无党派选民以5个百分点的优势支持共和党候选人，民社党在全州范围内支持率为负
2026年8月12日 美国东部时间9:31 / 福克斯新闻
作者：格雷格·诺曼-戴蒙德
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布鲁斯·布莱克曼抨击州长凯西·霍楚尔在中期选举前转向极左翼立场
纽约州州长候选人布鲁斯·布莱克曼做客《周日晨间展望》，讨论纽约州州长凯西·霍楚尔的极左翼政策转向、与佛罗里达州的预算对比以及进步派势力在纽约政坛的崛起。
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根据周三发布的锡耶纳大学最新民调，纽约州民主党州长凯西·霍楚尔对共和党候选人布鲁斯·布莱克曼的领先优势正在缩小，同时纽约州可能选民对美国民主社会主义者协会的支持率为负，仅为30%对47%。
距离选举日仅剩不到三个月，在可能投票的纽约州州长选举选民中，霍楚尔以49%比39%领先布莱克曼，较6月针对登记选民的同题民调结果（52%比32%）有所下滑。
锡耶纳民调负责人史蒂文·格林伯格在一份声明中表示：“四年前的这个时候，也就是2022年8月，霍楚尔刚结束她担任州长的第一年，她以53%比39%领先对手、前共和党国会议员（现任美国环保署署长）李·泽尔丁14个百分点，最终最终以53%比47%的6个百分点优势赢得选举。”
现任拿骚县行政长官布莱克曼周三在给福克斯新闻数字频道的一份声明中表示：“我们过去两个月看到的所有民调都显示，我们与凯西·霍楚尔几乎势均力敌，”“这次民调一贯不准，现在依然不准。”
霍楚尔称斯特凡尼克会是比特朗普更难对付的共和党对手，惊鸿一瞥抨击对手
拿骚县行政长官布鲁斯·布莱克曼（左）与纽约州州长凯西·霍楚尔。（NDZ/Star Max/GC Images/Getty Images；Alexander MacDougall/奥尔巴尼时报联盟 via Getty Images）
“我们都清楚，她也清楚这场竞选势均力敌。凯西·霍楚尔迫切希望人们相信她遥遥领先，但她自己也清楚，高额税收、飙升的电费和日益严重的犯罪已经让她成为美国最差州长，”布莱克曼补充道。
最新锡耶纳大学民调于8月3日至6日进行，受访对象为811名纽约州可能选民，完成全部问卷的受访者整体误差幅度为±4.6个百分点。
福克斯新闻数字频道已联系霍楚尔的竞选团队置评。
锡耶纳民调发现，可能选民认为霍楚尔在为普通纽约民众负担得起物价方面比布莱克曼做得更好，支持率为48%比41%；在增加经济适用房供应方面，她的支持率为51%比35%。
纽约州警长“怒不可遏”，霍楚尔推动取缔关键执法合作
2025年10月26日，时任纽约市长候选人佐赫兰·姆达姆尼与州长凯西·霍楚尔在纽约皇后区森林山体育场举行的“纽约不卖”集会上牵手。（路透社/爱德华多·穆尼奥斯）
据锡耶纳研究所民调显示，受访者在保障纽约州民众安全这一议题上分歧更大，霍楚尔以47%比44%领先；在解决该州无证移民问题上，她以45%比44%小幅领先。
“不出所料，两位候选人都牢牢守住了各自的党派基本盘：霍楚尔在民主党选民中以80%比8%领先，布莱克曼在共和党选民中以84%比9%领先。可能投票的无党派选民以微弱的5个百分点优势支持布莱克曼，45%比40%，”格林伯格说。
“霍楚尔在纽约市以64%比19%的巨大优势领先，但在下州郊区以41%比49%落后布莱克曼8个百分点。她在北部地区、男性选民和白人选民中几乎势均力敌；霍楚尔在女性、拉丁裔和黑人选民中拥有大幅领先优势，”他补充道。
布鲁斯·布莱克曼，拿骚县行政长官、纽约州州长共和党候选人，旨在击败民主党州长凯西·霍楚尔，并已获得唐纳德·特朗普总统的背书。（维克多·J·布鲁/彭博社/盖蒂图片社）
锡耶纳研究所还表示，此次民调首次向选民询问了关于美国民主社会主义者协会的问题。这个进步派政治团体一直在全美选举中施加影响力，其成员佐赫兰·姆达姆尼于去年赢得纽约市长选举。
民调发现，该团体的支持率为负。
“民主党人对民社党持正面看法，50%比21%，而82%的共和党人和57%的无党派人士对民社党持负面看法，”锡耶纳研究所表示。
福克斯新闻数字频道的丹妮尔·华莱士为本报道贡献了内容。
格雷格·诺曼是福克斯新闻数字频道记者。
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6403111066112
Blakeman cuts into Hochul’s New York governor’s race lead in new poll, as likely voters give DSA judgment
Independent voters favor the Republican by five points while the DSA receives a negative favorability rating statewide
August 12, 2026 9:31am EDT / Fox News
By Greg Norman-Diamond
Video
Bruce Blakeman slams Gov Kathy Hochul’s far-left pivot ahead of midterms
New York gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman joins ‘Sunday Morning Futures’ to discuss New York Gov. Kathy Hochul’s far-left policy shift, budget comparisons with Florida and the rise of progressive influence in New York politics.
