2026年8月19日 美国东部时间12:09 / 福克斯新闻网
波兰国防部副部长恰扎里·托姆奇克警告，克里姆林宫可能在“数月内”发动大规模挑衅行动
埃弗拉特·拉赫特
文/埃弗拉特·拉赫特 福克斯新闻网
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俄罗斯威胁将对英国采取“反制措施”，加上波兰一名高级国防官员的严厉警告，加剧了人们的担忧：随着俄乌战争持续，莫斯科可能会试图直接考验北约。
波兰国防部副部长恰扎里·托姆奇克表示，该国正在积极为冲突可能性做准备，他在8月17日发表的《超级快报》采访中称：“我们正在为战争做准备，尽管我们希望这永远不会发生。”
波兰驻华盛顿大使馆向福克斯新闻数字频道表示，华沙加快国防准备工作是为了威慑潜在侵略，而非表明冲突不可避免。
情报警告：俄罗斯正准备针对北约东翼发动混合攻击
波兰士兵在白俄罗斯边境执勤，官员称当地的移民压力已演变为针对北约东翼的混合战争形式，2026年5月16日。（埃弗拉特·拉赫特/福克斯新闻数字频道）
大使馆指出，波兰国防开支接近国内生产总值的5%，并引用了拉丁格言Si vis pacem, para bellum——“如果你想要和平，那就备战”，表示鉴于俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争以及波兰眼中莫斯科的帝国野心，加强威慑是该国唯一合理的战略。
一位不愿透露姓名的欧洲外交官支持托姆奇克的说法，称波兰注意到俄罗斯在多条战线不断升级施压的模式。“俄罗斯不断向我们和我们的邻国发出信号，想要让我们重新成为他们的附庸、他们的殖民后院，因此我们正加紧备战，”该外交官对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。
这位外交官指出了他们所称的俄罗斯虚假信息运动、网络攻击、破坏行动以及对波兰防空系统的反复试探，还有俄罗斯官员和宣传人员越来越频繁的核言论。
“所有这些都清晰地表明，如果俄罗斯或白俄罗斯认为有机会攻击波兰，摧毁东欧恢复苏联或沙皇俄罗斯帝国的障碍，他们会毫不犹豫地动手，”该外交官说。
这位外交官补充称，托姆奇克的“预测有相当坚实的依据”，同时强调这种担忧并非源于对普通俄罗斯民众的敌意。
“我们希望俄罗斯成为好邻居、商业伙伴。我们欢迎他们的游客前来，希望与他们开展文化交流，”该外交官说。“但他们——至少是构成普京政府基础的帝国主义者——想要将波兰、波罗的海国家，当然还有乌克兰，重新变回他们在欧洲的殖民地。”
乌克兰猛攻黑海舰队“最后主要据点”，普京在太平洋展示海军实力
一名士兵在乌克兰扎波罗热地区发射用于侦察和校射炮火的RQ-35“海德里”无人机，2026年2月22日。（德米特罗·斯莫连科/Ukrinform/诺罗photo via 盖蒂图片社）
退役空军上将菲利普·布里德洛夫曾于2013年至2016年担任美国欧洲司令部司令兼北约欧洲盟军最高指挥官，他对福克斯新闻数字频道表示，波兰的警告反映了许多前军方领导人的共同担忧。
“这是我们很多人都在担心的问题，”布里德洛夫说。“他们正试图考验北约联盟：意大利会参战吗？西班牙会参战吗？俄罗斯可以在多个地方试图攫取利益。他们的目标是分裂并最终瓦解这个联盟。”
布里德洛夫警告，莫斯科可能会尝试实施一场经过精心策划的挑衅行动，让北约是否应集体回应变得不确定。
“俄罗斯很可能会发起一场刚好足以引发北约是否应该回应的质疑的挑衅行动，”他说，并称莫斯科的目标是暴露盟友之间的分歧。
北约第四条条款允许成员国在其领土完整、政治独立或安全受到威胁时请求磋商。第五条条款规定在武装袭击后实施集体防御，但北约表示，第四条磋商并非第五条条款下采取行动的先决条件。
此次言论发表之际，其他东翼成员国政府也发出了类似警告。据美联社7月15日报道，立陶宛总统吉塔纳斯·瑙塞达称，情报显示俄罗斯可能对波罗的海国家或波兰的关键基础设施发动有限袭击。据美联社报道，波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克表示，华沙正在“为各种场景进行非常密集的准备”。俄罗斯否认了这些指控。
警方称俄罗斯与针对英国首相基尔·斯塔默相关房产的纵火袭击有关联
F-16战斗机在波兰中部拉斯克空军基地附近参加北约空中掩护演习，2022年10月12日。（拉多斯瓦夫·约兹维茨/法新社 via 盖蒂图片社）
