分析师称:伊朗支持的胡塞武装在红海的威胁或促使美国重大政策转向


前美国将军表示:“胡塞武装可能迫使美国调整非洲战略”

2026-08-12T09:15:09-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
作者:保罗·蒂尔斯利,福克斯新闻

发布时间:2026年8月12日 美国东部时间上午9:15 | 更新时间:2026年8月12日 美国东部时间上午6:00

伊朗支持的胡塞武装再度袭击中东关键航运通道

福克斯新闻首席国家安全记者詹妮弗·格里芬在《新闻直播间》节目中解读了伊朗支持的胡塞武装在曼德海峡发动袭击如何可能使美国在中东的军事行动复杂化。

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约翰内斯堡: 随着伊朗支持的胡塞武装加大对红海航运的威胁,分析师表示,美国可能考虑大幅调整战略。
胡塞武装对途经这一关键咽喉要道的船只发动袭击,可能促使华盛顿巩固与非洲沿海更可靠伙伴的关系。
索马里兰是一个亲美国的前哨基地,1991年从饱受战乱的索马里分离出来,目前正向美国提供非洲最长跑道之一、一处空军基地以及红海沿岸的一个深水港。

伊朗及其恐怖代理胡塞武装面临亲美非洲国家的红海威胁

曼德海峡航拍图,这条连接印度洋与地中海、经苏伊士运河的海上航线
胡塞武装誓言关闭曼德海峡——这条狭窄水道每日承载沙特阿拉伯多达700万桶石油出口,如今霍尔木兹海峡的通航已受到严格限制。据报道,过去一个月在红海,胡塞武装袭击了沙特籍船只,据称击沉了一艘印度商业货轮,8月13日一艘埃及货轮遭袭,船上至少四名船员丧生。

美国在红海的吉布提已经拥有一处大型军事基地,但据称该基地的问题日益凸显。“中国正在大幅扩张其在吉布提的军事和商业存在,”埃德蒙·菲顿-布朗此前告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
菲顿-布朗曾担任英国驻胡塞武装根据地也门的大使,现任国防民主基金会高级研究员,他补充道:“人们普遍认为吉布提不是美国可靠的盟友。因此,索马里兰的时代或许已经到来。”
去年从美国陆军部西非协调小组负责人岗位退休的肯·埃克曼少将表示,简言之,胡塞武装可能迫使美国承认索马里兰为独立国家。“胡塞武装可能迫使美国调整其在非洲的战略。”

特朗普威胁:若未来胡塞武装发动袭击,将对伊朗实施“重大军事惩罚”

这张手截视频截图显示2023年11月20日也门胡塞武装在也门荷台达附近红海沿岸接管“银河领袖”号货轮
埃克曼表示,胡塞武装正在这场中东冲突中开辟第二条战线。“这分散了美国的注意力,拉长了我们的军事资产战线,”他补充道。

“胡塞武装有自己的战略。他们正在测试美国的军事能力,很可能会在美国对霍尔木兹海峡的影响力减弱时采取大规模行动。”
他表示,近期美国非洲司令部(AFRICOM)一直专注于应对陆地威胁。“迄今为止,我们的非洲战略是由针对非洲境内基地组织和ISIS关联恐怖组织的反恐任务驱动的。”
他继续说道:“这些组织对美国本土构成的威胁有限,且并非迫在眉睫。总体而言,迄今为止红海基地更多是为了应对东非危机、对抗和制衡俄罗斯与中国。”

随着圣战分子接近掌权,这个非洲国家会成为特朗普的下一个恐怖打击目标吗?

