推移愈发显得空洞，四分之三的美国人认为他在该问题上无所作为。
伊朗战事亦是如此。这与特朗普当初的自我定位完全相悖，而且该问题迟迟得不到解决。
这也正是万斯的言论格外令人震惊的原因。
相较于他上周在共和党中期代表大会上略显和解意味的发言，这番话更能表明他清楚特朗普政府并未兑现当初的承诺。
在说出“再给一次机会”之前，他列举了本届政府的多项成就。但这些成就无一涉及全面降低物价或是为美国民众带来新的“黄金时代”，仅限于“不向小费征税”和加固边境这类较为具体的事项。
而来自特朗普本人副手的这番表态，也算得上是相当惊人的不认可。
JD Vance’s telling ‘give us another chance’ flub
2026-09-17T20:44:24.338Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/17/politics/vance-another-chance-comment
Vice President JD Vance this week asked voters for “another chance” — something that is decidedly contrary to President Donald Trump’s midterm messaging — before seeming to catch himself.
“Give us another chance — or, give us another couple of years to continue to work on the amazing things that we’ve been doing for the past two years,” Vance said on the “All In” podcast.
A couple of reflections.
The first is that Vance seemed to think better of the phrase he had just uttered and tried to change it. Indeed, asking for “another chance” sure makes it sound like Republicans haven’t succeeded with the chance they’ve been given.
His comment is also decidedly different from what Trump says, which is all about the “golden age” and how everything is so great in the United States.
Vance has been offering a more nuanced and conciliatory message to voters who might be disillusioned, as his speech last week at the Republican midterm convention made abundantly clear. In that speech, in his “All In” appearance and in closed-door remarks to House Republicans this week, Vance made a point to acknowledge the concerns of voters who might not like everything the administration has done, like the Iran war, or are struggling financially.
“Right now, we have a country where people are frustrated. You got to level with them,” he advised GOP lawmakers, according to a recording of the meeting obtained by CNN.
But there’s a difference between “I feel your pain” or acknowledging discontent, and “give us another chance.”
This is also the latest evidence that Vance, despite being the odds-on favorite for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028, just isn’t that gifted a messenger. Everyone assumes he’s the heir to Trump’s political movement, but he’s not a natural on the stump, by any means, and his ability to lock down the Trumpian base is very much to be determined.
But perhaps the biggest point is that whichever version of this talking point Vance offers — be it “another chance” or “another couple of years” — it’s virtually irreconcilable with the campaign that Trump ran in 2024.
The message back then wasn’t just that Trump would fix the problems created by then-President Joe Biden; it was that he would do so thoroughly and quickly.
I ran through some of the promises a week before Trump took office:
- “We will be slashing energy and electricity prices by half within 12 months – at a maximum 18 months.” (Energy prices have instead gone up — by a lot.)
- “When I win, I will immediately bring prices down, starting on Day One.” (Inflation has continued and is higher today than when he took office.)
- On ending the Russia-Ukraine war: “I’ll have that done in 24 hours.” (The war is still going, 20 months later.)
- “We’re going to have more auto production in the United States than we’ve ever had before, and it’s going to happen very fast. … I’ll get that done in less than 100 days. I’ll get that done in the first two weeks.” (The longstanding decline has continued.)
- After talking about the border, drug cartels, China-Taiwan tensions, the war in Ukraine, rigged elections, abortion and inflation, Trump said: “In six months to a year, many of the problems, almost all of the problems that you and I have just spoken about, will be solved.” (The border has been largely shut down and there is still no evidence of rigged elections, but everything else conservatives consider problematic largely remains.)
- “I’m not going to start a war. I’m going to stop wars.” (He has, in fact, started a war with Iran.)
The 2024 campaign was hardly the only time Trump promised voters the world. This is a guy who in 2016 literally said, “I will give you everything.”
But the broken promises are much more difficult to ignore when the consequences are so roundly despised by voters. Maybe Trump didn’t make everyone rich like he promised in 2016, but the economy was still pretty strong before Covid. Today, his promise to lower prices instantly looks worse with each passing day, and three-quarters of Americans think he’s neglected the issue.
Ditto the Iran war. It’s so contrary to how Trump pitched himself, and it won’t go away.
And that’s what makes Vance’s comments particularly jarring.
Even more than his somewhat conciliatory speech last week at the GOP midterm convention, they suggest he knows the Trump administration hasn’t delivered on what it promised.
Before he said “another chance,” he listed a number of administration accomplishments. But none of them were about lowering prices across the board or delivering a new “golden age” for the American people. They were narrower items like “no tax on tips” and securing the border.
And that’s a pretty remarkable lack of an endorsement, from Trump’s own VP.
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