2026年9月15日 / 美国东部时间下午3:44 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
无党派的美国国会预算办公室周二发布的报告显示，只要对伊战争持续下去，每月耗资大约在20亿至30亿美元之间。报告预计，如果双方展开针锋相对的交火，相关成本还会上升。
该办公室估算，从2月28日至8月1日，这场战争已直接让美国损失约380亿美元，这一数字不包括修复冲突期间受损的美国海外基地。此外，该办公室预计，由于能源价格上涨，2027年第一季度的通货膨胀率可能比战前预测高出0.5个百分点。
国会预算办公室指出，更换弹药占这场战争以来217亿美元总开支的大部分。
国会预算办公室特别提到，用于防御来袭导弹的拦截弹大量消耗，将导致“未来数年拦截弹库存减少”。
报告称：“如果对手拥有大量弹道导弹和巡航导弹的武库，这种库存短缺问题将变得尤为严重”，并指出中国拥有此类武器库，若在台湾问题上爆发冲突，中国可能会动用这些武器。
报告称，将已使用的拦截弹数量与五角大楼采购的数量进行对比后可以发现，自2025年6月以来，美国“大概已使用了该类弹药库存的一半至三分之二”。这些弹药包括爱国者导弹和萨德系统拦截弹，以及海军的标准-3和标准-6型导弹。
白宫和五角大楼一直淡化人们对武器库存枯竭的担忧。特朗普总统在Truth Social平台上表示：“我们拥有几乎无限数量的中高级弹药，数量多到我们永远用不完。”中东美军司令布拉德·库珀上将近日在接受《60分钟》采访时称：“我一点都不担心。我们装备精良，随时可以应对任何突发状况。”
国会预算办公室表示，国防部并未回应信息索取请求。
就在国会预算办公室发布这份分析报告的前一天，五角大楼 Inspector General（总监察长）发布了一份报告，称五角大楼采购与保障办公室得出结论，这场冲突中弹药的使用导致了“战略库存短缺，并暴露了弹药补给的工业基地瓶颈问题”。
国会预算办公室估算，截至8月1日，更换冲突中使用的弹药将耗资217亿美元：其中陆攻巡航导弹73亿美元，导弹防御拦截弹131亿美元，其他弹药12亿美元。
报告还称，更换受损装备的费用约为19亿美元，其中包括一台被伊朗摧毁的萨德防空雷达。该办公室指出，这台雷达造价约5亿美元，是该防空连击落导弹的核心装备。如果五角大楼申请追加拨款，用新型号战机替换受损战机，总费用将从19亿美元增至33亿美元。
报告显示，如果战争维持较低烈度，此后每月开支约为20亿至30亿美元。如果出现类似7月的升级态势——双方反复开展针锋相对的打击——月度开支还会上升。国会预算办公室称，7月的战争耗资约30亿美元。
今年6月，特朗普政府向国会提交了一份876亿美元的追加拨款申请，其中包括670亿美元用于国防部应对对伊战争相关需求。
共和党正试图通过党派和解程序为战争提供最高730亿美元的新拨款，但众议院通过的启动该程序的预算蓝图已在参议院陷入停滞。
国会预算办公室是应众议院预算委员会资深成员、宾夕法尼亚州民主党众议员布兰登·博伊尔的请求发布了这份估算报告。
博伊尔在发给哥伦比亚广播公司新闻的一份声明中表示：“唐纳德·特朗普发动的这场灾难性对伊战争，已经夺去了勇敢的美国军人的生命，造成多人受伤。除了人员伤亡之外，这份无党派的国会预算办公室报告明确显示，这场战争还让美国纳税人损失了数百亿美元，而且成本还在持续攀升。”
贾拉·布朗和凯特琳·伊利克为本报道撰稿。
Iran war could cost $2 billion per month, Congressional Budget Office estimates
September 15, 2026 / 3:44 PM EDT / CBS News
The war with Iran could cost approximately $2 billion to $3 billion per month for as long as it continues, according to a report released by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office on Tuesday. The report estimates those costs could rise when there are tit-for-tat exchanges of fire with Iran.
The office estimated the war between Feb. 28 and Aug. 1 has directly cost the U.S. about $38 billion, a figure that does not include repairing U.S. bases in the region damaged during the conflict. In addition, the office estimates inflation during the first quarter of 2027 could be 0.5% higher than what was projected before the war because of rising energy prices.
The CBO noted that replacing munitions accounts for the majority of the $21.7 billion in costs incurred during the war.
In particular, the CBO said the large expenditure of interceptor missiles used to defend against incoming missiles leaves behind a “reduced inventory of interceptors for several years.”
“The shortfall would become especially problematic if a conflict arose with an opponent whose arsenal included large numbers of ballistic and cruise missiles,” according to the report, which pointed out that China maintains such an arsenal and could employ it if there were a conflict over Taiwan.
The report said a comparison of the reported use of interceptors with the number the Pentagon has purchased indicates the U.S. has “probably used between one-half and two-thirds of its inventory of those munitions since June 2025.” Those munitions include Patriot and THAAD interceptors as well as the Navy’s Standard Missiles 3 and 6.
The White House and the Pentagon have downplayed concerns about depleted weapons inventories. President Trump on Truth Social said, “We have virtually unlimited amounts of mid- to high-grade ammunition, far more than we can ever use.” Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of forces in the Middle East, recently told “60 Minutes,” “I’m not concerned at all. We’re well-armed and ready for any contingency.”
The CBO said the Defense Department did not respond to requests for information.
The CBO analysis was released a day after the Pentagon inspector general published a report that said the Pentagon’s Office for Acquisition and Sustainment concluded the use of munitions in the conflict has led to “strategic inventory shortfalls and revealed industrial base bottlenecks for munitions resupply.”
The CBO estimates it will cost $21.7 billion to replace the munitions used in the conflict through Aug. 1: $7.3 billion for the land-attack cruise missiles, $13.1 billion for the missile-defense interceptors and $1.2 billion for other munitions.
It will also cost about $1.9 billion to replace lost equipment, according to the report, including a THAAD air defense radar destroyed by Iran. The CBO noted the radar can cost roughly $500 million and is essential for the battery to take down missiles. If the Pentagon decides to request supplemental appropriations to replace lost aircraft with newer versions, the total cost could rise from $1.9 billion to $3.3 billion.
If the war continues at a relatively low intensity, it could cost roughly $2 billion to $3 billion each additional month, according to the report. Monthly costs could rise if there is an escalation similar to the one in July, which saw repeated tit-for-tat strikes. The CBO said the war in July cost about $3 billion.
In June, the Trump administration sent Congress an $87.6 billion supplemental funding request that included $67 billion for the Department of Defense for needs related to the Iran war.
Republicans are trying to provide up to $73 billion in new funding for the war through the party-line reconciliation process, but the House-adopted budget blueprint to initiate the process has been stalled in the Senate.
The CBO released its estimate in response to a request from Democratic Rep. Brendan Boyle of Pennsylvania, who is the ranking member on the House Budget Committee.
“Donald Trump’s disastrous war in Iran has already taken the lives of brave American servicemembers and left others wounded. Beyond that human toll, this nonpartisan CBO report makes clear that the war has also cost American taxpayers tens of billions of dollars and counting, while continuing to drive up costs,” Boyle said in a statement to CBS News.
Jaala Brown and Caitlin Yilek contributed to this report.
发表回复