2025年11月26日,美国非洲司令部(AFRICOM)司令达格文·安德森空军上将在索马里兰哈尔格萨与索马里兰总统阿卜杜拉赫曼·穆罕默德·阿卜杜拉希会面
此次会面是安德森将军东非之行的一部分,他此行旨在与各国政府和国防领导人会晤,通过互信接触、强化合作和协调一致的安全优先事项,加强美国应对恐怖主义的战略方法。

埃克曼补充道:“将之角战略转向针对胡塞武装,将把航行自由置于优先地位。索马里兰地理位置邻近,能够克服吉布提和中东其他地区伙伴带来的一些限制。”
美国非洲司令部司令达格文·安德森空军上将也曾发出警告,暗示对索马里兰的邻国兼竞争对手索马里存在不满和挫败感。
在最近接受一名索马里记者采访时,他被问及美国是否正在撤离索马里并抛弃该国。

安德森表示,美国并未抛弃索马里,多年来一直致力于该国建设,并指出其反恐部队“丹纳布”(DANAB)取得的成功,称其是“非洲大陆上能力最强的部队之一”。他指出,“维持这支部队的责任在于索马里……需要建设并继续提升其效能,使其能够按设计初衷用于打击恐怖主义。”

2026年2月18日黄昏时分的柏培拉港全景,该港是索马里兰商业首都柏培拉的官方海港
当被问及索马里政府显然无力果断应对伊斯兰青年党恐怖分子时,安德森似乎暗示可能撤回部分乃至全部军事支持。“如果索马里站出来,政府发挥带头作用,我们将继续留在那里,因为这符合双方的共同利益。”
他继续说道:“但如果我们看不到这一点,政治不稳定和内斗持续下去,那么我们将很难继续保持参与。”
《长战日报》编辑比尔·罗吉奥表示,华盛顿对摩加迪沙感到不满,但目前还不足以让美国转而支持索马里兰。
他告诉福克斯新闻数字频道:“美国已经表达了对索马里政府普遍存在的腐败、与地方和区域政府以及各部落之间内斗的不满。然而,全面承认索马里兰独立将在美国与索马里之间造成重大裂痕。”

2025年8月美军在索马里结束针对ISIS的行动
罗吉奥并未排除美国在索马里兰开设第二个红海基地的可能性,他表示:“与索马里兰潜在基地相比,位于吉布提的勒莫尼耶营美军在地理上更适合威慑胡塞武装封锁曼德海峡话虽如此,在军事行动中,冗余(后备计划)是件好事。”
“美国需要非洲沿海地区的可靠伙伴,”索马里兰驻美国代表巴希尔·戈特告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。

戈特表示:“索马里兰就是这样的伙伴,我们的国防官员一直在与美国非洲司令部就红海安全问题进行积极对话。索马里兰拥有地理优势、稳定局势的能力以及与华盛顿密切合作的意愿——并将继续如此。”

特朗普称伊朗将付出代价——结束战争的具体途径仍不明朗

2026年4月6日,也门萨那,一名胡塞武装支持者在亲伊朗示威活动中观望着,美以与伊朗的冲突仍在持续
官方层面,美国仍站在索马里一边,而非索马里兰。
美国国务院发言人告诉福克斯新闻数字频道:“在必要且适当的情况下,美国与索马里及国际合作伙伴合作,应对索马里境内的恐怖威胁,以保护美国的国家安全利益。”
在红海地区,沙特阿拉伯与其他13个国家建立了一个新的海上防御联盟,以应对胡塞武装的威胁。至少在公开场合,美国并未加入该联盟。
当被问及此事时,美国国务院发言人告诉福克斯新闻数字频道:“美国坚定支持沙特阿拉伯王国对抗胡塞武装的恐怖主义行为。我们与沙特盟友保持密切磋商,并继续致力于保障他们的安全。”

不过,美国似乎确实在加强与索马里兰的互动。美国非洲司令部司令安德森上周再次访问了索马里兰,官方声明称他“前往港口城市柏培拉,评估安全环境并审查该港口的运营能力”。

2026年8月2日,索马里兰国防部长穆罕默德·优素福·阿里率领代表团在德国斯图加特的美国非洲司令部总部会见美方人员,双方讨论了红海安全问题
同一周,据报道美国在德国斯图加特的美国非洲司令部总部接待了由该国国防部长率领的索马里兰代表团,双方据报道再次讨论了红海安全问题。

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保罗·蒂尔斯利是一名资深记者,三十多年来在四大洲进行报道。他目前驻南非约翰内斯堡,可在X平台关注他:@paultilsley。

Iran-backed Houthi threat in Red Sea could lead to major US policy shift, analysts say

Former US general says ‘The Houthis could compel a different US strategy in Africa’

2026-08-12T09:15:09-04:00 / Fox News

By Paul Tilsley, Fox News

Published August 12, 2026 9:15am EDT | Updated August 12, 2026 6:00am EDT

Iran-backed Houthis target another strategic Middle East shipping route

Fox News chief national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin explains how attacks by Iran-backed Houthis in the Bab el-Mandab Strait could complicate U.S. military operations in the Middle East on ‘The Story.’

