路透社/益普索民调:特朗普支持率从纪录低位回升,但共和党选举前景恶化


2026-09-14T20:35:42.947Z / 路透社

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  • 内容摘要
  • 路透社/益普索民调显示,国会投票偏好中民主党以44%比37%领先共和党
  • 特朗普支持率从33%升至35%
  • 路透社/益普索民调显示,约63%的美国人反对特朗普提出的5000美元股息计划

华盛顿9月14日路透电 — 在上周共和党首次举行全国中期代表大会之后数日开展的路透社/益普索民调显示,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的公众支持率从纪录低位回升,而美国民众对民主党掌控美国国会的支持率有所上升。

这项为期四天的民调显示,63%的美国人——包括十分之四的共和党人和十分之九的民主党人——反对特朗普在代表大会演讲中提出的承诺:如果共和党在11月的中期选举中保留对美国国会的控制权,他将确保所有美国人获得5000美元股息。

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本次调查收集了全美1143名美国人的回应,误差幅度为正负3个百分点。

约35%的美国人对特朗普在白宫的表现表示认可,高于8月28日至31日路透社/益普索民调中的33%,这是特朗普政治生涯中的最低支持率。

自特朗普今年2月对伊朗开战以来,其支持率有所下滑。这场战争扰乱了中东的石油运输,推高燃料价格至接近纪录高位,冲击了美国家庭财务状况。自开战以来,特朗普所在的共和党也流失了部分支持,最近几周更是丧失了长期以来在经济政策方面的优势地位。

民主党选举优势

在被问及如果今天举行国会选举,即所谓的“通用选票”民调中,他们会投票给哪个政党时,44%的人选民主党,37%的人选共和党。7个百分点的差距是特朗普2025年1月重返白宫以来的最大差距。对共和党而言,失去任何一院的控制权都可能让特朗普在任期最后两年的议程复杂化。

通用选票民调是全国性民调,能整体反映受访者希望哪个政党掌控国会。虽然这些民调展现了全国公众情绪,但无法体现决定美国参众两院控制权的各州、各选区竞选的所有细微差别,而共和党在这些竞选中拥有一些结构性优势。

选民认为民主党比共和党更能妥善管理经济——38%对37%——民主党在今年夏天首次获得这一优势,这是约十年来的首次。

特朗普在全美首都的建筑项目——包括为白宫增设一个宴会厅——在很大程度上引发了两极分化,人们以党派视角看待这些计划。民调中91%的民主党人表示反对这些计划,而四分之一的共和党人持反对态度。

约三分之二的美国人——包括一半的共和党人——认为这些建筑项目优先级较低。

杰森·兰格在华盛顿报道;阿利斯泰尔·贝尔编辑

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杰森·兰格是专注于政治数据的华盛顿通讯员。发送爆料邮件至jason.lange@thomsonreuters.com

Trump approval up from record low, but outlook sours for Republicans, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

2026-09-14T20:35:42.947Z / Reuters

U.S. President Donald Trump waves at the Republican National Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas, U.S., September 9, 2026. REUTERS/Callaghan O’Hare Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

  • Summary
  • Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democrats lead Republicans 44% to 37% in congressional vote preference
  • Trump’s approval rating rises to 35% from 33%
  • Some 63% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s proposed $5,000 dividend, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows

WASHINGTON, Sept 14 (Reuters) – President Donald ​Trump’s public approval rating rose from a record low, while Americans voiced growing support for Democrats gaining ‌power in the U.S. Congress in a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken in the days after the Republican Party’s first-ever midterm convention last week.

The four-day poll showed 63% of Americans – including four in 10 Republicans and nine in 10 Democrats – disapproved of Trump’s offer made in his ​convention speech that he would ensure all Americans get a $5,000 dividend if Republicans retain control of the ​U.S. Congress in November’s midterm elections.

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The survey gathered responses from 1,143 Americans nationwide and had ⁠a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.

Some 35% of Americans give Trump a thumbs ​up for his performance in the White House, up from 33% in an August 28 to 31 Reuters/Ipsos poll, the ​lowest of his political career.

Trump’s popularity has declined since he launched a war on Iran in February that has disrupted oil shipments from the Middle East and pushed fuel prices near record highs, hitting U.S. household finances. Since the war started, Trump’s Republicans have ​also lost some support, and in recent weeks have lost their longtime edge as the better party for ​economic policy.

DEMOCRATS’ ELECTORAL EDGE

Asked which party they would vote for if the congressional elections were held today in what is known as ‌a generic ⁠ballot poll, 44% picked Democrats and 37% picked Republicans. The 7-point gap was the widest since Trump returned to the White House in January 2025. For Republicans, losing control of either chamber could complicate Trump’s agenda in the last two years of his term.

Generic ballot polls are national polls that provide an overall view of which party ​poll respondents want to see ​in charge in Congress. ⁠While these polls provide a view of national public sentiment, they do not capture all the nuances of the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the U.S. ​Senate and House of Representatives, contests in which Republicans hold some structural advantages.

Voters ​picked Democrats over ⁠Republicans as the better stewards of the economy – 38% to 37% – with Democrats gaining that edge over the summer for the first time in about a decade.

Trump’s construction projects throughout the U.S. capital – including a ballroom for the White House – ⁠were largely ​polarizing and viewed through a partisan lens, with 91% of Democrats ​in the survey saying they opposed the plans, compared to one in four Republicans who were against them.

Some two-thirds of Americans – including half of ​Republicans – considered the construction projects to be a low priority.

Reporting by Jason Lange in Washington; Editing by Alistair Bell

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

Jason Lange is a Washington correspondent focused on political data. Send tips to jason.lange@thomsonreuters.com

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