2026-08-03T20:18:55.42Z / 路透社
- 摘要
- 民调显示，民主党在治理美国经济方面以37%比36%领先共和党
- 国会投票意向测试中，登记选民以42%比37%支持民主党多于共和党
- 路透社/益普索民调显示，特朗普支持率从上月的37%降至35%
华盛顿8月3日路透电 – 路透社/益普索的一项民调显示，美国选民近十年来首次认为民主党比共和党更能妥善治理经济，同时该民调还发现民众对总统唐纳德·特朗普政绩的支持率跌至35%。
这项在周三至周一期间开展的民调结果显示，特朗普对经济的处理方式——包括伊朗战争引发的能源价格上涨——可能会影响其所在政党在11月中期选举中的胜算，此次选举将决定未来两年国会的控制权。
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特朗普的总统支持率从上月开展的路透社/益普索民调的37%降至35%，认可其总统任期的美国人比例仅比其任期内最低水平高一个百分点。
约37%的登记受访选民表示民主党对美国经济有更好的施政方案，而选择共和党的受访者占比为36%。另有27%的受访者表示不确定，或是认为其他政党能做得更好。
在2017-2021年特朗普第一任任期的大部分时间里，共和党在经济议题上一直占据优势，这一优势贯穿了民主党总统乔·拜登的四年任期，并延续到了特朗普的第二任期。2017年5月结束的一项路透社/益普索民调曾显示民主党占据优势，但当时的提问方式不同，没有设置“不确定”或“其他政党表现更好”的选项。
共和党在经济议题上的优势不断萎缩
在特朗普现任任期内，共和党在经济议题上的优势持续萎缩，今年2月美以袭击伊朗以及此后不断升级的战争导致汽油价格飙升，美国家庭财务状况恶化，共和党优势在近几个月已缩至零。
特朗普曾表示，他下令发动袭击并引发后续冲突是为了摧毁伊朗的核计划、遏制其攻击地区对手的能力，并为伊朗民众推翻其神职统治者创造条件。但自战争爆发以来，汽油价格已上涨逾25%，美国民众平均每加仑汽油需多支付超过一美元。
这项在全国范围内开展的线上路透社/益普索民调发现，如果国会选举在当下举行，42%的登记选民会投票给民主党候选人，37%会投票给共和党候选人。受访的无党派选民以12个百分点的差距支持民主党多于共和党。共和党将在11月3日的选举中捍卫其微弱的国会多数席位优势。
尽管该民调展现了全国的政治情绪，但实际的美国国会选举更为复杂。在435个众议院席位中，预计仅约36个席位具有竞争力，而参议院预计约有8个席位存在竞争。
特朗普多次对广泛流传的显示民众对其领导不满的民调结果予以驳斥。在最新路透社/益普索民调公布前的周一上午，他在其Truth Social账号上发帖称：“我的真实民调数据，而非假新闻媒体编造的数据，是有史以来最好的。”
此次路透社/益普索民调共收集了4505名美国成年人的反馈，误差幅度为2个百分点。
杰森·朗格报道；斯科特·马隆与埃德蒙·克拉曼编辑
Voters prefer Democrats over Republicans on economy for first time in a decade, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
2026-08-03T20:18:55.42Z / Reuters
- Summary
- Democrats lead Republicans 37% to 36% on stewardship of US economy, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
- Registered voters back Democrats over Republicans 42% to 37% in congressional ballot test
- Trump’s approval rating falls to 35% from 37% last month, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
WASHINGTON, Aug 3 (Reuters) – Americans picked Democrats over Republicans as better stewards of the economy for the first time in nearly a decade in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, which also found their approval of President Donald Trump’s performance falling to 35%.
The finding, in a poll conducted Wednesday through Monday, showed how Trump’s handling of the economy, including rising energy prices resulting from the Iran war, could weigh on his party’s chances in the November midterm elections that will determine control of Congress for the next two years.
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Trump’s presidential approval rating fell to 35% from 37% in a prior Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted last month, with the share of Americans who give his presidency a thumbs up within just one percentage point of the lowest level of his term.
Some 37% of registered voters responding to the poll said the Democratic Party has a better approach to the U.S. economy, compared with 36% who picked the Republican Party. Another 27% said they were not sure or that a different party would do a better job.
Republicans had held the advantage on the economy through most of Trump’s first term in office in 2017-2021, through all of Democratic President Joe Biden’s four years in power and into Trump’s second term. A Reuters/Ipsos poll that concluded in May 2017 gave Democrats an edge, though the question was asked differently, with no option for respondents to say they were not sure or that a different party would do better.
DETERIORATING REPUBLICAN EDGE
The Republican edge on the economy has steadily deteriorated during Trump’s current term, narrowing to zero in recent months as U.S. household finances suffered from soaring gasoline prices following the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran in February and the war that has been simmering ever since.
Trump has said he ordered the strikes and ensuing conflict to dismantle Iran’s nuclear program, curb its ability to attack regional rivals and create conditions for Iranians to overthrow their clerical rulers. But gasoline prices have surged by more than 25% since the war started, with Americans on average paying more than a dollar extra per gallon at the pump.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll, which was conducted online and nationwide, found 42% of registered voters would vote for a Democrat in congressional elections and 37% would vote Republican if the contest were held now. Independents in the poll picked Democrats over Republicans by 12 percentage points. Republicans will be defending narrow congressional majorities in the November 3 elections.
While the poll presents a picture of the national political mood, the actual elections for the U.S. Congress are more complex. Of the 435 House of Representatives seats, only about three dozen are expected to be competitive, while about eight Senate seats are expected to be competitive.
Trump has repeatedly dismissed widespread polling showing Americans unhappy with his leadership. On Monday morning, ahead of the release of the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, he posted to his Truth Social account: “My REAL Polling Numbers, not those made up by the Fake News Media, are the best they have ever been.”
The Reuters/Ipsos poll gathered responses from 4,505 U.S. adults and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
Reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Scott Malone and Edmund Klamann
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