2026年8月18日 美国东部时间下午6:58 / 福克斯新闻频道
这家现已停业的公司将其伪造的民调称为一项“社会实验”，旨在研究未经核实的民调如何在媒体中传播
作者：保罗·施泰因豪泽 福克斯新闻
洛杉矶市长选举中曝光的虚假民调显示凯伦·巴斯领先
一家公司承认伪造选举民调结果后，洛杉矶市长选举爆出重大民调丑闻。记者威廉·拉·让内斯报道了中位策略公司炮制虚假民调、显示凯伦·巴斯领先一事。该公司称此举是一项短期社会实验，用于研究政治虚假信息的传播。
NEW 你现在可以收听福克斯新闻的文章了！
blob:https://www.foxnews.com/5a9bba3d-a97d-42b5-b750-3aa115b708e3
收听本文
3分钟
一家承认发布了洛杉矶市长选举和威斯康星州民主党州长初选虚假民调的民调机构现已停业。
中位策略公司本周宣布，其发布的显示洛杉矶民主党市长凯伦·巴斯以及威斯康星州民主党州长候选人弗朗西斯卡·洪大幅领先对手的民调均为造假，该公司已关门大吉。
中位策略公司炮制的虚假民调进入了政治信息生态系统，并在社交媒体、部分地方电视新闻节目以及在线新闻媒体中被报道。
“中位策略公司成立的初衷是开展一项短期社会实验，以研究未经独立核实的所谓民调信息如何进入并传播到政治信息生态系统中，”该公司在其网站上发布声明称，“中位策略公司已结束其民调项目，不会再发布额外的民调结果。”
查看最新福克斯新闻中期选举实力排名
洛杉矶市长凯伦·巴斯（右）将与市议员妮提亚·拉曼在该市市长大选的决选中对决。（罗纳尔多·博利亚诺斯/洛杉矶时报 via 盖蒂图片社；贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社 摄）
此外，该公司告诉福克斯新闻，该组织未与任何候选人、政治行动委员会或政党有关联。
中位策略公司最初发布的民调显示，巴斯在洛杉矶市议会成员妮提亚·拉曼面前领先12个百分点。拉曼是6月份市长初选的对手，也是美国民主社会主义者（DSA）成员。该民调称采访了560名洛杉矶居民，误差幅度为4.1%。
巴斯最终在初选中以5个百分点的优势险胜拉曼，以独立候选人身份参选的共和党人斯宾塞·普拉特在这座民主党占主导的城市中位列第三。巴斯与拉曼将在大选中决一胜负。
2026年民主选举：随时关注福克斯新闻选举中心
威斯康星州民主党州长候选人、州议员弗朗西斯卡·洪于2026年8月11日在威斯康星州麦迪逊的初选日投票。（保罗·施泰因豪泽/福克斯新闻）
在威斯康星州，中位策略公司的民调显示，作为州议员兼美国民主社会主义者成员的洪在即将到来的上周初选中领先密尔沃基县行政长官戴维·克劳利20个百分点。这与其他几项显示洪大幅领先的民调结果基本一致。
克劳利最终以微弱优势击败了洪。威斯康星州的选举结果出炉一周前，密歇根州的民调大幅夸大了极左翼候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德相对于更温和派议员黑利·史蒂文斯的领先优势。最终阿卜杜勒以微弱优势险胜史蒂文斯，获得提名。
订阅获取政治新闻简报
威斯康星州民主党州长候选人戴维·克劳利于2026年8月10日在威斯康星州密尔沃基的竞选集会上向支持者致意。（斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社）
与此同时，在上周明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选中，民调低估了进步派副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根相对于更温和派议员安吉·克雷格的领先优势。弗拉纳根最终以约20个百分点的优势拿下参议院提名。
点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP
近期这些错误的民调引发了广泛的媒体关注，并引发了公众对民意调查行业的新一轮批评。
中位策略公司告诉率先报道此事的《洛杉矶时报》，该公司“不希望为相关人员寻求曝光或赞誉，且拒绝接受采访”。
保罗·施泰因豪泽为福克斯新闻横跨全美报道全国竞选活动
Mysterious polling firm behind fake election surveys closes after admitting ‘social experiment’
August 18, 2026 6:58pm EDT / Fox News
The now-shuttered firm called its fabricated surveys a ‘social experiment’ on how unverified polling spreads through media
By Paul Steinhauser Fox News
Fake poll exposed in Los Angeles mayoral race showing Karen Bass leading
A major polling scandal rocks the Los Angeles mayoral race after a firm admits to fabricating poll results. Correspondent William La Jeunesse reports on Median Strategies creating a fake poll showing Karen Bass leading. The company claims the move was a short-term social experiment to study political misinformation.
NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!
blob:https://www.foxnews.com/5a9bba3d-a97d-42b5-b750-3aa115b708e3
Listen to this article
3 min
A polling outfit that admitted surveys it released on the Los Angeles mayor’s race and the Democratic gubernatorial primary in Wisconsin were fake is now out of business.
Median Strategies, the company that released polls indicating Democratic Mayor Karen Bass of Los Angeles and Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong leading their rivals by wide margins, announced this week that the surveys were a hoax and that it has closed its doors.
The fabricated polls by Median Strategies entered the political information ecosystem and were reported on social media, by some local TV newscasts, and online reporting outlets.
“Median Strategies was created as a short-term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification,” the company posted on its website. “Median Strategies has concluded its polling project and will not publish additional polls.”
CHECK OUT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS IN THE MIDTERM RACES
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass, right, will face off with city council member Nithya Raman in city’s general election for mayor.(Ronaldo Bolaños / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images; Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
In addition, the company told Fox News that the organization was not affiliated with any candidate, political action committee, or party.
Median Strategies first released a poll showing Bass with a 12-point lead over Los Angeles City Council member Nithya Raman, a rival in the June mayoral primary and a Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) member. The poll cited the responses of 560 Angelenos, with a 4.1% margin of error.
Bass ended up edging Raman by 5 points in the primary, with Republican Spencer Pratt, who was running as an independent in the Democrat-dominated city, coming in third. The mayor and Raman will face off in the general election.
DEMOCRACY ’26: STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE FOX NEWS ELECTION HUB
Democratic gubernatorial candidate state Rep. Francesca Hong of Wisconsin arrives to vote on Primary Day, in Madison, Wisconsin on August 11, 2026.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
In Wisconsin, a Median Strategies survey indicated Hong, a state representative and a DSA member, leading Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley by 20 points ahead of last week’s primary. It was largely in line with a couple of other public opinion polls that indicated Hong with a large lead.
Crowley ended up defeating Hong by a razor-thin margin. The result in Wisconsin came a week after polls in Michigan widely inflated far-left candidate Abdul El-Sayed’s lead over more moderate Rep. Haley Stevens. Abdul ended up edging Stevens by a narrow margin to win the nomination.
SIGN UP TO GET THE POLITICS NEWSLETTER
Democratic Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate David Crowley greets supporters at a campaign rally on August 10, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.(Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Meanwhile, in last week’s Democratic Senate primary in Minnesota, polls underestimated progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s lead over more moderate Rep. Angie Craig. Flanagan ended up capturing the Senate nomination by roughly 20 points.
CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP
The incorrect surveys in recent weeks grabbed widespread media attention, and sparked fresh criticism of public opinion polling.
Median Strategies told the Los Angeles Times, which was first to report the story, that it was “not seeking publicity or attribution for the individuals involved and are declining interviews.”
Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News
发表回复