2026-09-11T19:16:02.080Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：凯蒂·博·利利斯
5分钟前发布
发布于 美国东部时间2026年9月11日下午3:16
联邦机构 国家安全
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这份如今臭名昭著的预警报告被夹在1998年9月10日提交给时任总统比尔·克林顿的总统每日情报简报末尾：一个与基地组织领导人奥萨马·本·拉登有关联的组织“可能将一架装满爆炸物的飞机撞向美国城市”。
最终袭击并未使用爆炸物。而是四架飞机：两架撞入纽约市世界贸易中心，一架撞入华盛顿特区五角大楼，另一架原本目标是美国国会大厦，在乘客与恐怖分子英勇搏斗后坠毁在宾夕法尼亚州一处田野中。
美国中央情报局于周五解密并公开了超过100页提交给克林顿和乔治·W·布什两位总统的每日简报文件，内容涉及9·11袭击前基地组织与本·拉登构成的威胁，首次向美国公众展现了两位总统曾收到但未能采取行动的令人毛骨悚然的情报全貌。
文件显示，数年来不断有预警称本·拉登正计划在美国境内或海外美国据点发动袭击。情报片段显示，他曾计划袭击华盛顿的一座购物中心、获取核弹材料、发动化学武器袭击或绑架一名美国人（姓名已被涂黑），这些内容零散地出现在文件中。
这些文件并未从根本上改变情报历史学家对美国政府在袭击前掌握的信息，以及为何未能成功预测袭击的认知。2004年美国9·11恐怖袭击调查委员会发布的报告指出，尽管情报界曾向两届白宫发出基地组织构成威胁的预警，但未能充分预测或传达这些威胁的规模与紧迫性。而各自为政的情报体系也阻碍了不同机构的情报分析师将线索串联起来，形成有意义的研判。
图集：美国纪念9·11事件25周年
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In pictures: America marks 25 years since 9/11
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游客在尚克斯维尔附近的93号航班国家纪念碑前致敬。
Gene J. Puskar/美联社
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纽约的两辆消防车之间悬挂着一面美国国旗，远处可见世界贸易中心一号楼。
Andres Kudacki/盖蒂图片社
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9月11日周五的纪念仪式上，一名妇女和儿童在纽约世界贸易中心恐怖袭击25周年纪念活动期间，在9·11纪念馆和博物馆前致敬。
Spencer Platt/盖蒂图片社
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前总统乔·拜登、前第一夫人劳拉·布什、前总统乔治·W·布什、前纽约市长迈克尔·布隆伯格和副总统JD·万斯在纽约的纪念仪式上站立。
Michael M. Santiago/盖蒂图片社
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93号航班遇难者帕特里克·约瑟夫·德里斯科尔的孙子瑞安·古尔德带着儿子在宾夕法尼亚州尚克斯维尔附近的93号航班国家纪念碑的姓名墙旁。
Nathan Howard/路透社
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纽约消防员在纪念馆致敬。
Jeenah Moon/泳池/美联社
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总统唐纳德·特朗普和第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普抵达华盛顿特区五角大楼的纪念仪式。
Mark Schiefelbein/美联社
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人们在纽约纪念馆聆听国歌。
Adam Gray/美联社
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一名妇女在纽约的反射池前哀悼。
Dave Sanders/泳池/《纽约时报》/美联社
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前总统巴拉克·奥巴马和前第一夫人米歇尔·奥巴马抵达纽约的纪念仪式。
Adam Gray/美联社
（注：原文后续重复的11至12张照片内容与前两条重复，已省略）
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图集：美国纪念9·11事件25周年
那个时代的学者表示，这也是中央情报局充满不确定性的时期。该机构的主要存在理由——苏联——已经解体，人们完全不清楚该机构应该如何调整方向，或是应该将重点放在何处。克林顿执政时期，华盛顿流传着一个经典笑话：一架坠毁在白宫草坪上的小型飞机，是中情局局长试图联系总统。中情局内部负责追踪本·拉登的单位——一个名为“亚历克站”的小型办公室——规模十分有限。
“即便机构内部有一个部门在极力警示威胁的存在，它仍然是一个相当庞大的组织，”奥斯汀德克萨斯大学情报界历史学家杰弗里·罗格指出。
但这些文件仍然代表着中情局具有历史意义且引人关注的一次解密行动，该机构一向将总统每日简报材料视为最敏感的机密资料严加看管。
中情局2001年8月6日发布的最后一份预警报告标题为：“本·拉登[原文如此]决心在美国境内发动袭击”。报告称，基地组织成员“多年来”一直居住在美国或前往美国旅行，该组织“显然维持着可协助袭击行动的支持架构”。
当时的联邦调查局情报显示，“美国境内出现可疑活动模式，与劫持或其他类型袭击的筹备工作相符，包括近期对纽约联邦大楼的侦察”。
报告称，当时美国境内正在开展70项全面的“与本·拉登相关”调查。
但报告也承认，“我们无法证实一些更为耸人听闻的威胁情报”，包括1998年“有关本·拉登想要劫持美国飞机”的情报。
此次解密文件的最后一份日期为9月12日凌晨4点。
报告援引一名“驻坎大哈的阿拉伯人”的话称，此次袭击是两年策划的结果。他表示，这只是“愤怒的开始”。
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CIA declassifies intel warnings to White House prior to 9/11 attack
2026-09-11T19:16:02.080Z / CNN
By Katie Bo Lillis
5 min ago
PUBLISHED Sep 11, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
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The twin towers of the World Trade Center burn on September 11, 2001.