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New York Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul’s lead over Republican candidate Bruce Blakeman is slipping, according to a new Siena University poll released Wednesday, as likely voters in New York also gave a negative 30-47% favorability rating to the Democratic Socialists of America.
With under three months to go until Election Day, Hochul leads Blakeman 49-39% among likely New York State gubernatorial voters, down from 52-32% when registered voters were asked the same question in June.
“At this point four years ago, August 2022, when Hochul was just finishing her first year as governor, she led her opponent, former Republican Congressman (and current EPA Administrator) Lee Zeldin by 14 points, 53-39%, before going on to ultimately win the election by six points, 53-47%,” Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.
Blakeman, who is the current Nassau County executive, said in a statement provided to Fox News Digital on Wednesday that “All of the polls we have seen in the last two months have us virtually tied with Kathy Hochul,” and, “This poll is always off and continues to be off.”
HOCHUL SAYS STEFANIK WOULD’VE BEEN TOUGHER GOP OPPONENT THAN BLAKEMAN IN SURPRISING SWIPE AT RIVAL
Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, left, and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul.(NDZ/Star Max/GC Images/Getty Images; Alexander MacDougall/Albany Times Union via Getty Images)
“We know and she knows this race is neck and neck. Kathy Hochul is desperate for people to believe that she is way ahead when she knows that her high taxes, soaring electric bills, and increased crime have made her the worst governor in America,” Blakeman added.
The latest Siena University Poll was conducted between Aug. 3–6 among 811 New York likely voters, with an overall margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points for those who answered the entire survey.
Fox News Digital has reached out to Hochul’s campaign for comment.
The Siena poll found that likely voters believe Hochul will do a better job than Blakeman on making prices more affordable for average New Yorkers, 48–41%, and increasing the supply of affordable housing, 51–35%.
NEW YORK SHERIFFS ‘MAD AS HELL’ AS HOCHUL PUSHES TO BAN KEY LAW ENFORCEMENT PARTNERSHIP
Then-New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul hold hands on stage as they attend a “New York is Not For Sale” rally at Forest Hills Stadium, in the Queens borough of New York City, on Oct. 26, 2025.(Reuters/Eduardo Munoz)
Respondents were more divided over the issues of keeping New Yorkers safe, where Hochul led 47-44%, and addressing undocumented immigrants living in the state, where she was ahead 45-44%, according to the Siena Research Institute.
“Not surprisingly, both candidates are holding on to their partisan bases, as Hochul leads among Democrats 80-8% and Blakeman leads among Republicans 84-9%. Likely independent voters favor Blakeman by a narrow five-point margin, 45–40%,” Greenberg said.
“Hochul holds a commanding 64-19% lead in New York City, but trails Blakeman in the downstate suburbs by eight points, 49-41%. They are running virtually even in upstate, as well as among men and with white voters; Hochul has large leads with women, Latinos and Black voters,” he added.
Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive and Republican candidate for New York governor, who is running to unseat Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and has secured President Donald Trump’s endorsement.(Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg/Getty Images)
The Siena Research Institute also said it asked voters about the Democratic Socialists of America for the first time. The progressive political group has been exerting its influence on elections across America, with member Zohran Mamdani winning the New York City mayoral race last year.
The poll found that the group had a negative favorability rating.
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“Democrats view the DSA favorably, 50–21%, while 82% of Republicans and 57% of independents have an unfavorable view of the DSA,” the Siena Research Institute said.
Fox News Digital’s Danielle Wallace contributed to this report.
Greg Norman is a reporter at Fox News Digital.
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6403111066112
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