这些警告发出之际，莫斯科与伦敦之间的紧张局势在周二升级。据路透社8月18日报道，在《泰晤士报》报道英国制造的无人机被乌克兰用于在俄罗斯境内实施远程打击后，俄罗斯驻英国大使馆威胁将采取“相应反制措施”。据路透社报道，英国国防部未确认是否使用了英国产无人机。
“伦敦的行动必将带来后果，其必须为此负责，”俄罗斯大使馆称。据路透社报道，英国国防部回应称，英国与乌克兰“并肩作战”。
据路透社8月18日报道，俄罗斯外交部长谢尔盖·拉夫罗夫周二晚些时候升级了言辞，称莫斯科有权将英国直接参与打击俄罗斯领土的行动视为参战。
另据《泰晤士报》8月18日报道，俄罗斯国家电视台主持人弗拉基米尔·索洛维约夫呼吁使用俄罗斯的“波塞冬”武器攻击英国，称：“给英国人三天时间学习水下呼吸，然后用波塞冬打击他们。”据路透社当时报道，“波塞冬”是一种核动力、可搭载核弹头的水下武器，俄罗斯称其于2025年10月成功试射。
布里德洛夫称，这类言论是俄罗斯更广泛信息战的一部分，旨在胁迫西方各国政府。
美军基地“装备不足”，无法抵御无人机蜂群，一名高级指挥官在卢比奥提及不明飞行物警告后透露
北约年度最大规模海上演习“2025年动态水手/舰队演习”在西班牙南部加的斯湾举行，2025年3月28日。（布拉卡·阿克布尔/阿纳多卢通讯社 via 盖蒂图片社）
“毫无疑问，俄罗斯正在打一场信息战，并试图实现从业者所称的‘反射性控制’，试图迫使北约屈服，”布里德洛夫说。
他认为，乌克兰对俄罗斯能源、后勤和国防工业目标的打击正在给克里姆林宫带来越来越大的压力，而弗拉基米尔·普京总统可能会越来越多地将北约本身描绘成外部敌人。
布里德洛夫表示，北约有能力在常规战争中对抗俄罗斯，但他警告该联盟面临着乌克兰冲突暴露出来的另一种脆弱性。
“北约没有准备好——美国也没有准备好——应对俄罗斯针对乌克兰发动的新型无人机战争，”布里德洛夫说。“西方的防空能力与俄罗斯针对乌克兰发动的无人机战争级别所需的水平相去甚远。”
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一架F-16战斗机在波兰中部拉斯克空军基地附近参加北约空中掩护演习，2022年10月12日。（拉多斯瓦夫·约兹维茨/法新社 via 盖蒂图片社）
福克斯新闻数字频道已联系俄罗斯和英国大使馆置评，但未在出版前收到回复。
路透社和美联社为本报道提供了支持。
埃弗拉特（埃菲）·拉赫特是福克斯新闻数字频道的记者，拥有超过15年报道冲突、全球事务、人权和政治问责的经验。她执导并制作了200多段纪录片片段，足迹遍布40多个国家，记录冲突、人道主义危机、腐败、人口贩运、基于性别的暴力以及重大世界事件背后的人文故事。
拉赫特的报道带她进入了中东、欧洲、亚洲和非洲的冲突地区和危机现场。她的工作包括揭露人口贩运网络、揭露叙利亚境内的ISIS地下酷刑监狱、记录俄乌战争以及采访高级政治人物和世界领导人。她也是战争开始后进入俄罗斯的西方记者之一，带回了普京反对派的证词。拉赫特曾获得2022年佩雷斯和平中心奖，2023-2024年担任密歇根大学奈特-华莱士新闻奖学金获得者，还曾两次获得洛克沃尔卓越报道奖。她拥有传播学学士学位和政治学硕士学位。
US ally on Putin’s doorstep braces for war as Russia tensions take ominous turn
August 19, 2026 12:09pm EDT / Fox News
Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk warned a large-scale Kremlin provocation could occur ‘within a few months’
Efrat Lachter
By Efrat Lachter Fox News
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Russia’s threat of “consequences” against Britain and a stark warning from a senior Polish defense official are intensifying concerns that Moscow could seek to test NATO directly as the war in Ukraine continues.