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JOHANNESBURG: As the Iran-backed Houthis step up their threat to Red Sea shipping, analysts say the U.S. could consider a major change in strategy.

Houthi attacks on ships passing through a vital chokepoint may lead Washington to cement relations with more reliable partners along Africa’s coastline.

Somaliland is a pro-U.S. outpost, having broken away from war-torn Somalia in 1991, and is offering the U.S. the use of one of the longest runways in Africa, an air base and a deep sea port on the Red Sea.

IRAN AND HOUTHI TERROR PROXY FACING RED SEA THREAT FROM PRO-US AFRICAN NATION

An aerial view of The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a sea route connecting the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea via the Suez Canal.(Gallo Images/Orbital Horizon/Copernicus Sentinel Data 2021)

The Houthis have vowed to close the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, a narrow waterway through which Saudi Arabia exports up to 7 million barrels of oil a day, now that access to the Strait of Hormuz is severely restricted. In the past month in the Red Sea, the Houthis have reportedly attacked Saudi-flagged ships, are said to have sunk an Indian commercial cargo vessel and, on Aug. 13, an Egyptian cargo ship was hit, with at least four of its crew killed.

The U.S. already has a large military base on the Red Sea in Djibouti, but this is claimed to be increasingly problematic. “China is significantly expanding its military and commercial presence in Djibouti,” Edmund Fitton-Brown previously told Fox News Digital.

Fitton-Brown, the former British ambassador to the Houthis’ home country, Yemen, and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, (FDD), added, “There is a sense that Djibouti is not a reliable ally for the U.S. So Somaliland’s time has probably come.”

Major General Ken Ekman, who retired last year from being the Department of War’s West Africa Coordination Element Lead, said, in essence, the Houthis could force the U.S. into recognizing Somaliland as an independent state. “The Houthis could compel a different U.S. strategy in Africa.”

TRUMP THREATENS ‘MAJOR MILITARY PUNISHMENT’ FOR IRAN OVER FUTURE HOUTHI ATTACKS

This handout screen grab captured from a video shows Yemen’s Houthi fighters’ takeover of the Galaxy Leader Cargo in the Red Sea coast off Hudaydah, on Nov. 20, 2023 in the Red Sea, Yemen.(Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images)

Ekman said the Houthis are building up a second front in this Middle East conflict. “It distracts the U.S. and stretches our assets,” he added.

“The Houthis have a strategy of their own. They are testing U.S. military ability, and are likely to pull the trigger in a major way when Iranian influence in the Strait of Hormuz wanes in leverage.”

He said that recently the U.S. Africa Command, AFRICOM, has concentrated on looking at land-based threats. “To date, our Africa strategy is driven by counterterrorism missions against Islamist al Qaeda and ISIS-linked groups based in Africa.”

He continued, “These groups pose a limited and not immediate threat to the U.S. homeland. Overall, Red Sea basing to date has focused more on crisis response in East Africa, countering and competing against Russia and China.”

COULD THIS AFRICAN NATION BECOME TRUMP’S NEXT TERROR TARGET AS JIHADISTS CLOSE IN ON POWER?

U.S. Air Force Gen. Dagvin Anderson, commander, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM), meets with President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, president of Somaliland, in Hargeisa, Somaliland, on Nov. 26, 2025. The meeting was part of Gen. Anderson’s trip in East Africa to meet with government and defense leaders to strengthen America’s strategic approach to confronting terrorism through mutual engagement, stronger cooperation, and aligned security priorities.(U.S. Army photo by Cpt. Ubon Mendie)

Ekman added, “orienting a Horn of Africa strategy against the Houthis would place a premium on freedom of navigation. Somaliland is proximate and overcomes some of the limitations imposed by other regional hosts like Djibouti and Middle East partners.”

