2026-07-16T05:00:25.793Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
据三位知情人士透露，美军针对伊朗境内一所学校的空袭事件的调查已在军事指挥部搁置数月，军方领导人一直未下令开展一项关键的标准情报审查，以协助确定事件真相。
消息人士称，空袭发生后一周内，“战斗损伤评估”的前两个阶段已完成，该评估旨在回答空袭是否命中并损毁预定目标等基本问题，这表明美军应对米纳卜市的谢贾雷赫·泰伊巴学校遇袭事件负责。
但消息人士表示，第三阶段的标准审查并未下令启动。该阶段通常由美国国防情报局的分析人员负责，审查所有相关卫星图像和其他情报来源，以更全面地确定事件经过以及空袭对整体任务的影响。他们称，此类审查几乎总会在重大空袭后立即开展，但截至7月初，该审查仍未启动。
美国军方于3月单独启动了一项独立调查，并对参与此次空袭的军人进行了访谈。消息人士称，访谈中获取的信息——这些信息可帮助仍在对伊朗发动空袭的指挥官避免重蹈覆辙——已被美国中央司令部“封锁”，仅少数高级军官有权查阅相关细节。
“未开展任何详细分析，中央司令部还封锁了调查，阻止任何人深入调查，”其中一位消息人士说道。
一位国防部官员告诉CNN：“调查正在进行中。”
“目前暂无进一步消息可公布，”该官员补充道。
消息人士称，此次调查将有助于确定此次误袭的责任方。
第一位消息人士告诉CNN，启动独立调查不应妨碍国防情报局开展更全面的第三阶段审查，他补充道：“如果他们愿意，两者本可以同时进行。”
该消息人士补充称，额外开展的国防情报局审查本身不会确定谁应承担责任，但可作为证据使用。
一位美国官员告诉CNN，五角大楼内部调查旨在取代传统的第三阶段评估，且两者无法同时进行，因为初步审查后已明确，该事件需要开展彻底调查——由中央司令部之外的独立机构，以及与此次空袭本身相关机构之外的单位来进行。
该官员表示，独立调查结果于4月提交给中央司令部后，后续出现延误是因为需要进一步调查事件经过，他指出，导致此次误袭的失误可追溯至数年前，涉及多个层面的潜在失误。
消息人士称，空袭发生一周后，在完成前两个阶段的审查后，已有证据显示美军因至少部分依赖针对目标地点的过时情报而意外击中了这所小学——该目标当时被认为是伊斯兰革命卫队的海军基地。
伊朗国家媒体称，此次袭击造成168名儿童和14名成年人死亡。
消息人士称，截至7月初，五角大楼未要求国防情报局开展第三阶段也是最后一阶段的战斗损伤评估，而这一职责通常由该机构承担。他们表示，国防情报局曾被要求参与最初的、更表面化的审查。
美军本可能在多个方面从对此次空袭的更全面分析中获益，尤其是考虑到此次事件中暴露的明显失误，包括使用过时情报，以及五角大楼目标数据库中存在的明显直接导致此次误袭的广泛漏洞。
CNN此前曾报道，美国高级军事指挥官绕过了关键数据库中的警告，该警告称伊朗境内潜在目标的情报严重过时，但他们仍批准了空袭——其中一次就击中了学校。
两位消息人士称，高级指挥官做出无视警告的决定是为了“赶进度”，以便在战争初期快速提供打击目标。他们补充称，这一决定直接导致了针对学校的误袭。
但消息人士称，对于一起重大空袭事件而言，未开展全面情报审查是前所未有的。
“五角大楼当时在进行危机公关，”第一位消息人士告诉CNN，他补充称，五角大楼和中央司令部的高级领导人都不希望重现大约一年前的一幕：当时CNN报道称，美国国防情报局对美军空袭伊朗核设施的评估显示，空袭并未“摧毁”伊朗政权的核能力——这与唐纳德·特朗普总统的公开言论相悖。
这份源自第三阶段战斗损伤评估的报告，激怒了白宫和国防部长皮特·赫格斯思。
一位消息人士称，国防情报局未等中央司令部明确请求就开展了核设施相关审查，因为该机构认为自己将履行完成深入分析的传统职责。当该分析因破坏特朗普对空袭效果的描述而成为媒体关注焦点后，赫格斯思和白宫对国防情报局领导层感到不满，该消息人士说道。
时任国防情报局局长的杰弗里·克鲁泽将军随后被解职。
五角大楼高级官员此前曾表示，针对学校遇袭事件的五角大楼内部调查已移交至中央司令部之外的一名美国将军进行独立审查。该官员尚未公开姓名。国会议员称，该官员已于4月提交了初步调查报告，但中央司令部此后一直扣押着该报告。
调查完成出现延误，引发了国会议员的愤怒，尽管他们多次要求五角大楼移交所有相关材料，但仍未看到调查报告。
“空袭发生四个多月后，且据报道调查结果已于4月提交，国会和美国民众仍未收到国防部的调查结果和结论。拒绝公开事件经过、失误环节以及国防部为防止此类事件再次发生所采取措施的非机密说明，毫无正当理由，”约24名民主党参议员在近日写给赫格斯思和中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀上将的信中说道，他们要求提供有关调查的信息。
另一位美国官员告诉CNN，由于白宫向赫格斯思和库珀施压，要求他们证明伊朗战争进展顺利，两人一直拒绝向军方其他部门和情报界分享与冲突相关的信息。
消息人士称，五角大楼和中央司令部越来越多地使用通常仅用于高度敏感信息的保密权限，限制甚至连基本信息和规划细节的获取，而这些信息和细节通常会在各军种间广泛共享以协调行动。
“我从未见过在这类事情上如此行事，”其中一位消息人士补充道。“美军之所以能如此高效，原因之一就是我们协作良好……当你将我们彼此隔绝，我们就无法发挥各自所长、弥补彼此短板。而你这么做，要么是异乎寻常地偏执，认为我们不会服从命令，要么就是不信任我们。”
本周当被再次问及是否承诺公开调查结果时，特朗普并未明确承诺，他在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示：“我得和将军们谈谈……我不认为有人能说清当时到底发生了什么。”
当被追问是否会公开调查结果时，特朗普补充道：“我不认为能得出确凿结论”，随后又重复道：“我不知道，我得问问军方人士。”
特朗普承认“有可能”是由于使用了过时情报，或是美军在战争白热化阶段犯下的错误导致了此次事件，但他也对公开证据的真实性提出质疑——暗示现场发现的美国导弹碎片的卫星图像可能是“人工智能生成的”，但未提供任何证据支持这一说法。
CNN的海莉·布里茨基为本报道撰稿。
Exclusive: US military hasn’t conducted standard review of intelligence tied to strike on school in Iran, sources say
