8月就业报告显示美国新增16.2万个就业岗位,远超经济学家预期


2026年9月4日 / 美国东部时间上午11:06 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

美国雇主8月新增16.2万个就业岗位,远超经济学家预期,较7月的招聘规模大幅提速。

关键数据

接受FactSet调查的经济学家此前预计美国雇主8月新增6.5万个就业岗位。

8月失业率为4.1%,与上月持平。

8月招聘增长得益于餐饮服务及酒吧、地方政府教育部门的就业增长,这两个行业分别新增5.9万个和4.2万个岗位。据美国劳工部数据,8月就业增长规模是过去12个月3.1万个月均新增岗位的五倍多。

海军联邦信贷联盟首席经济学家希瑟·隆在电子邮件中表示:“这份就业报告简直‘惊艳’。教育行业的招聘反弹在意料之中,毕竟教师即将返校,但服务业尤其是餐饮业的复苏同样令人鼓舞。”

美国劳工部还将6月和7月的就业增长数据总计上调了5.5万个,表明这两个月的招聘情况略好于此前预期。经修正后,7月新增就业2.1万个,高于最初预估的减少2.3万个。

美国劳动力规模——即就业或积极求职的人数——在经历6月和7月的下滑后,上月增加了68.3万人。

尽管8月就业增长提速,但薪资增长依然疲软,仅为3.1%,为2021年5月以来的最低水平。

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“名义薪资增长放缓表明,工人没有足够的议价能力来提高工资,”无党派智库经济政策研究所高级经济学家伊莉斯·古尔德在电子邮件中说道。“即便失业率较低,低迷的招聘率也意味着工人无法通过更换工作来加薪。”

这对利率意味着什么

经济学家周五表示,8月就业报告可能强化美联储在即将召开的会议上加息的理由,美联储的利率决议定于9月16日公布。不过,美联储可能会更关注将于9月11日发布的即将出炉的消费者物价指数报告。

摩根士丹利财富管理首席经济策略家埃伦·曾特纳在电子邮件中表示:“就业数据超出预期可能会加剧人们对加息的担忧,但最终结果取决于下周的通胀数据。如果通胀数据低于预期,美联储可能会放心地忽略劳动力市场释放的潜在通胀信号。”

美联储主席凯文·沃什上周在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的美联储年度会议上确认,劳动力市场正处于稳定轨道。

他表示:“劳动力市场总是存在令人担忧的领域——例如应届毕业生群体。但总体而言,那些有工作意愿的人基本都能保住工作或找到新工作。”

沃什暗示,持续高于美联储2%目标的顽固通胀仍是美联储的首要关注点。他在杰克逊霍尔会议上表示,如果物价压力没有缓解,美联储仍有“工作要做”。

周五,芝加哥商品交易所集团的美联储观察工具显示,美联储9月加息的概率为60%。

August jobs report shows U.S. added 162,000 jobs, more than double economists’ forecasts

September 4, 2026 / 11:06 AM EDT / CBS News

U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August, more than double economists’ forecasts and signaling a sharp acceleration from hiring in July.

By the numbers

Economists polled by FactSet forecast employers added 65,000 jobs in August.

The unemployment rate was 4.1% in August, unchanged from the previous month.

Hiring in August was boosted by job gains in food services and bars as well as local government education. Those sectors added 59,000 and 42,000 jobs, respectively. Payroll gains in August were more than five times the monthly average for the last 12 months, which is 31,000, according to the Labor Department.

“What a ‘wow’ jobs report,” said Heather Long, the chief economist at the Navy Federal Credit Union, in an email. “The hiring rebound in education was expected as teachers head back to work, but it was encouraging to see the bounce back in hospitality as well, especially restaurants.”

The Labor Department also revised payroll gains up by a total of 55,000 in June and July, indicating that hiring was slightly stronger than expected during those months. Accounting for revisions, employers added 21,000 jobs in July, up from initial estimates showing the U.S.shedding 23,000 jobs.

The U.S. labor force — the number of people working or actively looking for work — increased by 683,000 last month after falling in June and July.

Although job creation accelerated in August, wage growth remained sluggish at 3.1%, the lowest since May 2021.

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“Slowing nominal wage growth suggests workers don’t have the leverage to bid up their wages,” Elise Gould, a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute, a nonpartisan think tank, said in an email. “Even with low unemployment, the depressed hires rate means workers aren’t finding new jobs to raise their wages.”

What does this mean for interest rates

The August jobs report could strengthen the case for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike at the central bank’s upcoming meeting, with the rate decision set for Sept. 16, economists said on Friday. However, the Fed is likely to place more emphasis on the forthcoming Consumer Price Index report, which will be released on Sept. 11.

“An upside surprise in payrolls will likely ramp up concerns about a rate hike, but that outcome is in the hands of next week’s inflation numbers,” Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in an email. “If those come in cooler than expected, the Fed will likely feel comfortable discounting potentially inflationary signals coming out of the labor market.”

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh affirmed that the labor market was on a steady course last week during the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

“There are always areas of concern in the labor market—for example, among recent graduates,” he said. “In general, though, people who want to work, by and large, are holding or finding jobs.”

Warsh signaled that inflation, which is stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target, remains the central bank’s primary focus. The Fed will have “work to do” if price pressures do not ease, he said at the Jackson Hole conference.

On Friday, CME Group’s FedWatch tool showed a 60% likelihood the Fed will raise rates in September.

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