Limitations and an apparent sense of frustration with Somalia, Somaliland’s neighbor and rival, have been expressed in a warning from U.S. Air Force Gen. Dagvin Anderson, commander of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM).

In a recent interview with a Somali journalist, he was asked whether the U.S. was pulling out of the nation and turning its back on it.

Anderson said the U.S. has not turned its back on Somalia, having been committed to the country for several years, he noted the success of its counterterrorism group known as DANAB, which he said is “one of the most capable forces on the continent.” He noted that “it was up to Somalia to sustain that force… to build it and continue to make it effective going into the future and use it as it was designed to counter terrorism.”

A general view of the Berbera Port at dusk, the official seaport of Berbera, the commercial capital of Somaliland, on Feb. 18, 2026.(Tony Karumba / AFP via Getty Images)

Referring to the Somali government’s apparent lack of ability to deal decisively with Islamist al-Shabab terrorists, Anderson seemingly hinted at pulling some or even all military support. “If Somalia steps up and the government steps up and takes the lead on this, we will continue to be there because there is mutual interest.”

He continued, “But if we can’t see that in, the political instability and political infighting continues, then it’s going to be very hard for us to continue to stay engaged.”

Bill Roggio, editor of the Long War Journal, said Washington is fed up with Mogadishu, but currently not enough for the U.S. to change allegiance to Somaliland.

He told Fox News Digital, “The U.S. has expressed displeasure with the Somali government’s rampant corruption and internal infighting with local and regional governments, and with various clans. However, full recognition of Somaliland independence would create a major rift between the U.S. and Somalia.”

U.S. forces conclude an operation targeting ISIS in Somalia in August 2025.(Hannah Kantner/AFRICOM)

Roggio didn’t rule out the U.S. operating a second Red Sea base in Somaliland, saying “U.S. forces situated at Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti are far better situated geographically to deter the Houthis from shutting down the Bab el Mandeb Strait than a potential base in Somaliland. That being said, redundancy (back up plan) is a good thing in military operations.”

“The United States needs reliable partners on Africa’s coastline,” Bashir Goth, Somaliland Representative to the United States, told Fox News Digital.

Goth said, “Somaliland is that partner and our defense officials have been in active dialogue with AFRICOM on Red Sea security. Somaliland has the geography, the stability and the will to work closely with Washington — and will continue to do so.”

TRUMP SAYS IRAN WILL PAY — WHAT IT TAKES TO END THE WAR REMAINS UNCLEAR

A Houthi follower looks on, during a pro-Iran demonstration, as the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continues, in Sanaa, Yemen April 6, 2026.(Khaled Abdullah/Reuters)

Officially, the U.S. still stands with Somalia, in preference to Somaliland.

A State Department spokesperson told Fox News Digital, “The United States works with Somali and international partners to address terrorist threats in Somalia when necessary and appropriate to protect U.S. national security interests.”

In the Red Sea, Saudi Arabia and 13 other nations established a new maritime defense coalition to combat the Houthi threat. Publicly, at least, the U.S. is not part of this coalition.

Responding to questioning on this issue, a State Department spokesperson told Fox News Digital, “The United States stands firmly with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia against Houthi terrorism. We are in close consultation with our Saudi allies and remain committed to their security.”

The U.S. does appear though to be stepping up interaction with Somaliland. AFRICOM Commander Anderson again visited Somaliland this past week, with an official statement saying he “traveled to the port city of Berbera to assess the security environment and review the port’s operational capacity.”

Somaliland’s Minister of Defense Mohamned Yusuf Ali led a delegation to meet U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) at their headquarters in Stuttgart, Germany, Aug 2. Red Sea security was discussed.(Somaliland Ministry of Defence)

In the same week, the U.S. reportedly hosted a delegation of Somalilanders led by the state’s defense minister at AFRICOM HQ in Stuttgart, Germany, where Red Sea security was reportedly again discussed.

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AFRICOM and the Department of War did not respond to Fox News Digital requests for information about the visits.

Paul Tilsley is a veteran correspondent who has reported from four continents for more than three decades. Based in Johannesburg, South Africa, he can be followed on X @paultilsley.

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