2026-07-16T05:00:25.793Z / CNN
The investigation into a US strike that hit a school in Iran has sat for months with a military command while leaders have held off on ordering a critical, standard intelligence review to help determine what happened, according to three sources familiar with the matter.
Within a week of the strike, the first two stages of a “battle damage assessment” focused on answering basic questions including whether the strike hit and damaged the intended target had been completed, indicating that the US was responsible for striking the Shajareh Tayyiba school in Minab, the sources said.
But a third standard review stage, a step where analysts – typically from the Defense Intelligence Agency – review the entire body of relevant satellite imagery and other intelligence sources to provide a more holistic determination about what took place and how a strike impacted the broader mission, was not ordered, the sources said. That review would almost always be conducted in the immediate aftermath of a noteworthy strike, they said, but it had not begun as of early July.
An independent investigation – announced in March – was separately launched, and interviews were conducted with service members involved with the strike. Sources said that the information gained from interviews, material that could be useful to commanders still launching strikes against Iran to avoid mistakes, has been “locked down” by US Central Command with only a handful of officers permitted access to the details.
“There was no detailed analysis conducted and CENTCOM locked down the investigation/blocked anyone from looking into it,” one of the sources said.
A Defense Department official told CNN that “the investigation is ongoing.”
“We have nothing further to announce at this moment,” the official added.
The sources said the investigation would help determine fault for the mistaken strike.
The decision to launch the investigation should not have precluded DIA from conducting the more thorough third phase of the review, the first source told CNN, adding “both could have happened at the same time if they chose to.”
An additional DIA review would not, in and of itself, have determined who was at fault but could have been used as evidence, the source added.
A US official told CNN that the internal Pentagon investigation was intended to supersede a traditional third phase assessment, and both could not happen at the same time because it was clear after the initial review that the incident required a thorough probe – by an independent body outside of CENTCOM and unattached to other agencies that would have had a role in the strike itself.
