2026年8月5日 / 美国东部时间早上6:45 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
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距离中期选举还有90天,众议院民主党正在扩大他们认为今年秋季有可能拿下的共和党掌控的国会选区版图。
众议院民主党政治分支——民主党国会竞选委员会周三宣布,将12个新的共和党掌控选区加入其“竞争选区”名单,使该党瞄准的共和党席位总数达到58个。这份名单可能会透露民主党计划投入大量资金的竞选选区,以期夺回众议院控制权。
民主党新锁定的目标包括众议员劳伦·博伯特所在的科罗拉多州选区——博伯特2024年仅以微弱优势11个百分点胜出,以及众议员杰夫·赫德所在的选区,赫德以5个百分点的优势获胜。北卡罗来纳州众议员理查德·哈德森——全国共和党国会委员会主席,两年前以超过18个百分点的优势胜出,此次也出现在这份名单上。
其他目标还包括:阿肯色州众议员弗朗斯·希尔,他是众议院金融服务委员会颇具影响力的主席,2024年仅以不到18个百分点的优势获胜;以及印第安纳州众议员维多利亚·斯帕茨,她上一次竞选以近19个百分点的优势胜出。
民主党国会竞选委员会表示,此次最新扩编反映了他们眼中对民主党有利的政治环境,并提及了近期的民调结果和选民热情。
“众议院民主党正在将战场大幅拓展至特朗普的地盘,因为我们拥有旨在建设‘负担得起的美国’的制胜纲领,”民主党国会竞选委员会主席众议员苏珊·德尔贝恩在一份声明中说道。“与此同时,那些过去自认为‘席位稳固’的MAGA共和党人,辜负了他们当选时要代表的选民。”
众议院民主党人的目标选区目前覆盖二十多个州,从竞争激烈的郊区选区到特朗普2024年轻松拿下的选区都有涵盖。其中还包括4个此前由共和党掌控的空缺席位。
与此同时,全国共和党国会委员会在两周前新增7个选区后,目前正瞄准36个选区。这些目标包括华盛顿州、德克萨斯州、弗吉尼亚州和俄亥俄州历来竞争激烈的选区,以及多个近期经过重新划分的选区。全国共和党国会委员会目标名单上的多个民主党众议院席位,在2024年大选中被特朗普拿下。
“处境脆弱的众议院民主党人正疲于捍卫一项极不受欢迎的政绩和激进的社会主义议程,”哈德森上个月在一份声明中说道。
共和党目前掌控着微弱的众议院多数席位,仅能承受丢失两个席位而不至于将众议院控制权拱手让给民主党。双方预计都将在未来三个月内,向数量有限的关键竞选选区投入数亿美元资金。
许多民主党人认为,全国性的政治环境可能对他们有利。从历史来看,在任总统所在的政党几乎总会在中期选举中丢失席位,而民调显示选民对特朗普政府的不满情绪日益高涨,包括其对生活成本问题和伊朗战争的处理方式。
上周发布的哥伦比亚广播公司新闻民调显示,47%的美国成年人希望明年民主党掌控国会,而希望共和党继续掌控国会的比例为40%。
但共和党人指出,许多选民也对民主党的经济和移民政策持怀疑态度,且前总统乔·拜登去年卸任时的支持率低迷。共和党还试图利用民主党联盟内部温和派与进步派之间时常激化的分歧。
今年的众议院选举还因中期重新划分选区的行动受到冲击:去年夏天,在特朗普的授意下,德克萨斯州共和党人重新划分了德克萨斯州的众议院选区,将5个民主党选区推向更保守的立场。加利福尼亚州随即做出回应,将本州5个共和党掌控的选区向更保守方向调整,但其他多个红色州重新划分选区版图的举动,实则进一步挤压了民主党人的空间。
全国共和党国会委员会的多个目标选区都是德克萨斯州、密苏里州、佛罗里达州、阿拉巴马州和路易斯安那州新近重新划分的选区。但民主党人认为,这场重新划分选区的混战,反而可能通过让一些共和党掌控的选区没那么“红”,为他们创造拿下席位的机会。
House Democrats targeting 12 new GOP-held districts, including Lauren Boebert and NRCC Chair Richard Hudson’s seats
August 5, 2026 / 6:45 AM EDT / CBS News
By
With 90 days until the midterm elections, House Democrats are expanding the map of Republican-held congressional districts they believe they can potentially flip this fall.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, House Democrats’ political arm, announced the addition of 12 new Republican-held districts to its “Districts in Play” list Wednesday, bringing the total number of GOP-held seats the party is targeting to 58. The list could offer clues for which races Democrats plan to spend heavily on as they aim to gain control of the House.
Democrats’ new targets include the Colorado seats held by Rep. Lauren Boebert, who won by just over 11 points in 2024, and Rep. Jeff Hurd, who won by five points. North Carolina Rep. Richard Hudson, who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, also appears on the list, after he won by more than 18 points two years ago.
Other targets: Reps. French Hill of Arkansas, the influential chair of the House Financial Services Committee who won by just under 18 points in 2024, and Rep. Victoria Spartz of Indiana, who won her last race by almost 19 points.
The DCCC said its latest expansion reflects what it views as a favorable political environment for Democrats, pointing to recent polling and voter enthusiasm.
“House Democrats are expanding the battlefield deep into Trump terrain because we have a winning message focused on fighting for an Affordable America,” DCCC Chair Rep. Suzan DelBene said in a statement. “At the same time, MAGA Republicans who historically have considered themselves ‘safe’ have let down the people they were elected to represent.”
House Democrats’ target list now spans more than two dozen states and ranges from battleground suburban seats to districts President Trump carried comfortably in 2024. It also includes four open seats that were held by Republicans.
Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting 36 districts, after adding seven to its roster two weeks ago. Those include perennially close districts in Washington, Texas, Virginia and Ohio, as well as several recently redistricted seats. Several of the Democratic House seats on the NRCC’s target list were won by Mr. Trump in 2024.
“Vulnerable House Democrats are stuck defending a wildly unpopular record and a radical socialist agenda,” Hudson said in a statement last month.
Republicans are defending a razor-thin House majority, and can afford to lose just two seats without ceding control of the lower chamber to Democrats. Both parties are expected to pour hundreds of millions of dollars into a relatively short list of races over the next three months.
Many Democrats believe the national environment could offer them tailwinds. Historically, the incumbent president’s party almost always loses ground in the midterm elections, and polls show mounting voter dissatisfaction with the Trump administration, including its handling of cost-of-living issues and the war with Iran.
A CBS News poll released last week found 47% of U.S. adults want Democrats to control Congress next year, compared to 40% who want Republicans to hold onto control.
Republicans, however, point to the fact that many voters are also skeptical of the Democratic Party’s economic and immigration policies, and former President Joe Biden left office last year with low approval ratings. The GOP is also seeking to capitalize on often-bitter divides between moderates and progressives within the Democratic coalition.
This year’s House races were also shaken up by a mid-decade redistricting push that kicked off with Texas Republicans redrawing Texas’ House districts at Mr. Trump’s behest last summer, moving five Democratic districts to the right. California reacted by moving five of its GOP-held districts rightward, but several other red states redrew their maps to edge out Democrats.
Several of the NRCC’s targets are newly redrawn districts in Texas, Missouri, Florida, Alabama and Louisiana. But Democrats have argued the redistricting scramble could create opportunities for them to pick up seats by making some GOP-held districts less red.
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