2026年9月16日 / 美国东部时间下午3:03 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
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美联储周三实施2023年以来首次加息,随着伊朗战争推高全球能源价格并加剧通胀,美联储扭转了此前的货币政策方向。
美联储将联邦基金利率上调0.25个百分点,使目标利率区间升至3.75%至4%之间——为2025年12月以来的最高水平。这一基准利率影响美国整个经济的借贷成本,包括信用卡、汽车贷款和个人贷款。
在一套季度预测报告中,美联储还暗示其利率制定委员会预计今年晚些时候将再次加息。美联储在周三的一份声明中表示,此次加息投票全票通过。
2027年不加息
不过就目前而言,美联储此次行动似乎并不意味着将更激进地推高借贷成本。美联储主席凯文·沃什在周三的新闻发布会上表示,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)预计2027年全年将维持利率不变。
约有一半的联邦公开市场委员会成员预测明年利率将保持稳定。
牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家迈克尔·皮尔斯在一份研究报告中表示:“我们认为这并非另一轮大规模紧缩周期的开端,市场对未来一年加息的预期过高。”
相比之下,2022年以来美联储曾11次加息,旨在遏制经济从疫情中复苏期间出现的通胀飙升。
不过,此次加息标志着美联储立场与年初完全逆转:当时通胀正逐步放缓,许多经济学家预计美联储将在2026年全年降息。但如今货币政策制定者正动用最有力的工具来抑制物价。8月消费者物价指数按年率计算上涨3.4%,远高于美联储2%的年度通胀目标。
特朗普总统曾多次呼吁美联储降低借贷成本。但中东地区不断升级的冲突扰乱了原油生产和供应,推高了美国的燃油价格,并推高了整个经济的成本。
美联储此举旨在恢复信誉
海军联邦信贷联盟首席经济学家希瑟·朗在电子邮件中表示:“加息是正确的举措,它恢复了美联储的信誉,表明无论白宫或其他任何人怎么说,美联储都会抑制通胀。”“重大消息在于此次投票全票通过,且预测仅显示2026年还会再加息一次。”
根据美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据,周三柴油均价达到创纪录的每加仑6.31美元,较一年前上涨71%。目前汽油均价为每加仑4.37美元,高于一个月前的4.06美元,也高于今年2月伊朗战争爆发前的2.98美元。
高利率可以抑制通胀,因为消费者会削减支出,企业会减少投资。随着需求放缓,经济增长降温,物价上涨也会得到遏制。
借贷成本上升
金融专家表示,银行可能会对美联储此次加息做出回应,提高信用卡和其他信贷产品的利率,不过0.25个百分点的单次加息可能不会显著推高借贷成本。
即便如此,借贷成本上升之际,美国人正面临汽油、食品和其他生活必需品价格的上涨。
宾夕法尼亚大学克莱因曼能源政策学院实践教授希瑟·鲍希在电子邮件中表示:“消费者信心目前较去年同期下降了13%。”美联储本周的加息“将使家庭更难借贷,推高汽车贷款、信用卡、抵押贷款等的成本。”
阿兰·谢特编辑
美联社为本报道撰稿
Federal Reserve raises interest rates for the first time since 2023
September 16, 2026 / 3:03 PM EDT / CBS News
By
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023 on Wednesday, reversing course as the Iran war drives up global energy prices and fuels inflation.
The Fed raised the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing its target range to between 3.75% and 4% — its highest level since December 2025. The benchmark rate influences borrowing costs across the U.S. economy, including for credit cards, auto loans and personal loans.
In a set of quarterly projections, the Fed also signaled that its rate-setting committee expects to again raise rates later this year. The vote to raise the benchmark rate was unanimous, the Fed said in a statement on Wednesday.
No rate hikes in 2027
For now, however, the Fed’s move doesn’t appear to point to a more aggressive push to raise borrowing costs. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said at a press conference on Wednesday that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expects to hold rates steady throughout 2027.
About half of FOMC members predicted that rates would hold steady next year.
“We don’t think this is the beginning of another major tightening cycle, and markets have too much tightening priced in over the coming year,” Michael Pearce, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, said in a research note.
By contrast, the central bank raised rates 11 times starting in 2022 as it sought to quash surging inflation as the economy was rebounding from the pandemic.
Still, the latest hike marks an about-face from the Fed’s stance at the start of the year, when inflation was cooling, and as many economists expected the central bank to lower interest rates throughout 2026. Instead, monetary policymakers are brandishing their most potent weapon to curb prices. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annual rate of 3.4% in August, far above the Fed’s 2% annual target.
President Trump has repeatedly called on the Fed to lower borrowing costs. But escalating conflict in the Middle East has disrupted crude oil production and supplies, pushing up fuel prices in the U.S. and driving up costs across the broader economy.
Fed moves to restore credibility
“Hiking was the right move, and it restores Fed credibility that the central bank will curb inflation no matter what the White House or anyone else says,” said Heather Long, chief economist at the Navy Federal Credit Union, in an email. “The big news is that the vote was unanimous and the forecast only signals one more hike in 2026.”
The average price of diesel reached a record $6.31 per gallon on Wednesday, a 71% jump from a year ago, according to AAA. Gasoline now averages $4.37 a gallon, up from $4.06 a month ago and $2.98 just before the Iran war started in February.
Higher interest rates can tamp down inflation because consumers pare spending and businesses reduce investment. That cools economic growth and tempers price increases as demand slows.
Higher borrowing costs
Banks are likely to respond to the latest Fed hike by boosting their interest rates on credit cards and other lending products, although a single 0.25 percentage-point increase might not significantly raise borrowing costs, according to financial experts.
Even so, the increase in borrowing costs comes as Americans are shouldering higher costs for gas, food and other essentials.
“Consumer sentiment is now 13% below where it was this time last year,” said Heather Boushey, professor of practice at the Kleinman Center for Energy Policy at the University of Pennsylvania, in an email. The Fed’s rate hike this week “will make it harder for families to borrow, raising the cost of car loans, credit cards, mortgages and more.”
Edited by Alain Sherter
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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