Once the independent investigation findings were submitted to CENTCOM back in April, the subsequent delay was due to a need to examine what happened even further, the official said, pointing to the fact that the failures contributing to the accidental strike went back years and involved multiple layers of potential missteps.
A week after the strike and after the initial two phases of review, evidence was already beginning to emerge that the US military had accidentally hit the elementary school due, at least in part, to outdated intelligence about the targeted site – which was believed to be an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval base, sources said.
Iranian state media said that 168 children and 14 adults died in the attack.
As of early July, the Pentagon had not asked the Defense Intelligence Agency to conduct the third and final phase of the battle damage assessment, a role the agency almost always fulfills, the sources said. DIA had been asked to participate in the initial, more surface-level review, they said.
The US military would have likely benefitted from a more thorough analysis of the strike in question on several fronts, particularly given the apparent missteps that led to the use of outdated intelligence and broader gaps within the Pentagon’s targeting database that appear to have directly contributed to the mistake.
CNN previously reported that senior US military commanders bypassed warnings in critical databases that intelligence about potential targets in Iran was severely out of date and went ahead with approving strikes – including one that hit the school.
The decision by senior commanders to ignore the warnings was made for “expediency,” two of the sources said, in a rush to provide targets at the start of the war. It also directly contributed to the accidental strike on the school, the sources added.
But the lack of a full review of the intelligence is unprecedented for a noteworthy strike, the sources said.
“The Pentagon was in damage control,” the first source told CNN, adding that senior leaders at both the Pentagon and CENTCOM did not want a repeat of what occurred roughly one year prior when CNN reported that a Defense Intelligence Agency assessment of US strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities showed they had not “obliterated” the regime’s capabilities – undermining President Donald Trump’s public claims to the contrary.
That assessment, which derived from a phase three BDA analysis, outraged the White House and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
DIA undertook the nuclear sites review without an express request from CENTCOM, a source said, as DIA had assumed it would fulfill its traditional role of completing the in-depth analysis. Once the analysis became the subject of press attention for undermining Trump’s descriptions of effectiveness, Hegseth and the White House became upset with DIA leadership, the source said.
Then-DIA director Gen. Jeffrey Kruse was subsequently fired from his role.
Top Pentagon officials have previously said the internal Pentagon probe into the strike that hit the school was handed over to a US general officer outside of CENTCOM for independent review. That official has not been named. Lawmakers in Congress have said the official submitted an initial version of the investigative report in April, but CENTCOM has held onto the report since then.
The delay in completing the investigation has fueled outrage from lawmakers on Capitol Hill who have not yet seen the investigative reports despite repeatedly demanding the Pentagon turn over all relevant materials.
“More than four months after the strike, and after the reported submission of the investigation in April, Congress and the American people still have not received the Department’s investigation and findings. There is no justification for withholding an unclassified accounting of what happened, what went wrong, and what the Department is doing to prevent recurrence,” some two dozen Democratic senators wrote in a recent letter to Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Adm. Brad Cooper, demanding information about the investigation.
With intense pressure on Hegseth and Cooper from the White House to prove that the Iran war has gone well, both have resisted sharing information related to the conflict with other parts of military and the intelligence community, a separate US official told CNN.
The Pentagon and CENTCOM have increasingly used classification powers typically reserved for highly sensitive information to restrict access to even basic information and planning details that had typically been shared widely among the service branches to coordinate operations, the sources said.
“I’ve never seen it used on stuff like this,” one of the sources added. “One of the reasons the US military is as effective as it is, is because we work pretty well together … When you keep siloing us away from each other, we don’t amplify each other’s strengths and cover each other’s weaknesses. And you only do that if you’re bizarrely paranoid that we won’t follow your orders, or you don’t trust us,”
Asked again this week if he would commit to release the findings of the investigation, Trump demurred, telling Fox News in an interview, “I’ll have to speak to the generals … I don’t think anybody is ever going to be able to say what happened there.”
“I don’t think there can be a conclusive report,” Trump added when pressed on whether he would release the investigation, before repeating, “I don’t know, I’d have to ask the military people.”
Trump acknowledged “it is possible” that the use of old intelligence or a mistake made by US forces during a very active point in the war may have led to the incident, but he also cast doubt on the veracity of publicly available evidence – suggesting that satellite imagery showing fragments of an American missile at the site could be “AI generated” without providing evidence to support that claim.
CNN’s Haley Britzky contributed to this report.
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