Marty Lederhandler/AP
The now-infamous warning to then-President Bill Clinton was tucked at the bottom of a presidential intelligence brief delivered on September 10, 1998: A group associated with al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden “may fly an explosive-packed airplane into a US city.”
In the end, there were no explosives. Just four planes, two piloted into the World Trade Center in New York City, one into the Pentagon in Washington, DC, and one intended for the US Capitol that crash-landed in a field in Pennsylvania after passengers heroically fought back against the terrorists.
The CIA on Friday declassified and released more than 100 pages of presidential daily briefing papers provided to Presidents Clinton and George W. Bush that dealt with the threat from al Qaeda and bin Laden in the run-up to 9/11, providing for the first time to the American public an eerie snapshot of the information two presidents saw but failed to act on.
They show a drumbeat of warnings over the course of years that bin Laden was considering an attack in the United States or on American sites overseas. Fragments of intelligence suggesting he wanted to attack a shopping mall in Washington, acquire nuclear bomb materials, launch chemical weapons attacks or kidnap an American — whose name is redacted — flicker through the pages.
The documents do not fundamentally change intelligence historians’ understanding of what the US government knew before the attacks, or how it had failed so badly to predict them. A 2004 report by the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States found that although the intelligence community had warned two successive White Houses of the threat from al Qaeda, it failed to adequately predict or communicate the scope and urgency of those threats. And a silo’ed intelligence apparatus kept intelligence analysts at different agencies from putting the pieces together in a meaningful way.
In pictures: America marks 25 years since 9/11
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In pictures: America marks 25 years since 9/11
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Visitors pay their respects at the Flight 93 National Memorial near Shanksville.
Gene J. Puskar/AP
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An American flag hangs between two fire trucks in New York with One World Trade Center visible in the distance.
Andres Kudacki/Getty Images
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A woman and child pay respects at the 9/11 Memorial and Museum during a ceremony on Friday, September 11, commemorating the 25th anniversary of the terror attacks on the World Trade Center in New York.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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Former President Joe Biden, former first lady Laura Bush, former President George W. Bush, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Vice President JD Vance stand during the ceremony in New York
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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Ryan Gould, grandson of Flight 93 victim Patrick Joseph Driscoll, holds his son next to the Wall of Names at the Flight 93 National Memorial near Shanksville, Pennsylvania.
Nathan Howard/Reuters
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New York firefighters pay their respects at the memorial in New York.
Jeenah Moon/Pool/AP
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President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrive at an observance ceremony at the Pentagon in Washington, DC.
Mark Schiefelbein/AP
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People listen to the national anthem at the memorial in New York.
Adam Gray/AP
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A woman mourns at the reflecting pool in New York.
Dave Sanders/Pool/The New York Times/AP
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Former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama arrive at the ceremony in New York.
Adam Gray/AP
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Visitors pay their respects at the Flight 93 National Memorial near Shanksville.
Gene J. Puskar/AP
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An American flag hangs between two fire trucks in New York with One World Trade Center visible in the distance.
Andres Kudacki/Getty Images
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A woman and child pay respects at the 9/11 Memorial and Museum during a ceremony on Friday, September 11, commemorating the 25th anniversary of the terror attacks on the World Trade Center in New York.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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Former President Joe Biden, former first lady Laura Bush, former President George W. Bush, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Vice President JD Vance stand during the ceremony in New York
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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In pictures: America marks 25 years since 9/11
It was also a time of profound uncertainty for the CIA, scholars of the era say. The agency’s main raison d’être, the Soviet Union, had fallen, and it wasn’t entirely clear how the agency should reorient itself or what it should focus on. A running joke in Washington during the Clinton era was that a small plane that crashed on the White House lawn was the CIA director trying to get in touch with the president. The unit in the CIA responsible for tracking bin Laden — a small office called Alec Station — was small.
“Even if one element of the agency is screaming about a threat, it’s still a pretty big organization,” noted Jeffrey Rogg, an intelligence community historian at the University of Texas in Austin.
But the documents still represent a historically significant and fascinating release from the CIA, which closely guards presidential daily brief materials as some of its most sensitive classified material.
A final warning from the CIA dated August 6, 2001, was headlined: “Bin Ladin [sic] Determined To Strike In US.” It reported that al Qaeda members had resided in or traveled to the US “for years” and that the group “apparently maintains a support structure that could aid attacks.”
And FBI information at the time indicated “patterns of suspicious activity in this country consistent with preparations for hijackings or other types of attacks, including recent surveillance of federal buildings in New York.”
70 full field “Bin Ladin related” investigations were underway in the US at the time, the report said.
But, it acknowledged, “we have not been able to corroborate some of the more sensational threat reporting,” including reporting from 1998 “saying that Bin Ladin wanted to hijack a US aircraft.”
The final document in the release is dated 4 a.m. on the morning of September 12.
The report cites a “Kandahar-based Arab,” who said the attacks were the result of two years’ planning. They were, he said, “the beginning of the wrath.”
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