2026年8月14日 美国东部时间下午4:31 / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
作者：霍尔姆斯·莱布兰德
发布于2026年8月14日 美国东部时间下午4:31
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普当地时间周五在顶级执法官员的陪同下，借联邦调查局2025年犯罪报告之际，大肆宣扬谋杀及其他犯罪率的显著下降。
根据该机构的报告，继2020年代新冠疫情在美国蔓延导致犯罪率飙升后，谋杀率目前已处于1950年代以来的低位。
根据联邦调查局和独立机构的数据，这一下降趋势在2026年仍在持续，今年上半年谋杀、暴力犯罪和抢劫率继续走低。
“我很高兴地宣布，联邦调查局刚刚发布了新的统一犯罪报告，显示我们在2025年实现了美国历史上规模最大的暴力犯罪降幅，”特朗普在纽约长岛的一场活动上表示。“相当惊人。而且去年的谋杀案数量比我就职前一年减少了3100多起。”
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特朗普及其包括联邦调查局局长卡什·帕特尔在内的官员将犯罪率下降归功于本届政府向美国各地城市增派联邦资源的举措，以及帕特尔经常提及的“让好警察放手执法”的政策。
但其他人对于犯罪率下降的原因则不那么武断——事实上，犯罪率早在特朗普第二任期开始前就已经持续走低。
无党派智库刑事司法委员会主席亚当·盖尔布在周四发布其针对2025年犯罪率的报告时表示，美国犯罪率迎来这场可喜的下降，其原因“像一杯牛奶一样清晰”。
“凶杀案降幅是历史性的，也确凿无疑。但目前来说，究竟是什么因素推动了这一下降，却像一杯牛奶一样不明朗，”盖尔布说。“在公共安全策略、经济状况和政治领导层截然不同的城市，犯罪率都在下降。这种全国范围内的一致性应该让我们保持谨慎，在证据充分之前，不要将功劳轻易归于某一位领导人、某个政党、某项政策或某个项目。”
对于一个超过3.4亿人口的国家来说，没有任何单一原因可以轻易解释犯罪率的下降。刑事司法委员会的研究人员告诉CNN，一系列可能的影响因素包括刑事司法执法方式的转变、社会和文化变革以及技术进步，这些都可能促成了犯罪率的下降。
特朗普则表示，包括帕特尔和新获任命的司法部长托德·布兰奇在内的本届政府理应获得这份功劳。
“不妨说他们领导不力，比如芝加哥的领导就非常糟糕。但我们的犯罪数字下降，是因为联邦政府的作为，”特朗普周五说道。“他们总想包揽所有功劳，但人人都知道我们做得非常出色。美国检察官、联邦调查局、所有人，还有卡什和托德，他们表现得难以置信。”
Murder is at lowest rate since the 1950s. Trump touts it as a personal success.
2026-08-14 4:31 PM ET / CNN
By Holmes Lybrand
PUBLISHED Aug 14, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
President Donald Trump, surrounded by his top law enforcement officials, touted Friday the significant drop in murder and other crimes following the FBI’s 2025 crime report.
The murder rate is now at lows not seen since the 1950s, according to the agency’s report, following a downward trend since the numbers spiked in the 2020s, as the Covid pandemic took hold of the US.
The trend is continuing in 2026, with murder, violent crime, and robbery rates continuing to drop in the first half of the year, according to data from the FBI and independent organizations.
US President Donald Trump holds a printed-out article as he speaks to the members of the media after disembarking Marine One, before boarding Air Force One, at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, August 14
Ken Cedeno/Reuters
“I’m thrilled to announce that the FBI has just released a new Uniform Crime Report showing that in 2025 we achieved the single largest reduction in violent crime in American history,” Trump said at an event Friday on Long Island, New York. “Pretty amazing. And last year there were over 3,100 fewer murders than the year before I took office.”
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Trump and his officials, including FBI Director Kash Patel, have pointed to the administration’s efforts to surge federal resources to cities across the US and, in a refrain used often by Patel, letting “good cops be cops.”
Others are less dogmatic about the cause of declining crime rates, which have been dropping since before Trump’s second term began.
What has caused this welcomed decline in crime across the US is “as clear as a glass of milk,” Adam Gelb, the president of the nonpartisan think tank Council on Criminal Justice said in releasing its own report Thursday on 2025 crime rates.
“The homicide drop is historic and crystal clear. But right now, what’s driving it is about as clear as a glass of milk,” Gelb said. “Rates are falling in cities with very different public safety strategies, economic conditions, and political leadership. The consistency across the map should make us cautious about handing credit to any one leader, party, policy, or program before the evidence catches up.”
While no single cause can easily explain the decline across a country of over 340 million people, researchers at CCJ told CNN that a range of possible influences include changes in how criminal justice is enforced as well as societal and culture change and technological advances have likely all contributed to the decrease.
Trump says his administration, including Patel and newly confirmed Attorney General Todd Blanche, are deserving of the credit.
“Let’s say they don’t have good leadership, like Chicago has very bad leadership. But we have the numbers down because of what the federal government’s doing,” Trump said Friday. “They like to take all the credit, but everyone knows we’ve done an amazing job. The US attorneys and the FBI, all the people, Kash, and Todd has been unbelievable.”
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