Polish Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk said his country is actively preparing for the possibility of conflict, telling Super Express in an interview published Aug. 17: “We are preparing for war, hoping that it never happens.”
The Polish Embassy in Washington told Fox News Digital that Warsaw’s accelerated defense preparations are intended to deter potential aggression rather than signal that conflict is inevitable.
RUSSIA PREPARING HYBRID ATTACKS ON NATO’S EASTERN FLANK, INTELLIGENCE WARNS
Polish soldiers stand watch near the Belarus border, where officials say migration pressure has evolved into a form of hybrid warfare targeting NATO’s eastern flank, May 16, 2026.(Efrat Lachter/Fox News Digital)
The embassy pointed to Poland’s defense spending of nearly 5% of GDP and invoked the Latin principle Si vis pacem, para bellum — “If you want peace, prepare for war” — saying that, given Russia’s war in Ukraine and what Poland views as Moscow’s imperial ambitions, strengthening deterrence is the country’s only sound strategy.
A European diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity, backed Tomczyk and said Poland sees a pattern of escalating Russian pressure on multiple fronts. “We are hurrying to be prepared for war since Russia is giving us and our neighbors constant signals that they want us back as their vassals, their colonial backyard,” the diplomat told Fox News Digital.
The diplomat pointed to what they described as Russian disinformation campaigns, cyberattacks, sabotage efforts and repeated tests of Poland’s air defenses, as well as increasingly frequent nuclear rhetoric from Russian officials and propagandists.
“Altogether, it shows quite clearly that if Russia or Belarus saw any chance to attack Poland to destroy an obstacle to restoring the Soviet or Tsarist Russian empire in Eastern Europe, they would do it without hesitation,” the diplomat said.
The diplomat added that Tomczyk therefore had “quite solid bases to state his prediction,” while stressing that the concern was not rooted in hostility toward ordinary Russians.
“We want to have Russia as a good neighbor, business partner. We would like to host their tourists. We want to have a cultural exchange with them,” the diplomat said. “But they — at least the imperialists who are the foundation of the Putin administration — would like to turn Poland, the Baltics and, of course, Ukraine back into their colonial part of Europe.”
UKRAINE POUNDS BLACK SEA FLEET’S ‘LAST MAJOR STRONGHOLD’ WHILE PUTIN FLEXES NAVAL POWER IN PACIFIC
A soldier launches an RQ-35 Heidrun drone used for reconnaissance and artillery fire correction in the Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, on Feb. 22, 2026.(Dmytro Smolienko/Ukrinform/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Retired Air Force Gen. Philip Breedlove, who commanded U.S. European Command and served as NATO’s supreme allied commander Europe from 2013 to 2016, told Fox News Digital that Poland’s warning reflects a concern shared by many former military leaders.
“It’s a problem that many of us are worried about,” Breedlove said. “They’re trying to test the alliance: Is Italy going to go to war? Is Spain going to go to war? There are several places where Russia could try to snatch something. Their goal is to divide and ultimately break up the alliance.”
Breedlove warned Moscow could attempt a provocation calibrated to create uncertainty over whether NATO should respond collectively.
“It is likely that Russia will try to initiate a provocation that is just enough to raise the question of a NATO response,” he said, arguing that Moscow’s objective would be to expose divisions among allies.
NATO’s Article 4 allows members to request consultations when an ally’s territorial integrity, political independence or security is threatened. Article 5 provides for collective defense following an armed attack, although NATO says Article 4 consultations are not a prerequisite for action under Article 5.
The comments follow similar warnings from other eastern-flank governments. The Associated Press reported July 15 that Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda said intelligence pointed to possible limited Russian attacks on critical infrastructure in the Baltics or Poland. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Warsaw was preparing “very intensively for various scenarios,” according to AP. Russia rejected the allegations.
RUSSIA LINKED TO ARSON ATTACKS ON PROPERTIES CONNECTED TO UK PM KEIR STARMER, POLICE SAY
F-16 fighter jets take part in the NATO Air Shielding exercise near the air base in Lask, central Poland, on Oct. 12, 2022.(Radoslaw Jozwiak/AFP via Getty Images)
The warnings came as tensions between Moscow and London escalated Tuesday. Russia’s embassy in Britain threatened unspecified “consequences” after The Times reported British-made drones had been used by Ukraine for long-range strikes inside Russia, according to Reuters on Aug. 18. Britain’s Ministry of Defense did not confirm whether British drones were used, Reuters reported.
“London’s actions will inevitably carry consequences for which it will have to answer,” the Russian Embassy said. The British defense ministry responded that Britain stood “shoulder to shoulder with Ukraine,” according to Reuters.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov escalated the rhetoric later Tuesday, saying Moscow had the right to regard direct British involvement in strikes on Russian territory as participation in the war, according to Reuters on Aug. 18.
Separately, Russian state television host Vladimir Solovyov called for using Russia’s Poseidon weapon against Britain, saying: “Give the British three days to learn to breathe underwater, then hit them with Poseidon,” The Times reported Aug. 18. Poseidon is a nuclear-powered, nuclear-capable underwater weapon that Russia said it successfully tested in October 2025, Reuters reported at the time.
Breedlove described the rhetoric as part of a broader Russian information campaign aimed at coercing Western governments.
US MILITARY BASES ARE ‘ILL-EQUIPPED’ TO STOP DRONE SWARMS, TOP COMMANDER REVEALS AFTER RUBIO’S UAP WARNING
NATO’s largest annual maritime drill, Exercise Dynamic Mariner/Flotex 25, takes place in the Gulf of Cadiz off southern Spain on March 28, 2025.(Burak Akbulut/Anadolu via Getty Images)
“Without question, Russia is fighting an information war and trying to achieve what practitioners call ‘reflexive control’ to try to force NATO capitulation,” Breedlove said.
He argued that Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy, logistics and defense-industrial targets are creating growing pressure on the Kremlin and said President Vladimir Putin may increasingly seek to portray NATO itself as the external enemy.
Breedlove said NATO is capable of facing Russia in a conventional war but warned that the alliance faces a different vulnerability exposed by the conflict in Ukraine.
“What NATO is not ready for — and what the U.S. is not ready for — is the new kind of drone warfare that Russia is waging against Ukraine,” Breedlove said. “Our air defense capabilities in the West are not even close to what is needed for the level of drone warfare that Russia is waging against Ukraine.”
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An F-16 fighter jet takes part in the NATO Air Shielding exercise near the air base in Lask, central Poland, on Oct. 12, 2022.(Radoslaw Jozwiak/AFP via Getty Images)
Fox News Digital reached out to the Russian and British embassies for comment but did not receive responses in time for publication.
Reuters and the Associated Press contributed to this report.
Efrat (Effie) Lachter is a reporter for Fox News Digital with more than 15 years of experience covering conflict, global affairs, human rights and political accountability.She has directed and produced more than 200 documentary segments across more than 40 countries, documenting conflicts, humanitarian crises, corruption, human trafficking, gender-based violence and the human stories behind major world events.
Lachter’s reporting has taken her into conflict zones and crisis areas across the Middle East, Europe, Asia and Africa. Her work has included uncovering human trafficking networks, revealing an ISIS underground torture prison in Syria, documenting the war in Ukraine and interviewing senior political figures and world leaders. She was also among the Western journalists who entered Russia after the war began to bring testimonies from Putin’s opposition. Lachter is the recipient of the 2022 Peres Center for Peace Award and was a 2023–2024 Knight-Wallace Journalism Fellow at the University of Michigan. She also won two Rockower Awards for Excellence in Reporting. She holds a bachelor’s degree in communication and a master’s degree in political science.
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